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We use official data for all 16 federal German states to study the causal effect of a flat 1000 Euro state-dependent university tuition fee on the enrollment behavior of students during the years 2006-2014. In particular, we show how the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-01-05 Konstantin Görgen , Melanie Schienle

It is well-established that human activity is driving extreme weather patterns, and that these extreme events influence human behaviour. However, few models allow for human behaviours and the climate to dynamically interact. The models…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-05-01 Sarah K. Wyse , Eric Foxall , Rebecca C. Tyson

The motion of pedestrian crowds (e.g. for simulation of an evacuation situation) can be modeled as a multi-body system of self driven particles with repulsive interaction. We use a few simple situations to determine the simplest allowed…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-12-04 B. Steffen

We consider situations where consumers are aware that a statistical model determines the price of a product based on their observed behavior. Using a novel experiment varying the context similarity between participant data and a product, we…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-14 Inácio Bó , Li Chen , Rustamdjan Hakimov

We study the contrarian voter model for opinion formation in a society under the influence of an external oscillating propaganda and stochastic noise. Each agent of the population can hold one of two possible opinions on a given issue…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-08-25 M. Cecilia Gimenez , Luis Reinaudi , Federico Vazquez

Metacognition -- assessing the quality of one's own cognitive performance -- guides adaptive behavior across species. Substantial research demonstrates that confidence signals can be extracted from language model outputs, yet a fundamental…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Dharshan Kumaran , Nathaniel Daw , Simon Osindero , Petar Veličković , Viorica Patraucean

In this paper we study the impact of active participation -- or deliberately seeking out other agents with an aim to convince them -- on the dynamics of consensus formation. For this purpose, we propose an adaptive network model in which…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-06-04 Markus Brede

The effects of social groups on pedestrian dynamics, especially in evacuation scenarios, have attracted some interest recently. However, due to the lack of reliable empirical data, most of the studies focussed on modelling aspects. It was…

This paper studies whether and how differently projected information about the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic affects individuals' prosocial behavior and expectations on future outcomes. We conducted an online experiment with British…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-03-01 Valeria Fanghella , Thi-Thanh-Tam Vu , Luigi Mittone

Participation in conferences is an important part of every scientific career. Conferences provide an opportunity for a fast dissemination of latest results, discussion and exchange of ideas, and broadening of scientists' collaboration…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-02-11 Jelena Smiljanić , Arnab Chatterjee , Tomi Kauppinen , Marija Mitrović Dankulov

Despite their prevalence in eHealth applications for behavior change, persuasive messages tend to have small effects on behavior. Conditions or states (e.g., confidence, knowledge, motivation) and characteristics (e.g., gender, age,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-04-06 Nele Albers , Mark A. Neerincx , Willem-Paul Brinkman

Human driver participation is a critical source of uncertainty in Mobility-on-Demand (MoD) rebalancing. Drivers follow platform recommendations probabilistically, and their willingness to comply evolves with experienced outcomes. This…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-02 Avalpreet Singh Brar , Rong Su , Jaskaranveer Kaur , Gioele Zardini

Quantifying uncertainties in collective human behavior and decision making is crucial for ensuring public health and safety, enabling effective disaster response, informing the design of transportation and communication networks, and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-12-02 Kimberly J. Schlesinger , Chantal Nguyen , Imtiaz Ali , Jean M. Carlson

It is common to encounter the situation with uncertainty for decision makers (DMs) in dealing with a complex decision making problem. The existing evidence shows that people usually fear the extreme uncertainty named as the unknown. This…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2021-08-05 Fang Liu

A fundemantal and unanswered question for the widely shared goal of electrifying passenger vehicles is how the price of electricity, which can vary greatly across countries and regions, affects buying behavior. I make use of a natural…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-04-05 Johannes Mauritzen

The issue of sustainability is at the top of the political and societal agenda, being considered of extreme importance and urgency. Human individual action impacts the environment both locally (e.g., local air/water quality, noise…

Pedestrians often need to decide between different routes they can use to reach their intended destinations, both during emergencies and in their daily lives. This route-choice behavior is important in determining traffic management,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-12-19 Hongliu Li , Jun Zhang , Long Xia , Weiguo Song , Nikolai W. F. Bode

There are relatively few systematic comparisons of the ex ante counterfactual predictions from structural models to what occurs ex post. This paper uses a large-scale policy change in Boston in 2014 to investigate the performance of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-01-15 Parag A. Pathak , Peng Shi

The development and deployment of matching procedures that incentivize truthful preference reporting is considered one of the major successes of market design research. In this study, we test the degree to which these procedures succeed in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-10-12 Alex Rees-Jones , Samuel Skowronek

Understanding the social and behavioral forces behind event participation is not only interesting from the viewpoint of social science, but also has important applications in the design of personalized event recommender systems. This paper…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2014-04-01 Petko Georgiev , Anastasios Noulas , Cecilia Mascolo