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Reproduction numbers are widely used for the estimation and prediction of epidemic spreading processes over networks. However, reproduction numbers do not enable estimation and prediction in individual communities within networks, and they…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-06-23 Baike She , Philip E. Paré , Matthew Hale

We apply optimal control theory to a tuberculosis model given by a system of ordinary differential equations. Optimal control strategies are proposed to minimize the cost of interventions, considering reinfection and post-exposure…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-07-15 Cristiana J. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

Infection can spread easily on networks with heterogeneous degree distribution. Here, we considered targeted immunization on such networks, wherein a fraction of individuals with the highest connectivity are immunized. To quantify the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-11-05 Satoru Morita

A critical question in epidemic control concerns the minimal requirements for a vaccination campaign to effectively halt a contagion process. However, control measures can inadvertently trigger resurgence dynamics, driven by a reservoir of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-02-04 Piergiorgio Castioni , Alex Arenas

We present a modified diffusive epidemic process that has a finite threshold on scale-free graphs. The diffusive epidemic process describes the epidemic spreading in a non-sedentary population, and it is a reaction-diffusion process. In the…

The nodes in communication networks are possibly and most likely equipped with different recovery resources, which allow them to recover from a virus with different rates. In this paper, we aim to understand know how to allocate the limited…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-09-01 Bo Qu , Alan Hanjalic , Huijuan Wang

Epidemiological models describe the spread of an infectious disease within a population. They capture microscopic details on how the disease is passed on among individuals in various different ways, while making predictions about the state…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-02-27 Stefan Hohenegger , Francesco Sannino

Consider a graph where the sites are distributed in space according to a Poisson point process on $\mathbb R^n$. We study a population evolving on this network, with individuals jumping between sites with a rate which decreases…

概率论 · 数学 2023-04-05 Vincent Bansaye , Michele Salvi

During infectious disease epidemics, pathogen transmission occurs in host populations made up of interacting subpopulations. Using stochastic simulation and analytical approximations, we examine how outbreak sizes in networked populations…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-01-21 Makoto Ueki , Robin N. Thompson , Murad Banaji

The World Health Organisation (WHO) has very strongly recommended testing and isolation as a strategy for controlling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. The goal of this paper is to quantify the effects of detection and isolation in formal…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-09 Palash Sarkar

The review is devoted to analysis of mathematical models used for describing epidemic processes. A main focus is done on the models that are based on partial differential equations (PDEs), especially those that were developed and used for…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-03-01 Vasyl' Davydovych , Vasyl' Dutka , Roman Cherniha

Epidemic containment is a major concern when confronting large-scale infections in complex networks. Many works have been devoted to analytically understand how to restructure the network to minimize the impact of major outbreaks of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-12-27 Joan T. Matamalas , Alex Arenas , Sergio Gómez

Epidemics, neural cascades, power failures, and many other phenomena can be described by a diffusion process on a network. To identify the causal origins of a spread, it is often necessary to identify the triggering initial node. Here we…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-10-04 V. AT. Nguyen , D. C. Vural

A social (sexual) network is modeled by an extension of the configuration model to the situation where edges have weights, e.g. reflecting the number of sex-contacts between the individuals. An epidemic model is defined on the network such…

概率论 · 数学 2011-12-21 Tom Britton , David Lindenstrand

Epidemic propagation on complex networks has been widely investigated, mostly with invariant parameters. However, the process of epidemic propagation is not always constant. Epidemics can be affected by various perturbations, and may bounce…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-09-13 Dan Lu , Shunkun Yang , Jiaquan Zhang , Huijuan Wang , Daqing Li

We study the effects of switching social contacts as a strategy to control epidemic outbreaks. Connections between susceptible and infective individuals can be broken by either individual, and then reconnected to a randomly chosen member of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2008-06-12 Sebastian Risau-Gusman , Damian H. Zanette

When an infectious disease strikes a population, the number of newly reported cases is often the only available information that one can obtain during early stages of the outbreak. An important goal of early outbreak analysis is to obtain a…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2013-05-30 Bahman Davoudi , Babak Pourbohloul , Joel Miller , Rafael Meza , Lauren Ancel Meyers , David J. D. Earn

Morphogenesis is central to biology but remains largely unexplored in chemistry. Reaction-diffusion (RD) mechanisms are, however, essential to understand how shape emerges in the living world. While numerical methods confirm the incredible…

斑图形成与孤子 · 物理学 2014-07-17 Anton S. Zadorin , Yannick Rondelez , Jean-Christophe Galas , André Estevez-Torres

We show that the basic reproduction number of an SIS patch model with standard incidence is either strictly decreasing and strictly convex with respect to the diffusion coefficient of infected subpopulation if the patch reproduction numbers…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-01-03 Daozhou Gao , Chao-Ping Dong

The dynamics of contact networks and epidemics of infectious diseases often occur on comparable time scales. Ignoring one of these time scales may provide an incomplete understanding of the population dynamics of the infection process. We…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-02-09 Luis E C Rocha , Naoki Masuda