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There is a growing need for flexible general frameworks that integrate individual-level data with external summary information for improved statistical inference. External information relevant for a risk prediction model may come in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-11 Tian Gu , Jeremy M. G. Taylor , Bhramar Mukherjee

Objective: There are several efforts to re-learn the 2013 ACC/AHA pooled cohort equations (PCE) for patients with specific comorbidities and geographic locations. With over 363 customized risk models in the literature, we aim to evaluate…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-09-20 Yizhe Xu , Agata Foryciarz , Ethan Steinberg , Nigam H. Shah

Heatwaves are intensifying as a major climate extreme and have emerged as a growing public health threat in rapidly urbanizing regions such as India. In this study, we integrate long-term heat-related mortality records (1970-2023) with…

Adaptation-relevant predictions of climate change are often derived by combining climate model simulations in a multi-model ensemble. Model evaluation methods used in performance-based ensemble weighting schemes have limitations in the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-04-19 Mala Virdee , Markus Kaiser , Emily Shuckburgh , Carl Henrik Ek , Ieva Kazlauskaite

Modelling a complex system is almost invariably a challenging task. The incorporation of experimental observations can be used to improve the quality of a model, and thus to obtain better predictions about the behavior of the corresponding…

计算物理 · 物理学 2015-11-24 Massimiliano Bonomi , Carlo Camilloni , Andrea Cavalli , Michele Vendruscolo

We propose the spatial-temporal aggregated predictor (STAP) modeling framework to address measurement and estimation issues that arise when assessing the relationship between built environment features (BEF) and health outcomes. Many BEFs…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-25 Adam Peterson , Jana Hirsch , Brisa Sanchez

This paper proposes a novel data-driven approach for identifying and modelling areas with similar temperature variations throufigureh clustering and Space-Time AutoRegressive (STAR) models. Using annual temperature data from 168 countries…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-01-30 Edoardo Otranto

The evaluation of Indoor Positioning Systems (IPS) mostly relies on local deployments in the researchers' or partners' facilities. The complexity of preparing comprehensive experiments, collecting data, and considering multiple scenarios…

The interaction between extreme weather events and interdependent critical infrastructure systems involves complex spatiotemporal dynamics. Multi-type emergency decisions within energy-transportation infrastructures significantly influence…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-26 Jiawei Wang , Qinglai Guo , Haotian Zhao , Bin Wang , Hongbin Sun

Environmental exposures are often defined using buffer zones around geocoded home addresses, but these static boundaries can miss dynamic daily activity patterns, leading to biased results. This paper presents a novel measurement error…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-15 Lin Ge , Ce Yang , David Zucker , Jiaxuan Li , Donna Spiegelman , Molin Wang

We present a model-centric diagnostic framework that treats training state as a latent variable and unifies a family of internal readouts -- head-gradient norms, confidence, entropy, margin, and related signals -- as anchor-relative…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Fangzheng Wu , Brian Summa

We consider the concept of temperature in a setting beyond the standard thermodynamics prescriptions. Namely, rather than restricting to standard coarse-grained measurements, we consider observers able to master any possible quantum…

量子物理 · 物理学 2012-04-19 Alessandro Ferraro , Artur Garcia-Saez , Antonio Acin

Conventional likelihood-based information criteria for model selection rely on the distribution assumption of data. However, for complex data that are increasingly available in many scientific fields, the specification of their underlying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-25 Chixiang Chen , Ming Wang , Rongling Wu , Runze Li

A common problem in clinical trials is to test whether the effect of an explanatory variable on a response of interest is similar between two groups, e.g. patient or treatment groups. In this regard, similarity is defined as equivalence up…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-12 Niklas Hagemann , Giampiero Marra , Frank Bretz , Kathrin Möllenhoff

An important goal of environmental health research is to assess the health risks posed by mixtures of multiple environmental exposures. In these mixtures analyses, flexible models like Bayesian kernel machine regression and multiple index…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-29 Glen McGee , Joseph Antonelli

We propose a new way of investigating phase transitions in the context of information theory. We use an information-entropic measure of spatial complexity known as configurational entropy (CE) to quantify both the storage and exchange of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-03-23 Damian Sowinski , Marcelo Gleiser

The use of weather index insurances is subject to spatial basis risk, which arises from the fact that the location of the user's risk exposure is not the same as the location of any of the weather stations where an index can be measured. To…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-08-01 Yiping Guo , Johnny Siu-Hang Li

On the internet, web surfers, in the search of information, always strive for recommendations. The solutions for generating recommendations become more difficult because of exponential increase in information domain day by day. In this…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2012-01-23 Harita Mehta , Shveta Kundra Bhatia , Punam Bedi , V. S. Dixit

Evaluating the causal health effects of multivariate, continuous exposures, such as air pollution mixtures, is a critical public health challenge. A primary obstacle is the frequent violation of the positivity assumption, which renders the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Zhuochao Huang , Kejin Dong , Tuo Lin , Joseph Antonelli

Efforts are needed to identify and measure both communities' exposure to climate hazards and the social vulnerabilities that interact with these hazards, but the science of validating hazard vulnerability indicators is still in its infancy.…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-19 Lidia Cano Pecharroman , Melissa O. Tier , Elke U. Weber