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The investment of time and resources for better strategies and methodologies to tackle a potential pandemic is key to deal with potential outbreaks of new variants or other viruses in the future. In this work, we recreated the scene of a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-22 Andrés L. Suárez-Cetrulo , Ankit Kumar , Luis Miralles-Pechuán

This paper develops a finite population framework for analyzing causal effects in settings with imperfect compliance where multiple treatments affect the outcome of interest. Two prominent examples are factorial designs and panel…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-26 Pedro Picchetti

When we compare the influences of two causes on an outcome, if the conclusion from every group is against that from the conflation, we think there is Simpson's Paradox. The Existing Causal Inference Theory (ECIT) can make the overall…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-02-21 Chenguang Lu

The coronavirus pandemic (COVID) has been an exceptional test of current scientific evidence that inform and shape policy. Many US states, cities, and counties implemented public orders for mask use on the notion that this intervention…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2023-01-24 S. Stanley Young , Warren B. Kindzierski

To strengthen inferences meta analyses are commonly used to summarize information from a set of independent studies. In some cases, though, the data may not satisfy the assumptions underlying the meta analysis. Using three Bayesian methods…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-04-07 Dexter Cahoy , Joseph Sedransk

Causal discovery is to learn cause-effect relationships among variables given observational data and is important for many applications. Existing causal discovery methods assume data sufficiency, which may not be the case in many real world…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-20 Zijun Cui , Naiyu Yin , Yuru Wang , Qiang Ji

In many randomized clinical trials of therapeutics for COVID-19, the primary outcome is an ordinal categorical variable, and interest focuses on the odds ratio (active agent vs. control) under the assumption of a proportional odds model.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-25 Anastasios A. Tsiatis , Marie Davidian , Shannon T. Holloway

A common practice in clinical trials is to evaluate a treatment effect on an intermediate endpoint when the true outcome of interest would be difficult or costly to measure. We consider how to validate intermediate endpoints in a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-30 Emily K. Roberts , Michael R. Elliott , Jeremy M. G. Taylor

Estimating the causal effects of an intervention from high-dimensional observational data is difficult due to the presence of confounding. The task is often complicated by the fact that we may have a systematic missingness in our data at…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-02 Sonali Parbhoo , Mario Wieser , Aleksander Wieczorek , Volker Roth

In the absence of randomized controlled and natural experiments, it is necessary to balance the distributions of (observable) covariates of the treated and control groups in order to obtain an unbiased estimate of a causal effect of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-02 Martin Cousineau , Vedat Verter , Susan A. Murphy , Joelle Pineau

There have been significant efforts devoted to solving the longevity risk given that a continuous growth in population ageing has become a severe issue for many developed countries over the past few decades. The Cairns-Blake-Dowd (CBD)…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-12-30 Ka Kin Lam , Bo Wang

One of the key problems in tensor completion is the number of uniformly random sample entries required for recovery guarantee. The main aim of this paper is to study $n_1 \times n_2 \times n_3$ third-order tensor completion based on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-25 Guang-Jing Song , Michael K. Ng , Xiongjun Zhang

Introduction: Endpoint choice for randomized controlled trials of treatments for COVID-19 is complex. A new disease brings many uncertainties, but trials must start rapidly. COVID-19 is heterogeneous, ranging from mild disease that improves…

Counterfactual learning has become promising for understanding and modeling causality in complex and dynamic systems. This paper presents a novel method for counterfactual learning in the context of multivariate time series analysis and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Gianlucca Zuin , Adriano Veloso

This paper studies a panel data setting where the goal is to estimate causal effects of an intervention by predicting the counterfactual values of outcomes for treated units, had they not received the treatment. Several approaches have been…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-03-26 Susan Athey , Mohsen Bayati , Guido Imbens , Zhaonan Qu

Causal inference in connected populations is non-trivial, because the treatment assignments of units can affect the outcomes of other units via treatment and outcome spillover. Since outcome spillover induces dependence among outcomes,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-25 Subhankar Bhadra , Michael Schweinberger

This paper presents a framework for causal inference in the presence of censored data,where the failure time is marked by a continuous variable referred to as a mark.The mark is observed after treatment and is not meaningful when the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-20 Lianqiang Qu , Long Lv , Liuquan Sun

Tensor completion is a natural higher-order generalization of matrix completion where the goal is to recover a low-rank tensor from sparse observations of its entries. Existing algorithms are either heuristic without provable guarantees,…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2023-07-14 Allen Liu , Ankur Moitra

Large-scale testing is considered key to assess the state of the current COVID-19 pandemic. Yet, the link between the reported case numbers and the true state of the pandemic remains elusive. We develop mathematical models based on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-02-04 Michel Besserve , Simon Buchholz , Bernhard Schölkopf

In matched observational studies with continuous treatments, individuals with different treatment doses but the same or similar covariate values are paired for causal inference. While inexact covariate matching (i.e., covariate imbalance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-13 Anthony Frazier , Siyu Heng , Wen Zhou