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We incorporate heteroskedasticity into Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) by modeling the log of the error variance parameter as a linear function of prespecified covariates. Under this scheme, the Gibbs sampling procedure for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-24 Justin Bleich , Adam Kapelner

BART (Bayesian Additive Regression Trees) has become increasingly popular as a flexible and scalable nonparametric regression approach for modern applied statistics problems. For the practitioner dealing with large and complex nonlinear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-11 Matthew Pratola , Hugh Chipman , Edward George , Robert McCulloch

Ensemble learning is a statistical paradigm built on the premise that many weak learners can perform exceptionally well when deployed collectively. The BART method of Chipman et al. (2010) is a prominent example of Bayesian ensemble…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-08 Veronika Rockova , Enakshi Saha

In the era of precision medicine, genome-wide epigenetic modifications offer rich data that could inform risk prediction. However, these data are high-dimensional and exhibit complex dependence structures, which makes it difficult to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-25 Saurabh Bhandari , Parveen Bhatti , Brian C. -H. Chiu , Yuan Ji

BCART (Bayesian Classification and Regression Trees) and BART (Bayesian Additive Regression Trees) are popular Bayesian regression models widely applicable in modern regression problems. Their popularity is intimately tied to the ability to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-19 Matthew T. Pratola , Edward I. George , Robert E. McCulloch

Flexibly modeling how an entire density changes with covariates is an important but challenging generalization of mean and quantile regression. While existing methods for density regression primarily consist of covariate-dependent discrete…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-24 Vittorio Orlandi , Jared Murray , Antonio Linero , Alexander Volfovsky

Bayesian quadrature (BQ) is a method for solving numerical integration problems in a Bayesian manner, which allows users to quantify their uncertainty about the solution. The standard approach to BQ is based on a Gaussian process (GP)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-03 Harrison Zhu , Xing Liu , Ruya Kang , Zhichao Shen , Seth Flaxman , François-Xavier Briol

Regression discontinuity designs (RDD) are widely used for causal inference. In many empirical applications, treatment effects vary substantially with covariates, and ignoring such heterogeneity can lead to misleading conclusions, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Daisuke Kondo , Shonosuke Sugasawa

This research aims to propose and evaluate a novel model named K-Fold Causal Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (K-Fold Causal BART) for improved estimation of Average Treatment Effects (ATE) and Conditional Average Treatment Effects…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-10 Hugo Gobato Souto , Francisco Louzada Neto

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models assume linearity between the endogenous variables and their lags. This assumption might be overly restrictive and could have a deleterious impact on forecasting accuracy. As a solution, we propose…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-03-10 Florian Huber , Luca Rossini

In this paper we develop the randomized Sharded Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (SBT) model. We introduce a randomization auxiliary variable and a sharding tree to decide partitioning of data, and fit each partition component to a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-02 Hengrui Luo , Matthew T. Pratola

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a popular Bayesian non-parametric regression algorithm. The posterior is a distribution over sums of decision trees, and predictions are made by averaging approximate samples from the posterior.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-19 Omer Ronen , Theo Saarinen , Yan Shuo Tan , James Duncan , Bin Yu

General circulation models (GCMs) are essential tools for climate studies. Such climate models may have varying accuracy across the input domain, but no model is uniformly best. One can improve climate model prediction performance by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-27 John C. Yannotty , Thomas J. Santner , Bo Li , Matthew T. Pratola

Individualized treatment rules (ITR) can improve health outcomes by recognizing that patients may respond differently to treatment and assigning therapy with the most desirable predicted outcome for each individual. Flexible and efficient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-25 Brent R. Logan , Rodney Sparapani , Robert E. McCulloch , Purushottam W. Laud

Bayesian Causal Forests (BCF) is a causal inference machine learning model based on a highly flexible non-parametric regression and classification tool called Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART). Motivated by data from the Trends in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-03-10 Nathan McJames , Andrew Parnell , Yong Chen Goh , Ann O'Shea

In recent years, theoretical results and simulation evidence have shown Bayesian additive regression trees to be a highly-effective method for nonparametric regression. Motivated by cost-effectiveness analyses in health economics, where…

Count-compositional data arise in many different fields, including high-throughput sequencing experiments, ecological surveys, and palaeoclimate studies, where a common, important goal is to understand how covariates relate to the observed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-10 André F. B. Menezes , Andrew C. Parnell , Keefe Murphy

Ensembles of decision trees are a useful tool for obtaining for obtaining flexible estimates of regression functions. Examples of these methods include gradient boosted decision trees, random forests, and Bayesian CART. Two potential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-18 Antonio Ricardo Linero , Yun Yang

Few methods in Bayesian non-parametric statistics/ machine learning have received as much attention as Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART). While BART is now routinely performed for prediction tasks, its theoretical properties began…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-05-10 Veronika Rockova

For the discovery of regression relationships between Y and a large set of p potential predictors x 1 , . . . , x p , the flexible nonparametric nature of BART (Bayesian Additive Regression Trees) allows for a much richer set of…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2021-10-11 Hugh A. Chipman , Edward I. George , Robert E. McCulloch , Thomas S. Shively