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Phase I clinical trials are designed to test the safety (non-toxicity) of drugs and find the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). This task becomes significantly more challenging when multiple-drug dose-combinations (DC) are involved, due to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-27 Hyun-Suk Lee , Cong Shen , William Zame , Jang-Won Lee , Mihaela van der Schaar

Phase II dose finding studies in clinical drug development are typically conducted to adequately characterize the dose response relationship of a new drug. An important decision is then on the choice of a suitable dose response function to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-08-04 Kirsten Schorning , Björn Bornkamp , Frank Bretz , Holger Dette

Clinical trials are essential to drug development but time-consuming, costly, and prone to failure. Accurate trial outcome prediction based on historical trial data promises better trial investment decisions and more trial success. Existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-12 Zifeng Wang , Cao Xiao , Jimeng Sun

Dose optimization in oncology clinical trials has shifted from seeking the maximum tolerated dose to identifying the Optimal Biological Dose (OBD) that balances therapeutic benefits and risks across multiple clinical attributes. Existing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-07 Fanni Zhang , Kristine Broglio , Michael Sweeting , Gina D'Angelo

A comprehensive pharmaceutical recommendation system was designed based on the patients and drugs features extracted from Drugs.com and Druglib.com. First, data from these databases were combined, and a dataset of patients and drug…

Phase I dose-finding trials are increasingly challenging as the relationship between efficacy and toxicity of new compounds (or combination of them) becomes more complex. Despite this, most commonly used methods in practice focus on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-16 Cong Shen , Zhiyang Wang , Sofia S. Villar , Mihaela van der Schaar

Many applications of machine learning methods involve an iterative protocol in which data are collected, a model is trained, and then outputs of that model are used to choose what data to consider next. For example, one data-driven approach…

In parametric Bayesian designs of early phase cancer clinical trials with drug combinations exploring a discrete set of partially ordered doses, several authors claimed that there is no added value in including an interaction term to model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-12 Mourad Tighiouart , José L. Jiménez , Marcio A. Diniz , André Rogatko

The US Food and Drug Administration launched Project Optimus with the aim of shifting the paradigm of dose-finding and selection towards identifying the optimal biological dose that offers the best balance between benefit and risk, rather…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-13 Ying Yuan , Heng Zhou , Suyu Liu

Adaptive clinical trials rely on interim analyses, flexible stopping, and data-dependent design modifications that complicate statistical guarantees when fixed-horizon test statistics are repeatedly inspected or reused after adaptations.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-09 Alexandra Sokolova , Vadim Sokolov

The primary objective of phase I oncology studies is to establish the safety profile of a new treatment and determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). This is motivated by the development of cytotoxic agents based on the underlying…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-02-10 Yiding Zhang , Zhixing Xu , Hui Quan , Ji Lin

As a necessary process in drug development, finding a drug compound that can selectively bind to a specific protein is highly challenging and costly. Drug-target affinity (DTA), which represents the strength of drug-target interaction…

生物大分子 · 定量生物学 2023-12-18 Zhiqin Zhu , Zheng Yao , Guanqiu Qi , Neal Mazur , Baisen Cong

We consider a Bayesian framework based on "probability of decision" for dose-finding trial designs. The proposed PoD-BIN design evaluates the posterior predictive probabilities of up-and-down decisions. In PoD-BIN, multiple grades of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-12 Meizi Liu , Yuan Ji , Ji Lin

Drug combination therapy is a well-established strategy for disease treatment with better effectiveness and less safety degradation. However, identifying novel drug combinations through wet-lab experiments is resource intensive due to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-18 Zhihang Hu , Qinze Yu , Yucheng Guo , Taifeng Wang , Irwin King , Xin Gao , Le Song , Yu Li

Clinical trials often aim to compare a new drug with a reference treatment in terms of efficacy and/or toxicity depending on covariates such as, for example, the dose level of the drug. Equivalence of these treatments can be claimed if the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-22 Holger Dette , Kathrin Möllenhoff , Frank Bretz

Model-assisted interval designs such as the Keyboard design are transparent and easy to implement in phase I oncology trials. However, interim decisions based solely on data from the current dose may overlook informative signals from…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Jiangyan Zhao , Xian Shi , Jin Xu

Drug development is an expensive and time-consuming process where thousands of chemical compounds are being tested in order to find those possessing drug-like properties while being safe and effective. One of key parts of the early drug…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2022-02-15 Josip Mesarić

We propose a dynamic allocation procedure that increases power and efficiency when measuring an average treatment effect in sequential randomized trials. Subjects arrive iteratively and are either randomized or paired via a matching…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-05-23 Adam Kapelner , Abba Krieger

Dose-finding clinical trials in oncology aim to estimate the maximum tolerated dose (MTD), based on safety traditionally obtained from the clinician's perspective. While the collection of patient-reported outcomes (PROs) has been advocated…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-04-03 Anaïs Andrillon , Lucie Biard , Shing M. Lee

Given the cost and duration of phase III and phase IV clinical trials, the development of statistical methods for go/no-go decisions is vital. In this paper, we introduce a Bayesian methodology to compute the probability of success based on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-27 Ethan M. Alt , Matthew A. Psioda , Joseph G. Ibrahim