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Under mild non-degeneracy assumptions on branching rates in each generation, we provide a criterion for almost-sure extinction of a multi-type branching process with time-dependent branching rates. We also provide a criterion for the total…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-22 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Pratima Hebbar , Leonid Koralov , Mark Perlman

A density-dependent branching process is a particle system in which individuals reproduce independently, but in a way that depends on the current population size. This feature can model a wide range of ecological interactions at the cost of…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-23 Mathilde André , Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer

We study the probabilistic evolution of a birth and death continuous time measure-valued process with mutations and ecological interactions. The individuals are characterized by (phenotypic) traits that take values in a compact metric…

概率论 · 数学 2009-04-23 Pierre Collet , Servet Martinez , Sylvie Méléard , Jaime San Martin

This article presents a comprehensive study of the continuous McKendrick model, which serves as a foundational framework in population dynamics and epidemiology. The model is formulated through partial differential equations that describe…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-01-23 Dragos-Patru Covei

In this paper, we review recent results of ours concerning branching processes with general lifetimes and neutral mutations, under the infinitely many alleles model, where mutations can occur either at birth of individuals or at a constant…

概率论 · 数学 2012-11-29 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert , Mathieu Richard

The question of whether a population will persist or go extinct is of key interest throughout ecology and biology. Various mathematical techniques allow us to generate knowledge regarding individual behaviour, which can be analysed to…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-04-28 Stuart T. Johnston , Matthew J. Simpson , Edmund J. Crampin

A discrete time branching process where the offspring distribution is generation-dependent, and the number of reproductive individuals is controlled by a random mechanism is considered. This model is a Markov chain but, in general, the…

We consider extinction times for a class of birth-death processes commonly found in applications, where there is a control parameter which determines whether the population quickly becomes extinct, or rather persists for a long time. We…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2007-05-23 Charles R. Doering , Khachik V. Sargsyan , Leonard M. Sander

The logistic birth and death process is perhaps the simplest stochastic population model that has both density-dependent reproduction, and a phase transition, and a lot can be learned about the process by studying its extinction time,…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-22 Eric Foxall

We finely describe the "coming down from infinity" for birth and death processes which eventually become extinct. Our biological motivation is to study the decrease of regulated populations which are initially large. Under general…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-29 Vincent Bansaye , Sylvie Méléard , Mathieu Richard

This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of population processes with unbounded absorption rate, including one-dimensional birth and death processes with catastrophes and multi-dimensional birth and death processes, modeling…

概率论 · 数学 2016-11-10 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We consider a multi-type Galton-Watson branching processes, where the largest in magnitude positive eigenvalue $\rho$ of the first moments matrix is close to unity. Specifically, we examine the random vector representing the number of…

概率论 · 数学 2024-07-24 T. B. Lysetskyi , Ya. I. Yeleiko

A general multi-type population model is considered, where individuals live and reproduce according to their age and type, but also under the influence of the size and composition of the entire population. We describe the dynamics of the…

概率论 · 数学 2019-03-13 Jie Yen Fan , Kais Hamza , Peter Jagers , Fima C. Klebaner

The number of extant individuals within a lineage, as exemplified by counts of species numbers across genera in a higher taxonomic category, is known to be a highly skewed distribution. Because the sublineages (such as genera in a clade)…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-01-09 Panagis Moschopoulos , Max Shpak

We consider a birth-death process with the birth rates $i\lambda$ and death rates $i\mu +i(i-1)\theta$, where $i$ is the current state of the process. A positive competition rate $\theta$ is assumed to be small. In the supercritical case…

概率论 · 数学 2015-06-19 Serik Sagitov , Altynay Shaimerdenova

Density dependence is important in the ecology and evolution of microbial and cancer cells. Typically, we can only measure net growth rates, but the underlying density-dependent mechanisms that give rise to the observed dynamics can…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-06-04 Linh Huynh , Jacob G. Scott , Peter J. Thomas

We consider a population of particles with unit life length. Dying each particle produces offspring whose size depends on the random environment specifying the reproduction law of all particles of the given generation and on the number of…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-27 V. A. Vatutin , E. E. Dyakonova

Population dynamics reflects an underlying birth-death process, where the rates associated with different events may depend on external environmental conditions and on the population density. A whole family of simple and popular…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-07-03 Yitzhak Yahalom , Bnaya Steinmetz , Nadav M. Shnerb

We propose the following model for speciation and extinction. Birth and deaths occur according to spatially inhomogeneous contact rates. We assume that the ratio of the birth rate over the death rate at a site converges to some limit as the…

概率论 · 数学 2015-06-15 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We introduce and study the dynamics of an \emph{immortal} critical branching process. In the classic, critical branching process, particles give birth to a single offspring or die at the same rates. Even though the average population is…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-22 P. L. Krapivsky , S. Redner
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