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Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) is a methodology for sampling approximately from a sequence of probability distributions of increasing dimension and estimating their normalizing constants. We propose here an alternative methodology named…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-13 Anthony Brockwell , Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet

The combinatorial sequential Monte Carlo (CSMC) has been demonstrated to be an efficient complementary method to the standard Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) for Bayesian phylogenetic tree inference using biological sequences. It is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-08-12 Shijia Wang , Liangliang Wang

Many applications in signal processing require the estimation of some parameters of interest given a set of observed data. More specifically, Bayesian inference needs the computation of {\it a-posteriori} estimators which are often…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-21 Luca Martino

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, also known as particle filters, constitute a class of algorithms used to approximate expectations with respect to a sequence of probability distributions as well as the normalising constants of those…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-14 Axel Finke , Arnaud Doucet , Adam M. Johansen

Investigating critical phenomena or phase transitions is of high interest in physics and chemistry, for which Monte Carlo (MC) simulations, a crucial tool for numerically analyzing macroscopic properties of given systems, are often hindered…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-09 Ankur Singha , Elia Cellini , Kim A. Nicoli , Karl Jansen , Stefan Kühn , Shinichi Nakajima

The Markov chain Monte Carlo method (MCMC), especially the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm, is a widely used technique for sampling from a target probability distribution $P$ on a state space $\Omega$ and applied to various problems such…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-03-13 Koichi Miyamoto

Simulating the evolution of the local universe is important for studying galaxies and the intergalactic medium in a way free of cosmic variance. Here we present a method to reconstruct the initial linear density field from an input…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-22 Huiyuan Wang , H. J. Mo , Xiaohu Yang , Y. P. Jing , W. P. Lin

We show that for any multiple-try Metropolis algorithm, one can always accept the proposal and evaluate the importance weight that is needed to correct for the bias without extra computational cost. This results in a general, convenient,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-10-03 Guanxun Li , Aaron Smith , Quan Zhou

This paper presents a new data assimilation (DA) scheme based on a sequential Markov Chain Monte Carlo (SMCMC) DA technique [Ruzayqat et al. 2024] which is provably convergent and has been recently used for filtering, particularly for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-09-12 Hamza Ruzayqat , Omar Knio

Traditional MCMC algorithms are computationally intensive and do not scale well to large data. In particular, the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm requires passing over the entire dataset to evaluate the likelihood ratio in each…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-08-29 Tung-Yu Wu , Y. X. Rachel Wang , Wing H. Wong

Metropolis-Hastings (MH) is a foundational Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm. In this paper, we ask whether it is possible to formulate and analyse MH in terms of categorical probability, using a recent involutive framework for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-02-02 Rob Cornish , Andi Q. Wang

Random sampling of graph partitions under constraints has become a popular tool for evaluating legislative redistricting plans. Analysts detect partisan gerrymandering by comparing a proposed redistricting plan with an ensemble of sampled…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-11-09 Cory McCartan , Kosuke Imai

Novel Monte Carlo methods to generate samples from a target distribution, such as a posterior from a Bayesian analysis, have rapidly expanded in the past decade. Algorithms based on Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs),…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-09-05 Alice Corbella , Simon E F Spencer , Gareth O Roberts

Employing Bayesian inference to calibrate constitutive model parameters has grown substantially in recent years. Among the available techniques, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling remains one of the most widely used approaches for…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-04-02 Aricia Rinkens , Rodrigo L. S. Silva , Erik Quaeghebeur , Nick Jaensson , Clemens Verhoosel

Over decades, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have been widely studied, with a typical application being the quantification of posterior uncertainties in Bayesian system identification of structural dynamic models. To address the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Xianghao Meng , Yong Huang , James L. Beck , Kui Jiang , Hui Li

We consider the theoretical analysis of Multiscale Sampling Methods, which are a new class of gradient-free Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for high dimensional inverse differential equation problems. A detailed presentation of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-06 Lucas Seiffert , Felipe Pereira

A Riemannian geometric framework for Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is developed where using the Fisher-Rao metric on the manifold of probability density functions (pdfs), informed proposal densities for Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithms…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-08 Vivekananda Roy

We introduce interacting particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (iPMCMC), a PMCMC method based on an interacting pool of standard and conditional sequential Monte Carlo samplers. Like related methods, iPMCMC is a Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler…

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a state-of-the-art Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling algorithm for drawing samples from smooth probability densities over continuous spaces. We study the variant most widely used in practice, Metropolized…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-12 Yuansi Chen , Raaz Dwivedi , Martin J. Wainwright , Bin Yu

It has been widely documented that the sampling and resampling steps in particle filters cannot be differentiated. The {\itshape reparameterisation trick} was introduced to allow the sampling step to be reformulated into a differentiable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-08-10 Conor Rosato , Vincent Beraud , Paul Horridge , Thomas B. Schön , Simon Maskell