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The sixth assessment of the international panel on climate change (IPCC) states that "cumulative net CO2 emissions over the last decade (2010-2019) are about the same size as the 11 remaining carbon budget likely to limit warming to 1.5C…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-08-24 Pietro Baroni , Federico Cerutti , Massimiliano Giacomin , Lance M. Kaplan , Murat Sensoy

The sum of entropic uncertainties for the measurement of two non-commuting observables is not always reduced by the amount of entanglement (quantum memory) between two parties, and in certain cases may be impacted by quantum correlations…

量子物理 · 物理学 2016-07-13 T. Pramanik , S. Mal , A. S. Majumdar

We introduce a method to measure uncertainty in large language models. For tasks like question answering, it is essential to know when we can trust the natural language outputs of foundation models. We show that measuring uncertainty in…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-04-18 Lorenz Kuhn , Yarin Gal , Sebastian Farquhar

As large language models (LLMs) continue to evolve, understanding and quantifying the uncertainty in their predictions is critical for enhancing application credibility. However, the existing literature relevant to LLM uncertainty…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Hsiu-Yuan Huang , Yutong Yang , Zhaoxi Zhang , Sanwoo Lee , Yunfang Wu

We introduce a new information-theoretic formulation of quantum measurement uncertainty relations, based on the notion of relative entropy between measurement probabilities. In the case of a finite-dimensional system and for any approximate…

数学物理 · 物理学 2018-03-02 Alberto Barchielli , Matteo Gregoratti , Alessandro Toigo

This study addresses the critical issue of reliability for AI-assisted medical diagnosis. We focus on the selection prediction approach that allows the diagnosis system to abstain from providing the decision if it is not confident in the…

The uncertainty principle sets a bound on our ability to predict the measurement outcomes of two incompatible observables which are measured on a quantum particle simultaneously. In quantum information theory, the uncertainty principle can…

量子物理 · 物理学 2019-12-03 H. Dolatkhah , S. Haseli , S. Salimi , A. s. Khorashad

The past few centuries have witnessed a dramatic growth in scientific and technological knowledge. However, the nature of that growth - whether exponential or otherwise - remains controversial, perhaps partly due to the lack of quantitative…

Arterial blood pressure is a key vital sign for the health of the human body. As such, accurate and reproducible measurement techniques are necessary for successful diagnosis. Blood pressure measurement is an example of molecular…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2014-10-22 Malcolm Egan , Adam Noel , Yansha Deng , Maged Elkashlan , Trung Q. Duong

These lectures deal with the problem of inductive inference, that is, the problem of reasoning under conditions of incomplete information. Is there a general method for handling uncertainty? Or, at least, are there rules that could in…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-09-08 Ariel Caticha

Can stated preferences inform counterfactual analyses of actual choice? This research proposes a novel approach to researchers who have access to both stated choices in hypothetical scenarios and actual choices, matched or unmatched. The…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-18 Romuald Meango , Marc Henry , Ismael Mourifie

Cell tracking and segmentation assist biologists in extracting insights from large-scale microscopy time-lapse data. Driven by local accuracy metrics, current tracking approaches often suffer from a lack of long-term consistency and the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-06-30 Timo Kaiser , Maximilian Schier , Bodo Rosenhahn

Clinician-facing predictive models are increasingly present in the healthcare setting. Regardless of their success with respect to performance metrics, all models have uncertainty. We investigate how to visually communicate uncertainty in…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2022-10-25 Caitlin F. Harrigan , Gabriela Morgenshtern , Anna Goldenberg , Fanny Chevalier

Knowledge Graph (KG) contains entities and the relations between entities. Due to its representation ability, KG has been successfully applied to support many medical/healthcare tasks. However, in the medical domain, knowledge holds under…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2019-08-20 Yang Deng , Yaliang Li , Ying Shen , Nan Du , Wei Fan , Min Yang , Kai Lei

"Back-of-the-envelope" or "rule-of-thumb" calculations involving rough estimates of quantities play a central scientific role in developing intuition about the structure and behaviour of physical systems, for example in so-called `Fermi…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2014-12-05 Iain G. Johnston , Benjamin C. Rickett , Nick S. Jones

Misinformation in healthcare, from vaccine hesitancy to unproven treatments, poses risks to public health and trust in medical systems. While machine learning and natural language processing have advanced automated fact-checking, validating…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-09-18 Mariano Barone , Antonio Romano , Giuseppe Riccio , Marco Postiglione , Vincenzo Moscato

What factors affect a scientist's choice of research problem? Qualitative research in the history, philosophy, and sociology of science suggests that this choice is shaped by an "essential tension" between the professional demand for…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-02-28 Jacob G. Foster , Andrey Rzhetsky , James A. Evans

A mathematical framework for information-theoretic analysis is established, with a new viewpoint of describing transmitted messages and communication channels by the nonlinear expectation theory, beyond the framework of classical…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-03-18 Wen-Xuan Lang , Shaoshi Yang , Jianhua Zhang , Zhiming Ma

In many natural language processing (NLP) tasks the same input (e.g. source sentence) can have multiple possible outputs (e.g. translations). To analyze how this ambiguity (also known as intrinsic uncertainty) shapes the distribution…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-04-04 Felix Stahlberg , Ilia Kulikov , Shankar Kumar

Numerical models are increasingly used for non-invasive diagnosis and treatment planning in coronary artery disease, where service-based technologies have proven successful in identifying hemodynamically significant and hence potentially…

医学物理 · 物理学 2020-05-01 Jongmin Seo , Casey Fleeter , Andrew M. Kahn , Alison L. Marsden , Daniele E. Schiavazzi