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Mean-field variational inference (MFVI) has been widely applied in large scale Bayesian inference. However MFVI, which assumes a product distribution on the latent variables, often leads to objective functions with many local optima, making…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-03 Mingzhang Yin , Y. X. Rachel Wang , Purnamrita Sarkar

This article describes a full Bayesian treatment for simultaneous fixed-effect selection and parameter estimation in high-dimensional generalized linear mixed models. The approach consists of using a Bayesian adaptive Lasso penalty for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-31 Dao Thanh Tung , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Tran Manh Cuong

Variational Inference (VI) is a method that approximates a difficult-to-compute posterior density using better behaved distributional families. VI is an alternative to the already well-studied Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-03-25 Neil Dey , Emmett B. Kendall

Black-box variational inference (BBVI) with Gaussian mixture families offers a flexible approach for approximating complex posterior distributions without requiring gradients of the target density. However, standard numerical optimization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Baojun Che , Yifan Chen , Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Xinying Mao , Weijie Wang

Bayesian (deep) neural networks (BNN) are often more attractive than the vanilla point-estimate deep learning in various aspects including uncertainty quantification, robustness to noise, resistance to overfitting, and more. The variational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-22 Minyoung Kim

Beta regression is commonly employed when the outcome variable is a proportion. Since its conception, the approach has been widely used in applications spanning various scientific fields. A series of extensions have been proposed over time,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-29 Niloofar Ramezani , Martin Slawski

We propose a data-driven algorithm for the maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation of stochastic processes from noisy observations. The primary statistical properties of the sought signal is specified by the penalty function (i.e., negative…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-02-14 Ha Q. Nguyen , Emrah Bostan , Michael Unser

Inverse problems involving partial differential equations (PDEs) are widely used in science and engineering. Although such problems are generally ill-posed, different regularisation approaches have been developed to ameliorate this problem.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-03-23 Jan Povala , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Eky Febrianto , Fehmi Cirak , Mark Girolami

In Bayesian inference prior hyperparameters are chosen subjectively or estimated using empirical Bayes methods. Generalised Bayesian Inference (GBI) also has a learning rate hyperparameter. This is compounded in Semi-Modular Inference…

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling is computationally expensive, especially for complex models. Alternative methods make simplifying assumptions about the posterior to reduce computational burden, but their impact on predictive…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-10-27 Florian D. van Leeuwen , Sara van Erp

Model-assisted estimation with complex survey data is an important practical problem in survey sampling. When there are many auxiliary variables, selecting significant variables associated with the study variable would be necessary to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-01 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Jae Kwang Kim

Estimating causal effects from high-dimensional, structured exposures is a fundamental challenge in modern applications ranging from neuroscience and finance to environmental science. While the literature has addressed high-dimensional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-29 Samhita Pal , Dhrubajyoti Ghosh

Stochastic variational inference (SVI) plays a key role in Bayesian deep learning. Recently various divergences have been proposed to design the surrogate loss for variational inference. We present a simple upper bound of the evidence as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-03 Chunlin Ji , Haige Shen

We demonstrate the use of automatic Bayesian inference for the analysis of LISA data sets. In particular we describe a new automatic Reversible Jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo method to evaluate the posterior probability density functions of…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Alexander Stroeer , Jonathan Gair , Alberto Vecchio

Variational Bayes (VB) is a recent approximate method for Bayesian inference. It has the merit of being a fast and scalable alternative to Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) but its approximation error is often unknown. In this paper, we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-03-05 Reza Hajargasht

Vanilla variational inference finds an optimal approximation to the Bayesian posterior distribution, but even the exact Bayesian posterior is often not meaningful under model misspecification. We propose predictive variational inference…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Jinlin Lai , Antonio Linero , Yuling Yao

This paper introduces the $f$-divergence variational inference ($f$-VI) that generalizes variational inference to all $f$-divergences. Initiated from minimizing a crafty surrogate $f$-divergence that shares the statistical consistency with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-06 Neng Wan , Dapeng Li , Naira Hovakimyan

We propose a new Bayesian Neural Net formulation that affords variational inference for which the evidence lower bound is analytically tractable subject to a tight approximation. We achieve this tractability by (i) decomposing ReLU…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-13 Manuel Haussmann , Fred A. Hamprecht , Melih Kandemir

Motivated by the CATHGEN data, we develop a new statistical learning method for simultaneous variable selection and parameter estimation under the context of generalized partly linear models for data with high-dimensional covariates. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-02 Christian Chan , Xiaotian Dai , Thierry Chekouo , Quan Long , Xuewen Lu

We introduce a new shrinkage variable selection operator for linear models which we term the \emph{adaptive ridge selector} (ARiS). This approach is inspired by the \emph{relevance vector machine} (RVM), which uses a Bayesian hierarchical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-05-28 Artin Armagan , Russell Zaretzki