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A growing number of generative statistical models do not permit the numerical evaluation of their likelihood functions. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has become a popular approach to overcome this issue, in which one simulates…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-10 Espen Bernton , Pierre E. Jacob , Mathieu Gerber , Christian P. Robert

Standard stochastic control methods assume that the probability distribution of uncertain variables is available. Unfortunately, in practice, obtaining accurate distribution information is a challenging task. To resolve this issue, we…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-10-13 Insoon Yang

High penetration of renewable energy sources and the increasing share of stochastic loads require the explicit representation of uncertainty in tools such as the optimal power flow (OPF). Current approaches follow either a linearized…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2020-07-24 Andreas Venzke , Lejla Halilbasic , Uros Markovic , Gabriela Hug , Spyros Chatzivasileiadis

We introduce a novel optimal transport framework for probabilistic circuits (PCs). While it has been shown recently that divergences between distributions represented as certain classes of PCs can be computed tractably, to the best of our…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-10-16 Adrian Ciotinga , YooJung Choi

Deregulated energy markets, demand forecasting, and the continuously increasing share of renewable energy sources call---among others---for a structured consideration of uncertainties in optimal power flow problems. The main challenge is to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-08-24 Tillmann Mühlpfordt , Timm Faulwasser , Veit Hagenmeyer

Suppose we are given two metric spaces and a family of continuous transformations from one to the other. Given a probability distribution on each of these two spaces - namely the source and the target measures - the Wasserstein alignment…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-11 Soumik Pal , Bodhisattva Sen , Ting-Kam Leonard Wong

We consider stochastic programs where the distribution of the uncertain parameters is only observable through a finite training dataset. Using the Wasserstein metric, we construct a ball in the space of (multivariate and non-discrete)…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-06-14 Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Daniel Kuhn

This paper presents a scalable method for improving the solutions of AC Optimal Power Flow (AC OPF) with respect to deviations in predicted power injections from wind and other uncertain generation resources. The focus of the paper is on…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2019-01-10 Miles Lubin , Yury Dvorkin , Line Roald

We consider a data-driven robust hypothesis test where the optimal test will minimize the worst-case performance regarding distributions that are close to the empirical distributions with respect to the Wasserstein distance. This leads to a…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-01 Liyan Xie , Rui Gao , Yao Xie

We study linear policy approximations for the risk-conscious operation of an industrial energy system with uncertain wind power, significant and variable electricity demand, and high thermal output, as found in a modern foundry. The system…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-11-24 Johannes Nicklaus , Lea Brass , Gunnar Schubert

Chance constrained optimal power flow (CC-OPF) formulations have been proposed to minimize operational costs while controlling the risk arising from uncertainties like renewable generation and load consumption. To solve CC-OPF, we often…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-09-20 Bowen Li , Ruiwei Jiang , Johanna L. Mathieu

Robust optimization is a tractable and expressive technique for decision-making under uncertainty, but it can lead to overly conservative decisions when pessimistic assumptions are made on the uncertain parameters. Wasserstein…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-07 Irina Wang , Cole Becker , Bart Van Parys , Bartolomeo Stellato

In this article we present a general framework for non-concave robust stochastic control problems under model uncertainty in a discrete time finite horizon setting. Our framework allows to consider a variety of different path-dependent…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-05-06 Ariel Neufeld , Julian Sester

Many real-world decision-making problems have uncertain parameters in constraints. Wasserstein distributionally robust joint chance constraints (WDRJCC) offer a promising solution by explicitly guaranteeing the probability of the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-05-13 Yihong Zhou , Yuxin Xia , Hanbin Yang , Thomas Morstyn

This paper is concerned by statistical inference problems from a data set whose elements may be modeled as random probability measures such as multiple histograms or point clouds. We propose to review recent contributions in statistics on…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-08-27 Jérémie Bigot

Wasserstein distances are metrics on probability distributions inspired by the problem of optimal mass transportation. Roughly speaking, they measure the minimal effort required to reconfigure the probability mass of one distribution in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-10 Victor M. Panaretos , Yoav Zemel

Wasserstein barycenters provide a geometric notion of the weighted average of probability measures based on optimal transport. In this paper, we present a scalable algorithm to compute Wasserstein-2 barycenters given sample access to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-02 Alexander Korotin , Lingxiao Li , Justin Solomon , Evgeny Burnaev

The paper proposes a new approach to model risk measurement based on the Wasserstein distance between two probability measures. It formulates the theoretical motivation resulting from the interpretation of fictitious adversary of robust…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-03-05 Yu Feng , Erik Schlögl

Higher levels of renewable electricity generation increase uncertainty in power system operation. To ensure secure system operation, new tools that account for this uncertainty are required. In this paper, we formulate a chance-constrained…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-05-07 Line Roald , Göran Andersson

Evolving power systems with increasing levels of stochasticity call for a need to solve optimal power flow problems with large quantities of random variables. Weather forecasts, electricity prices, and shifting load patterns introduce…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-09-09 Kyri Baker , Bridget Toomey