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We present an efficient Bayesian method for estimating individual photometric redshifts and galaxy properties under a pre-trained population model (pop-cosmos) that was calibrated using purely photometric data. This model specifies a prior…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2024-10-31 Stephen Thorp , Justin Alsing , Hiranya V. Peiris , Sinan Deger , Daniel J. Mortlock , Boris Leistedt , Joel Leja , Arthur Loureiro

When using multiple data sources in an analysis, it is important to understand the influence of each data source on the analysis and the consistency of the data sources with each other and the model. We suggest the use of a retrospective…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-09-08 Jacob Parsons , Xiaoyue Niu , Le Bao

Crowd counting is a challenging yet critical task in computer vision with applications ranging from public safety to urban planning. Recent advances using Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) that estimate density maps have shown…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-07-10 Abhinav Sagar

Inference in semi-supervised (SS) settings has gained substantial attention in recent years due to increased relevance in modern big-data problems. In a typical SS setting, there is a much larger-sized unlabeled data, containing only…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-23 Gözde Sert , Abhishek Chakrabortty , Anirban Bhattacharya

Conventional survival analysis approaches estimate risk scores or individualized time-to-event distributions conditioned on covariates. In practice, there is often great population-level phenotypic heterogeneity, resulting from (unknown)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-03 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Chunyuan Li , Nikhil Mehta , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has become an essential part of the Bayesian toolbox for addressing problems in which the likelihood is prohibitively expensive or entirely unknown, making it intractable. ABC defines a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-14 Hien D. Nguyen , Julyan Arbel , Hongliang Lü , Florence Forbes

Several demographic and health indicators, including the total fertility rate (TFR) and modern contraceptive use rate (mCPR), evolve similarly over time, characterized by a transition between stable states. Existing approaches for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-09 Herbert Susmann , Leontine Alkema

Understanding the effects of social determinants of health on health outcomes requires data on characteristics of the neighborhoods in which subjects live. However, estimates of these characteristics are often aggregated over space and time…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-12-15 Marco H. Benedetti , Veronica J. Berrocal , Roderick J. Little

Epidemiological investigations of regionally aggregated spatial data often involve detecting spatial health disparities among neighboring regions on a map of disease mortality or incidence rates. Analyzing such data introduces spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-21 Kyle Lin Wu , Sudipto Banerjee

In the case of informative sampling the sampling scheme explicitly or implicitly depends on the response variable. As a result, the sample distribution of response variable can- not be used for making inference about the population. In this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-11-18 Anna Sikov

Background: We proposed approximate Bayesian computation with single distribution selection (ABC-SD) for estimating mean and standard deviation from other reported summary statistics. The ABC-SD generates pseudo data from a single…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-12 Deukwoo Kwon , Isildinha M. Reis

Traditional sources of population data, such as censuses and surveys, are costly, infrequent, and often unavailable in crisis-affected regions. Mobile phone application data offer near real-time, high-resolution insights into population…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-09-04 Carmen Cabrera , Francisco Rowe

Controlled branching processes are stochastic growth population models in which the number of individuals with reproductive capacity in each generation is controlled by a random control function. The purpose of this work is to examine the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-03 M. González , R. Martínez , C. Minuesa , I. del Puerto

As gravitational-wave catalogs grow, they will become increasingly computationally expensive to analyze in their entirety, especially when inferring astrophysical source populations with high-dimensional, flexible models. Bayesian…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2026-02-25 Noah E. Wolfe , Matthew Mould , John Veitch , Salvatore Vitale

The multivariate hypergeometric distribution describes sampling without replacement from a discrete population of elements divided into multiple categories. Addressing a gap in the literature, we tackle the challenge of estimating discrete…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-11 Liam Hodgson , Danilo Bzdok

Estimates of population abundance are fundamental to wildlife management and conservation, but are difficult to obtain across large geographic scales and for cryptic species. We used a state-space model with age-at-harvest data in a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-05-23 Maximilian L. Allen , Nathan M. Roberts , Andrew S. Norton , Timothy R. Van Deelen

This paper shows how measures of uncertainty can be applied to existing population forecasts using Estonia as a case study. The measures of forecast uncertainty are relatively easy to calculate and meet several important criteria used by…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-08-12 David A. Swanson , Jeff Tayman

Most population projection models require age-specific information on net migration totals as a key demographic component of population change. Existing methods for predicting future patterns of net migration by age have proven inadequate.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-11-18 Hana Ševčíková , James Raymer , Adrian E. Raftery

We present a Bayesian hierarchical framework to analyze photometric galaxy survey data with stellar population synthesis (SPS) models. Our method couples robust modeling of spectral energy distributions with a population model and a noise…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2023-01-18 Boris Leistedt , Justin Alsing , Hiranya Peiris , Daniel Mortlock , Joel Leja

Estimates of population size for hidden and hard-to-reach individuals are of particular interest to health officials when health problems are concentrated in such populations. Efforts to derive these estimates are often frustrated by a…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2017-02-01 Bilal Khan , Hsuan-Wei Lee , Kirk Dombrowski