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Valid estimation of treatment effects from observational data requires proper control of confounding. If the number of covariates is large relative to the number of observations, then controlling for all available covariates is infeasible.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-11 Joseph Antonelli , Matthew Cefalu , Nathan Palmer , Denis Agniel

Due to label scarcity and covariate shift happening frequently in real-world studies, transfer learning has become an essential technique to train models generalizable to some target populations using existing labeled source data. Most…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-09 Doudou Zhou , Molei Liu , Mengyan Li , Tianxi Cai

Long-term treatment effect estimation is a significant but challenging problem in many applications. Existing methods rely on ideal assumptions, such as no unobserved confounders or binary treatment, to estimate long-term average treatment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-23 Zeqin Yang , Weilin Chen , Ruichu Cai , Yuguang Yan , Zhifeng Hao , Zhipeng Yu , Zhichao Zou , Jixing Xu , Zhen Peng , Jiecheng Guo

After variable selection, standard inferential procedures for regression parameters may not be uniformly valid; there is no finite-sample size at which a standard test is guaranteed to approximately attain its nominal size. This problem is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-07 Oliver Dukes , Vahe Avagyan , Stijn Vansteelandt

Empirical studies using Regression Discontinuity (RD) designs often explore heterogeneous treatment effects based on pretreatment covariates, even though no formal statistical methods exist for such analyses. This has led to the widespread…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-08 Sebastian Calonico , Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Filippo Palomba , Rocio Titiunik

Conditional effect estimation has great scientific and policy importance because interventions may impact subjects differently depending on their characteristics. Most research has focused on estimating the conditional average treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-25 Alec McClean , Zach Branson , Edward H. Kennedy

In many applications, researchers are interested in the direct and indirect causal effects of a treatment or exposure on an outcome of interest. Mediation analysis offers a rigorous framework for identifying and estimating these causal…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-08 Yizhen Xu , Numair Sani , AmirEmad Ghassami , Ilya Shpitser

Provider profiling has the goal of identifying healthcare providers with exceptional patient outcomes. When evaluating providers, adjustment is necessary to control for differences in case-mix between different providers. Direct and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-28 Herbert Susmann , Yiting Li , Mara A. McAdams-DeMarco , Iván Díaz , Wenbo Wu

In this paper, we propose a robust method to estimate the average treatment effects in observational studies when the number of potential confounders is possibly much greater than the sample size. We first use a class of penalized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-21 Yang Ning , Sida Peng , Kosuke Imai

Weighted estimators are commonly used for estimating exposure effects in observational settings to establish causal relations. These estimators have a long history of development when the exposure of interest is binary and where the weights…

The doubly robust (DR) estimator, which consists of two nuisance parameters, the conditional mean outcome and the logging policy (the probability of choosing an action), is crucial in causal inference. This paper proposes a DR estimator for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-22 Masahiro Kato , Shota Yasui , Kenichiro McAlinn

When outcomes are missing for reasons beyond an investigator's control, there are two different ways to adjust a parameter estimate for covariates that may be related both to the outcome and to missingness. One approach is to model the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-12-18 Joseph D. Y. Kang , Joseph L. Schafer

The difference-in-differences (DiD) design is a quasi-experimental method for estimating treatment effects. In staggered DiD with multiple treatment groups and periods, estimation based on the two-way fixed effects model yields negative…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Yuhao Deng , Le Kang

We propose a double robust Bayesian inference procedure on the average treatment effect (ATE) under unconfoundedness. For our new Bayesian approach, we first adjust the prior distributions of the conditional mean functions, and then correct…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-26 Christoph Breunig , Ruixuan Liu , Zhengfei Yu

For non-randomized studies, the regression discontinuity design (RDD) can be used to identify and estimate causal effects from a "locally-randomized" subgroup of subjects, under relatively mild conditions. However, current models focus…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-02-12 George Karabatsos , Stephen G. Walker

Detection of interactions between treatment effects and patient descriptors in clinical trials is critical for optimizing the drug development process. The increasing volume of data accumulated in clinical trials provides a unique…

Dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) are sequences of functions that formalize the process of precision medicine. DTRs take as input patient information and output treatment recommendations. A major focus of the DTR literature has been on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-21 Dylan Spicker , Michael P. Wallace , Grace Y. Yi

Nonlinearity and endogeneity are prevalent challenges in causal analysis using observational data. This paper proposes an inference procedure for a nonlinear and endogenous marginal effect function, defined as the derivative of the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-06-19 Qingliang Fan , Zijian Guo , Ziwei Mei , Cun-Hui Zhang

The regression discontinuity (RD) design is a popular approach to causal inference in non-randomized studies. This is because it can be used to identify and estimate causal effects under mild conditions. Specifically, for each subject, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-11 George Karabatsos , Stephen G. Walker

This paper studies inference in randomized controlled trials with covariate-adaptive randomization when there are multiple treatments. More specifically, we study inference about the average effect of one or more treatments relative to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-01-21 Federico A. Bugni , Ivan A. Canay , Azeem M. Shaikh