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In randomized controlled trials, ordinal outcomes typically improve statistical efficiency over binary outcomes. The treatment effect on an ordinal outcome is usually described by the odds ratio from a proportional odds model, but this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-01 Lindsey E. Turner , Carolyn T. Bramante , Thomas A. Murray

Clinical prediction models (CPMs) are used to predict clinically relevant outcomes or events. Typically, prognostic CPMs are derived to predict the risk of a single future outcome. However, with rising emphasis on the prediction of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-29 Glen P. Martin , Matthew Sperrin , Kym I. E. Snell , Iain Buchan , Richard D. Riley

Automated machine learning (AutoML) streamlines the creation of ML models. While most methods select the "best" model based on predictive quality, it's crucial to acknowledge other aspects, such as interpretability and resource consumption.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-21 Raphael Fischer , Amal Saadallah

Conformal prediction is a general distribution-free approach for constructing prediction sets combined with any machine learning algorithm that achieve valid marginal or conditional coverage in finite samples. Ordinal classification is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-05 Subhrasish Chakraborty , Chhavi Tyagi , Haiyan Qiao , Wenge Guo

We study sequential testing for a binary disease outcome when risk follows an unknown logistic model. At each round, the decision maker may either pay for a test revealing the true label or predict the outcome based on patient features and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Tavor Z. Baharav , Spyros Dragazis , Aldo Pacchiano

Time series forecasting is ubiquitous in the modern world. Applications range from health care to astronomy, and include climate modelling, financial trading and monitoring of critical engineering equipment. To offer value over this range…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-26 Bernardo Pérez Orozco , Gabriele Abbati , Stephen Roberts

A large-scale industrial recommendation platform typically consists of multiple associated scenarios, requiring a unified click-through rate (CTR) prediction model to serve them simultaneously. Existing approaches for multi-scenario CTR…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2023-06-26 Xing Tang , Yang Qiao , Yuwen Fu , Fuyuan Lyu , Dugang Liu , Xiuqiang He

Clinical decision-making is a feedback system where risk estimates influence treatment, which in turn changes disease trajectories, and both shape clinicians' measurement practices. Static prediction often fails clinically: models trained…

This paper proposes methods of estimation and uniform inference for a general class of causal functions, such as the conditional average treatment effects and the continuous treatment effects, under multiway clustering. The causal function…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-11 Nan Liu , Yanbo Liu , Yuya Sasaki

Trajectory prediction is significant for intelligent vehicles to achieve high-level autonomous driving, and a lot of relevant research achievements have been made recently. Despite the rapid development, most existing studies solely focused…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-07-19 Qingfan Wang , Dongyang Xu , Gaoyuan Kuang , Chen Lv , Shengbo Eben Li , Bingbing Nie

Classification is a well-studied machine learning task which concerns the assignment of instances to a set of outcomes. Classification models support the optimization of managerial decision-making across a variety of operational business…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-19 Wouter Verbeke , Diego Olaya , Jeroen Berrevoets , Sam Verboven , Sebastián Maldonado

We propose an efficient framework for amortized conditional inference by leveraging exact conditional score-guided diffusion models to train a non-reversible neural network as a conditional generative model. Traditional normalizing flow…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-06-24 Zezhong Zhang , Caroline Tatsuoka , Dongbin Xiu , Guannan Zhang

We introduce OpportunityFinder, a code-less framework for performing a variety of causal inference studies with panel data for non-expert users. In its current state, OpportunityFinder only requires users to provide raw observational data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-26 Huy Nguyen , Prince Grover , Devashish Khatwani

Evaluating automatically generated radiology reports remains a fundamental challenge due to the lack of clinically grounded, interpretable, and fine-grained metrics. Existing methods either produce coarse overall scores or rely on opaque…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-08-22 Yingshu Li , Yunyi Liu , Lingqiao Liu , Lei Wang , Luping Zhou

Diffusion models are typically trained using score matching, a learning objective agnostic to the underlying noising process that guides the model. This paper argues that Markov noising processes enjoy an advantage over alternatives, as the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-27 Zheyang Shen , Huihui Wang , Marina Riabiz , Chris J. Oates

Multistage sequential decision-making scenarios are commonly seen in the healthcare diagnosis process. In this paper, an active learning-based method is developed to actively collect only the necessary patient data in a sequential manner.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-14 Hongzhen Tian , Reuven Zev Cohen , Chuck Zhang , Yajun Mei

Cardiovascular events, such as heart attacks and strokes, remain a leading cause of mortality globally, necessitating meticulous monitoring and adjudication in clinical trials. This process, traditionally performed manually by clinical…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-07-01 Sonish Sivarajkumar , Kimia Ameri , Chuqin Li , Yanshan Wang , Min Jiang

Ordinal classification models assign higher penalties to predictions further away from the true class. As a result, they are appropriate for relevant diagnostic tasks like disease progression prediction or medical image grading. The…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-09-19 Adrian Galdran

This paper introduces a novel approach to assess model performance for predictive models characterized by an ordinal target variable in order to satisfy the lack of suitable tools in this framework. Our methodological proposal is a new…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-06 Elena Ballante , Pierpaolo Uberti , Silvia Figini

This paper presents a scenario generation framework that creates diverse, parametrized, and safety-critical driving situations to validate the safety features of autonomous vehicles in simulation [15]. By modeling factors such as road…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-09 Kiruthiga Chandra Shekar , Aliasghar Moj Arab