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Common high-dimensional methods for prediction rely on having either a sparse signal model, a model in which most parameters are zero and there are a small number of non-zero parameters that are large in magnitude, or a dense signal model,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-29 Victor Chernozhukov , Christian Hansen , Yuan Liao

We propose a pointwise inference algorithm for high-dimensional linear models with time-varying coefficients. The method is based on a novel combination of the nonparametric kernel smoothing technique and a Lasso bias-corrected ridge…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-17 Xiaohui Chen , Yifeng He

Artificial Neural Networks are connectionist systems that perform a given task by learning on examples without having prior knowledge about the task. This is done by finding an optimal point estimate for the weights in every node.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-01-10 Kumar Shridhar , Felix Laumann , Marcus Liwicki

Regularized regression has become very popular nowadays, particularly on high-dimensional problems where the addition of a penalty term to the log-likelihood allows inference where traditional methods fail. A number of penalties have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-15 Hamed Haselimashhadi , Veronica Vinciotti

This paper introduces the variational R\'enyi bound (VR) that extends traditional variational inference to R\'enyi's alpha-divergences. This new family of variational methods unifies a number of existing approaches, and enables a smooth…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-10-31 Yingzhen Li , Richard E. Turner

Semi-implicit variational inference (SIVI) is introduced to expand the commonly used analytic variational distribution family, by mixing the variational parameter with a flexible distribution. This mixing distribution can assume any density…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-30 Mingzhang Yin , Mingyuan Zhou

Inference for high-dimensional logistic regression models using penalized methods has been a challenging research problem. As an illustration, a major difficulty is the significant bias of the Lasso estimator, which limits its direct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-29 Yuming Zhang , Stéphane Guerrier , Runze Li

We consider the problem of inferring the conditional independence graph (CIG) of high-dimensional Gaussian vectors from multi-attribute data. Most existing methods for graph estimation are based on single-attribute models where one…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Jitendra K Tugnait

We empirically evaluate a stochastic annealing strategy for Bayesian posterior optimization with variational inference. Variational inference is a deterministic approach to approximate posterior inference in Bayesian models in which a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-05-26 San Gultekin , Aonan Zhang , John Paisley

The log-logistic regression model is one of the most commonly used accelerated failure time (AFT) models in survival analysis, for which statistical inference methods are mainly established under the frequentist framework. Recently,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-11 Chengqian Xian , Camila P. E. de Souza , Wenqing He , Felipe F. Rodrigues , Renfang Tian

We propose simple methods for multivariate diffusion bridge simulation, which plays a fundamental role in simulation-based likelihood and Bayesian inference for stochastic differential equations. By a novel application of classical coupling…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-06-02 Mogens Bladt , Samuel Finch , Michael Sørensen

Ridge regression is a popular method for dense least squares regularization. In this work, ridge regression is studied in the context of VAR model estimation and inference. The implications of anisotropic penalization are discussed and a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-21 Giovanni Ballarin

The expressiveness of flow-based models combined with stochastic variational inference (SVI) has expanded the application of optimization-based Bayesian inference to highly complex problems. However, despite the importance of multi-model…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-02-17 Laurence Davies , Dan Mackinlay , Rafael Oliveira , Scott A. Sisson

We develop a fully automatic Bayesian Lasso via variational inference. This is a scalable procedure for approximating the posterior distribution. Special attention is driven to the knot selection in regression spline. In order to carry…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-01 Larissa Alves , Ronaldo Dias , Helio S. Migon

Probabilistic approaches for tensor factorization aim to extract meaningful structure from incomplete data by postulating low rank constraints. Recently, variational Bayesian (VB) inference techniques have successfully been applied to large…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-10-01 Beyza Ermis , A. Taylan Cemgil

We have utilized the non-conjugate Variational Bayesian (VB) method for the problem of the sparse Poisson regression model. To provide approximate conjugacy in the model, the likelihood is approximated by a quadratic function, yielding…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-06 Mitra Kharabati , Morteza Amini , Mohammad Arashi

We consider the bridge linear regression modeling, which can produce a sparse or non-sparse model. A crucial point in the model building process is the selection of adjusted parameters including a regularization parameter and a tuning…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-02-19 Shuichi Kawano

One of the core problems of modern statistics is to approximate difficult-to-compute probability densities. This problem is especially important in Bayesian statistics, which frames all inference about unknown quantities as a calculation…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-05-11 David M. Blei , Alp Kucukelbir , Jon D. McAuliffe

Continuous latent time series models are prevalent in Bayesian modeling; examples include the Kalman filter, dynamic collaborative filtering, or dynamic topic models. These models often benefit from structured, non mean field variational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-05 Robert Bamler , Stephan Mandt

We describe a limitation in the expressiveness of the predictive uncertainty estimate given by mean-field variational inference (MFVI), a popular approximate inference method for Bayesian neural networks. In particular, MFVI fails to give…