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Supply Chain operation is an integrated business process starting from primary supplier to end user and the process produce products, services and information. A successful chain will explore technology, lean operations, and quality…

其他计算机科学 · 计算机科学 2011-11-04 Bidyut Biman Sarkar , Sugata Sanyal , Nabendu Chaki

Supply chain management faces significant challenges, including demand fluctuations, inventory imbalances, and amplified upstream order variability due to the bullwhip effect. Traditional methods, such as simple moving averages, struggle to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-11-17 Chunan Tong

Demand forecasting based on empirical data is a viable approach for optimizing a supply chain. However, in this approach, a model constructed from past data occasionally becomes outdated due to long-term changes in the environment, in which…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-09-07 Takahiro Ezaki , Naoto Imura , Katsuhiro Nishinari

Supply chain management and inventory control provide most exciting examples of control systems with delays. Here, Smith predictors, model-free control and new time series forecasting techniques are mixed in order to derive an efficient…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2021-01-07 Koussaila Hamiche , Michel Fliess , Cédric Join , Hassane Abouaïssa

The bullwhip effect remains operationally persistent despite decades of analytical research. Two computational deficiencies hinder progress: the absence of modular open-source simulation tools for multi-echelon inventory dynamics with…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-16 Mansur M. Arief

The progressive amplification of fluctuations in demand as the demand travels upstream the supply chains is known as the bullwhip effect. We first analytically characterize the bullwhip effect in general supply chain networks in two cases:…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-08-10 Jin-Zhu Yü , Chencheng Cai , Jianxi Gao

This paper studies autonomous generative AI agents in multi-echelon supply chains using the MIT Beer Game. We identify four inference-time levers that shape performance: model selection, policies and guardrails, centralized data sharing,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Carol Xuan Long , David Simchi-Levi , Feng Zhu , Huangyuan Su , Andre P. Calmon , Flavio P. Calmon

The measure of the bullwhip effect, a phenomenon in which demand variability increases as one moves up the supply chain, is a major issue in Supply Chain Management. Although it is simply defined (it is the ratio of the unconditional…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-10-20 Marlene Silva Marchena

In this article we want to review the research state on the bullwhip effect in supply chains with stochastic lead times and give a contribution to quantifying the bullwhip effect. We analyze the models quantifying the bullwhip effect in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-03-23 Zbigniew Michna , Peter Nielsen , Izabela Ewa Nielsen

The beer game is a widely used in-class game that is played in supply chain management classes to demonstrate the bullwhip effect. The game is a decentralized, multi-agent, cooperative problem that can be modeled as a serial supply chain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-15 Afshin Oroojlooyjadid , MohammadReza Nazari , Lawrence Snyder , Martin Takáč

Due to delays in the adaptation of production or delivery rates, supply chains can be dynamically unstable with respect to perturbations in the consumption rate, which is known as "bull-whip effect". Here, we study several conceivable…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Takashi Nagatani , Dirk Helbing

The wastage of perishable items has led to significant health and economic crises, increasing business uncertainty and fluctuating customer demand. This issue is worsened by online food delivery services, where frequent and unpredictable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Tisha Ghosh

Supply chain management (SCM) faces significant challenges like demand fluctuations and the bullwhip effect. Traditional methods and even state-of-the-art LLMs struggle with benchmarks like the Vending Machine Test, failing to handle SCM's…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-12-17 Chunan Tong

In the seminal paper Information Distortion in a Supply Chain: The Bullwhip Effect (Lee, et al. 1997, hereafter referred to as LPW), order batching is regarded as one of the four sources of the bullwhip effect. LPW proved that, in all cases…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-02 Hau Mike Ma , Jiazhen Huo

We study learning of continuous-time inventory dynamics under stochastic demand and quantify when structure helps or hurts forecasting of the bullwhip effect. BULL-ODE compares a fully learned Neural ODE (NODE) that models the entire…

Model-free algorithms are brought into the control system's research with the emergence of reinforcement learning algorithms. However, there are two practical challenges of reinforcement learning-based methods. First, learning by…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-09-18 Mi Zhou , Erik Verriest , Chaouki Abdallah

Motivated by how forecast errors exacerbate order fluctuations in supply chains, we leverage robust feedback controller synthesis to characterize, compute, and minimize the worst-case order fluctuation experienced by an individual supply…

新兴技术 · 计算机科学 2024-09-16 Sarah H. Q. Li , Florian Dörfler

The rise of autonomous, AI-driven agents in economic settings raises critical questions about their emergent strategic behavior. This paper investigates these dynamics in the cooperative context of a multi-echelon supply chain, a system…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-26 Soumyadeep Dhar

Physical concepts developed to describe instabilities in traffic flows can be generalized in a way that allows one to understand the well-known instability of supply chains (the so-called ``bullwhip effect''). That is, small variations in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Dirk Helbing

Physical concepts developed to describe instabilities in traffic flows can be generalized in a way that allows one to understand the well-known instability of supply chains (the so-called ``bullwhip effect''). That is, small variations in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Dirk Helbing
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