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Advances in digital sensors, digital data storage and communications have resulted in systems being capable of accumulating large collections of data. In the light of dealing with the challenges that massive data present, this work proposes…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-12-09 Allan De Freitas , François Septier , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are a widely used set of computational tools for inference in non-linear non-Gaussian state-space models. We propose a new SMC algorithm to compute the expectation of additive functionals recursively.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-12-27 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet , Sumeetpal Singh

Variable selection is a key issue when analyzing high-dimensional data. The explosion of data with large sample sizes and dimensionality brings new challenges to this problem in both inference accuracy and computational complexity. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-30 Xu Chen , Shaan Qamar , Surya T. Tokdar

Sequential Monte Carlo squared (SMC$^2$) methods can be used for parameter inference of intractable likelihood state-space models. These methods replace the likelihood with an unbiased particle filter estimator, similarly to particle Markov…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-10-24 Imke Botha , Robert Kohn , Leah South , Christopher Drovandi

We present a localized data assimilation (DA) scheme based on the sequential Markov Chain Monte Carlo (SMCMC) technique [Ruzayqat et al., 2024], a provably convergent method for filtering high-dimensional, nonlinear, and potentially…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-09 Hamza Ruzayqat , Hristo G. Chipilski , Omar Knio

We analyse the performance of a recursive Monte Carlo method for the Bayesian estimation of the static parameters of a discrete--time state--space Markov model. The algorithm employs two layers of particle filters to approximate the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-03-31 Dan Crisan , Joaquin Miguez

Nonlinear non-Gaussian state-space models are ubiquitous in statistics, econometrics, information engineering and signal processing. Particle methods, also known as Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, provide reliable numerical…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-09-11 Nikolas Kantas , Arnaud Doucet , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Jan Maciejowski , Nicolas Chopin

This paper addresses the problem of filtering with a state-space model. Standard approaches for filtering assume that a probabilistic model for observations (i.e. the observation model) is given explicitly or at least parametrically. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-10-23 Motonobu Kanagawa , Yu Nishiyama , Arthur Gretton , Kenji Fukumizu

In the last decade, sequential Monte-Carlo methods (SMC) emerged as a key tool in computational statistics. These algorithms approximate a sequence of distributions by a sequence of weighted empirical measures associated to a weighted…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 R. Douc , France E. Moulines

We introduce a new micro-macro Markov chain Monte Carlo method (mM-MCMC) to sample invariant distributions of molecular dynamics systems that exhibit a time-scale separation between the microscopic (fast) dynamics, and the macroscopic…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-02-24 Hannes Vandecasteele , Giovanni Samaey

A Kernel Adaptive Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is introduced, for the purpose of sampling from a target distribution with strongly nonlinear support. The algorithm embeds the trajectory of the Markov chain into a reproducing kernel Hilbert…

Motivated by the problem of exploring discrete but very complex state spaces in Bayesian models, we propose a novel Markov Chain Monte Carlo search algorithm: the taxicab sampler. We describe the construction of this sampler and discuss how…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-04 Vincent Geels , Matthew Pratola , Radu Herbei

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are indispensable when sampling from a complex, high-dimensional distribution by a conventional method is intractable. Even though MCMC is a powerful tool, it is also hard to control and tune in…

图形学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-14 Sascha Holl , Gurprit Singh , Hans-Peter Seidel

Simulation methods have become important tools for quantifying partisan and racial bias in redistricting plans. We generalize the Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithm of McCartan and Imai (2023), one of the commonly used approaches.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Philip O'Sullivan , Kosuke Imai , Cory McCartan

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are sampling methods that have become a commonly used tool in statistics, for example to perform Monte Carlo integration. As a consequence of the increase in computational power, many variations of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-06-14 F. Din-Houn Lau , Sebastian Krumscheid

When performing Bayesian inference using Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, two considerations arise: the accuracy of the posterior approximation and computational efficiency. To address computational demands, Sequential Monte Carlo…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-11 Joshua Murphy , Conor Rosato , Andrew Millard , Lee Devlin , Paul Horridge , Simon Maskell

We propose a new framework for how to use sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms for inference in probabilistic graphical models (PGM). Via a sequential decomposition of the PGM we find a sequence of auxiliary distributions defined on a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-07 Christian A. Naesseth , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

In this paper we study asymptotic properties of different data-augmentation-type Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms sampling from mixture models comprising discrete as well as continuous random variables. Of particular interest to us is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-04-04 Randal Douc , Florian Maire , Jimmy Olsson

Non-linear state space models are a widely-used class of models for biological, economic, and physical processes. Fitting these models to observed data is a difficult inference problem that has no straightforward solution. We take a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-05-03 Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Radford M. Neal

It is common practice in Markov chain Monte Carlo to update the simulation one variable (or sub-block of variables) at a time, rather than conduct a single full-dimensional update. When it is possible to draw from each full-conditional…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-10-03 Alicia A. Johnson , Galin L. Jones , Ronald C. Neath