相关论文: A zero-inflated endemic-epidemic model with an app…

Count data are common in medical research. When these data have more zeros than expected by the most used count distributions, it is common to employ a zero-inflated regression model. However, the interpretability of these models is much…

Measles presents a unique and imminent challenge for epidemiologists and public health officials: the disease is highly contagious, yet vaccination rates are declining precipitously in many localities. Consequently, the risk of a measles…

Zero inflation is a common nuisance while monitoring disease progression over time. This article proposes a new observation driven model for zero inflated and over-dispersed count time series. The counts given the past history of the…

Multivariate count time series models are an important tool for the analysis and prediction of infectious disease spread. We consider the endemic-epidemic framework, an autoregressive model class for infectious disease surveillance counts,…

In this work we describe a non-parametric disease model that links the temporal change of the prevalence of an infectious disease to the incidence and the recovery rates. The model is only based on the common epidemiological measures…

Many data sets cannot be accurately described by standard probability distributions due to the excess number of zero values present. For example, zero-inflation is prevalent in microbiome data and single-cell RNA sequencing data, which…

Researchers are often interested in predicting outcomes, conducting clustering analysis to detect distinct subgroups of their data, or computing causal treatment effects. Pathological data distributions that exhibit skewness and…

This paper develops mathematical tools to estimate seasonal changes in measles transmission rates and corresponding variation in population susceptibility. The tools are designed to leverage times series of cases in the absence of…

Ecological studies involving counts of abundance, presence-absence or occupancy rates often produce data having a substantial proportion of zeros. Furthermore, these types of processes are typically multivariate and only adequately…

This paper describes a compound Poisson-based random effects structure for modeling zero-inflated data. Data with large proportion of zeros are found in many fields of applied statistics, for example in ecology when trying to model and…

Count data are often subject to underreporting, especially in infectious disease surveillance. We propose an approximate maximum likelihood method to fit count time series models from the endemic-epidemic class to underreported data. The…

Claim frequency data in insurance records the number of claims on insurance policies during a finite period of time. Given that insurance companies operate with multiple lines of insurance business where the claim frequencies on different…

Count data with high frequencies of zeros are found in many areas, specially in biology. Statistical models to analyze such data started to be developed in the 80s and are still a topic of active research. Such models usually assume a…

A frequent challenge encountered with compositional ecological data is how to interpret and model data with a high proportion of zeros and $N$'s. Such data frequently occur in ecological applications where counts of species are collected…

This paper introduces the modeling of circular data with excess zeros under a longitudinal framework, where the response is a circular variable and the covariates can be both linear and circular in nature. In the literature, various…

Marginalized models are in great demand by most researchers in the life sciences particularly in clinical trials, epidemiology, health-economics, surveys and many others since they allow generalization of inference to the entire population…

We consider the complex data modeling problem motivated by the zero-inflated and overdispersed data from microbiome studies. Analyzing how microbiome abundance is associated with human biological features, such as BMI, is of great…

When surveillance data of infectious disease incidence (e.g. weekly case counts) are disaggregated by demographic indicators, disparities in long-run health outcomes between these groups become apparent. Accurate identification of high-risk…

This paper proposes a new generalized linear model with the fractional binomial distribution. Zero-inflated Poisson/negative binomial distributions are used for count data with many zeros. To analyze the association of such a count variable…

The main idea in this paper is that the age associated with reported measles cases can be used to estimate the number of undetected measles infections. Somewhat surprisingly, even with age only to the nearest year, estimates of…