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In this paper we introduce an agent-based epidemiological model that generalizes the classical SIR model by Kermack and McKendrick. We further provide a multiscale approach to the derivation of a macroscopic counterpart via the mean-field…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-03-31 Markus Schmidtchen , Oliver Tse , Stephan Wackerle

In the last decade drug overdose deaths reached staggering proportions in the US. Besides the raw yearly deaths count that is worrisome per se, an alarming picture comes from the steep acceleration of such rate that increased by 21% from…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2019-04-02 Duilio Balsamo , Paolo Bajardi , André Panisson

Capturing the structure of a population and characterising contacts within the population are key to reliable projections of infectious disease. Two main elements of population structure -- contact heterogeneity and age -- have been…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-03-17 Luke Murray Kearney , Emma L. Davis , Matt J. Keeling

This work is concerned with epidemiological models defined on networks, which highlight the prominent role of the social contact network of a given population in the spread of infectious diseases. In particular, we address the modelling and…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-03-07 Giovanni Naldi , Giuseppe Patane'

Diffusion of innovation can be interpreted as a social spreading phenomena governed by the impact of media and social interactions. Although these mechanisms have been identified by quantitative theories, their role and relative importance…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-10-24 Márton Karsai , Gerardo Iñiguez , Kimmo Kaski , János Kertész

We study how a behavior (an idea, buying a product, having a disease, adopting a cultural fad or a technology) spreads among agents in an a social network that exhibits segregation or homophily (the tendency of agents to associate with…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2011-11-02 Matthew O. Jackson , Dunia Lopez-Pintado

Epidemic spreading of infectious diseases is ubiquitous and has often considerable impact on public health and economic wealth. The large variability in spatio-temporal patterns of epidemics prohibits simple interventions and demands for a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2010-11-25 Christel Kamp

Understanding individual decisions in a world where communications and information move instantly via cell phones and the internet, contributes to the development and implementation of policies aimed at stopping or ameliorating the spread…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-03-31 Asma Azizi , Cesar Montalvo , Baltazar Espinoza , Yun Kang , Carlos Castillo-Chavez

Psychological network approaches propose to see symptoms or questionnaire items as interconnected nodes, with links between them reflecting pairwise statistical dependencies evaluated cross-sectional, time-series, or panel data. These…

The question how social norms can emerge from microscopic interactions between individuals is a key problem in social sciences to explain collective behavior. In this paper we propose an agent-based model to show that randomly distributed…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2008-09-07 Thomas Fent , Patrick Groeber , Frank Schweitzer

One of the key challenges in modeling the dynamics of contagion phenomena is to understand how the structure of social interactions shapes the time course of a disease. Complex network theory has provided significant advances in this…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-11 Charleston Noble , James P. Bagrow , Dirk Brockmann

In a dynamic social or biological environment, the interactions between the actors can undergo large and systematic changes. In this paper we propose a model-based approach to analyze what we will refer to as the dynamic tomography of such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2010-11-09 Eric P. Xing , Wenjie Fu , Le Song

In this article, we propose a network spread model for HIV epidemics, wherein each individual is represented by a node of the transmission network and the edges are the connections between individuals along which the infection may spread.…

生物物理 · 物理学 2007-08-29 Wen-Jie Bai , Tao Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang

People organize in groups and contagions spread across them. A simple stochastic process, yet complex to model due to dynamical correlations within and between groups. Moreover, groups can evolve if agents join or leave in response to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-05-22 Giulio Burgio , Guillaume St-Onge , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

In this paper, I study epidemic diffusion in a generalized spatial SEIRD model, where individuals are initially connected in a social or geographical network. As the virus spreads in the network, the structure of interactions between people…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-10-23 Giorgio Fagiolo

In this paper we consider the modeling of opinion dynamics over time dependent large scale networks. A kinetic description of the agents' distribution over the evolving network is considered which combines an opinion update based on binary…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-04-05 Giacomo Albi , Lorenzo Pareschi , Mattia Zanella

Network models are widely used to represent relational information among interacting units and the structural implications of these relations. Recently, social network studies have focused a great deal of attention on random graph models of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-10-06 Mark S. Handcock , Krista J. Gile

Behavioral adoptions are influenced by peers in different ways. While some individuals may change after a single incoming influence, others need multiple cumulated attempts. These two mechanism, known as the simple and the complex…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-12-02 Elsa Andres , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Michele Starnini , Márton Karsai

The course of an epidemic is not only shaped by infection transmission over face-to-face contacts, but also by preventive behaviour caused by risk perception and social interactions. This study explores the dynamics of coupled awareness and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-02-24 Tim Van Wesemael , Luis E. C. Rocha , Jan M. Baetens

In this paper, we study the dynamics of epidemic processes taking place in adaptive networks of arbitrary topology. We focus our study on the adaptive susceptible-infected-susceptible (ASIS) model, where healthy individuals are allowed to…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-06-29 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado