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An important characteristic of neural networks is their ability to learn representations of the input data with effective features for prediction, which is believed to be a key factor to their superior empirical performance. To better…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-06 Zhenmei Shi , Junyi Wei , Yingyu Liang

In machine learning tasks, especially in the tasks of prediction, scientists tend to rely solely on available historical data and disregard unproven insights, such as experts' opinions, polls, and betting odds. In this paper, we propose a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-06 Jafar Habibi , Amir Fazelinia , Issa Annamoradnejad

Drafting strong players is crucial for the team success. We describe a new data-driven interpretable approach for assessing draft prospects in the National Hockey League. Successful previous approaches have built a predictive model based on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-02-27 Oliver Schulte , Yejia Liu , Chao Li

Choice modeling has been a central topic in the study of individual preference or utility across many fields including economics, marketing, operations research, and psychology. While the vast majority of the literature on choice models has…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-08-22 Zhongze Cai , Hanzhao Wang , Kalyan Talluri , Xiaocheng Li

Predicting performance outcomes has the potential to transform training approaches, inform coaching strategies, and deepen our understanding of the factors that contribute to athletic success. Traditional non-automated data analysis in…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2025-09-12 Melik Ozolcer , Tongze Zhang , Sang Won Bae

Market valuations for professional athletes is a difficult problem, given the amount of variability in performance and location from year to year. In the National Basketball Association (NBA), a straightforward way to address this problem…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-09 Junhao Su , David Grimsman , Christopher Archibald

The Elo rating system is a highly successful ranking algorithm for games of skill where, by construction, one team wins and the other loses. A primary limitation of the original Elo algorithm is its inability to predict information beyond a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-05 J. Scott Moreland , Matthew C. Superdock

How much is an on-ball screen worth? How much is a backdoor cut away from the ball worth? Basketball is one of a number of sports which, within the past decade, have seen an explosion in quantitative metrics and methods for evaluating…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-02-22 Anthony Sicilia , Konstantinos Pelechrinis , Kirk Goldsberry

This paper studies the relationship between basketball teams' four factors and efficiency ratings as defined by Oliver (2004). The paper introduces an equation showing how a team's four factors in conjunction with its field goal and free…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-05-23 Jirka Poropudas , Topi Halme

A deep feature based saliency model (DeepFeat) is developed to leverage the understanding of the prediction of human fixations. Traditional saliency models often predict the human visual attention relying on few level image cues. Although…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-09-11 Ali Mahdi , Jun Qin

Competition is a primary driver of player satisfaction and engagement in multiplayer online games. Traditional matchmaking systems aim at creating matches involving teams of similar aggregated individual skill levels, such as Elo score or…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-06-25 Sofia M Nikolakaki , Ogheneovo Dibie , Ahmad Beirami , Nicholas Peterson , Navid Aghdaie , Kazi Zaman

It is not surprise for machine learning models to provide decent prediction accuracy of soccer games outcomes based on various objective metrics. However, the performance is not that decent in terms of predicting difficult and valuable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-05 Liyao Lu , Qiang Lyu

In recent years neural networks have achieved impressive results on many technological and scientific tasks. Yet, the mechanism through which these models automatically select features, or patterns in data, for prediction remains unclear.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-11 Adityanarayanan Radhakrishnan , Daniel Beaglehole , Parthe Pandit , Mikhail Belkin

In this paper, we predict the likelihood of a player making a shot in basketball from multiagent trajectories. Previous approaches to similar problems center on hand-crafting features to capture domain specific knowledge. Although…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-19 Mark Harmon , Abdolghani Ebrahimi , Patrick Lucey , Diego Klabjan

The burgeoning growth of the esports and multiplayer online gaming community has highlighted the critical importance of evaluating the Most Valuable Player (MVP). The establishment of an explainable and practical MVP evaluation method is…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Haifeng Sun , Yu Xiong , Runze Wu , Kai Wang , Lan Zhang , Changjie Fan , Shaojie Tang , Xiang-Yang Li

Deep-learning models can extract a rich assortment of features from data. Which features a model uses depends not only on \emph{predictivity} -- how reliably a feature indicates training-set labels -- but also on \emph{availability} -- how…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-15 Katherine L. Hermann , Hossein Mobahi , Thomas Fel , Michael C. Mozer

Deep learning algorithms have recently shown to be a successful tool in estimating parameters of statistical models for which simulation is easy, but likelihood computation is challenging. But the success of these approaches depends on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-20 Amanda Lenzi , Haavard Rue

Cricket betting is a multi-billion dollar market. Therefore, there is a strong incentive for models that can predict the outcomes of games and beat the odds provided by bookers. The aim of this study was to investigate to what degree it is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-19 Stylianos Kampakis , William Thomas

In this research, I explore advanced deep learning methodologies to forecast the outcomes of the 2025 NCAA Division 1 Men's and Women's Basketball tournaments. Leveraging historical NCAA game data, I implement two sophisticated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-06 Md Imtiaz Habib

League of Legends (LoL) is the most widely played multiplayer online battle arena (MOBA) game in the world. An important aspect of LoL is competitive ranked play, which utilizes a skill-based matchmaking system to form fair teams. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-09 Tiffany D. Do , Seong Ioi Wang , Dylan S. Yu , Matthew G. McMillian , Ryan P. McMahan