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Randomised signature has been proposed as a flexible and easily implementable alternative to the well-established path signature. In this article, we employ randomised signature to introduce a generative model for financial time series data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-09 Francesca Biagini , Lukas Gonon , Niklas Walter

This paper studies a distributionally robust chance constrained program (DRCCP) with Wasserstein ambiguity set, where the uncertain constraints should be satisfied with a probability at least a given threshold for all the probability…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-02-17 Weijun Xie

We study finite horizon reachable set estimation for unknown discrete-time dynamical systems using only sampled state trajectories. Rather than treating scenario optimization as a black-box tool, we show how it can be tailored to reachable…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-15 Georgios Pantazis , Michelle S. Chong

The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

We want to select the best systems out of a given set of systems (or rank them) with respect to their expected performance. The systems allow random observations only and we assume that the joint observation of the systems has a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-23 Björn Görder , Michael Kolonko

We introduce a new method for solving nonlinear continuous optimization problems with chance constraints. Our method is based on a reformulation of the probabilistic constraint as a quantile function. The quantile function is approximated…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-03-17 Alejandra Peña-Ordieres , James R. Luedtke , Andreas Wächter

We investigate a stochastic program with expected value constraints, addressing the problem in a general context through Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) approach using Wasserstein distances, where the ambiguity set depends on the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-04-18 Diego Fonseca , Mauricio Junca

The analysis of parametric and non-parametric uncertainties of very large dynamical systems requires the construction of a stochastic model of said system. Linear approaches relying on random matrix theory and principal componant analysis…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-02 Hamza Boukraichi , Nissrine Akkari , Fabien Casenave , David Ryckelynck

A novel variational inference based resampling framework is proposed to evaluate the robustness and generalization capability of deep learning models with respect to distribution shift. We use Auto Encoding Variational Bayes to find a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-29 Xudong Sun , Alexej Gossmann , Yu Wang , Bernd Bischl

Random sampling is a technique for signal acquisition which is gaining popularity in practical signal processing systems. Nowadays, event-driven analog-to-digital converters make random sampling feasible in practical applications. A process…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2015-10-08 Jacek Pierzchlewski , Thomas Arildsen

Considering two random variables with different laws to which we only have access through finite size iid samples, we address how to reweight the first sample so that its empirical distribution converges towards the true law of the second…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-08 Julien Reygner , Adrien Touboul

This paper investigates the approximation of Gaussian random variables in Banach spaces, focusing on the high-probability bounds for the approximation of Gaussian random variables using finitely many observations. We derive non-asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-28 Daniel Winkle , Ingo Steinwart , Bernard Haasdonk

We propose a novel distribution-free scheme to solve optimization problems where the goal is to minimize the expected value of a cost function subject to probabilistic constraints. Unlike standard sampling-based methods, our idea consists…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-05-28 Francesco Cordiano , Matin Jafarian , Bart De Schutter

In prescriptive analytics, the decision-maker observes historical samples of $(X, Y)$, where $Y$ is the uncertain problem parameter and $X$ is the concurrent covariate, without knowing the joint distribution. Given an additional covariate…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-06-11 Tianyu Wang , Ningyuan Chen , Chun Wang

Based on a novel dynamic Whittle likelihood approximation for locally stationary processes, a Bayesian nonparametric approach to estimating the time-varying spectral density is proposed. This dynamic frequency-domain based likelihood…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-22 Yifu Tang , Claudia Kirch , Jeong Eun Lee , Renate Meyer

A maximum likelihood methodology for the parameters of models with an intractable likelihood is introduced. We produce a likelihood-free version of the stochastic approximation expectation-maximization (SAEM) algorithm to maximize the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-17 Umberto Picchini

There is an increasing amount of literature focused on Bayesian computational methods to address problems with intractable likelihood. One approach is a set of algorithms known as Approximate Bayesian Computational (ABC) methods. One of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-10-27 Weixuan Zhu , Juan Miguel Marin , Fabrizio Leisen

This paper focuses on the contextual optimization problem where a decision is subject to some uncertain parameters and covariates that have some predictive power on those parameters are available before the decision is made. More…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-08-12 Zhaoen Li , Maoqi Liu , Zhi-Hai Zhang

Large-scale datasets are increasingly being used to inform decision making. While this effort aims to ground policy in real-world evidence, challenges have arisen as selection bias and other forms of distribution shifts often plague…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-07 Santiago Cortes-Gomez , Mateo Dulce , Carlos Patino , Bryan Wilder

In high-dimensional time series analysis, Gaussian approximation (GA) schemes under various distance measures or on various collections of subsets of the Euclidean space play a fundamental role in a wide range of statistical inference…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-11 Miaoshiqi Liu , Jun Yang , Zhou Zhou
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