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Given a collection of historical sports rankings, can one tell which player is the greatest of all time (i.e., the GOAT)? In this work, we design a data-driven random walk on the symmetric group to obtain a stationary distribution over…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-10-16 Gian-Gabriel P. Garcia , J. Carlos Martínez Mori

Tennis, like other games and sports, is governed by rules, including the rules that determine the winner of points, games, sets, and matches. If the two players are equally skilled -- each has the same probability of winning a point when…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-14 Steven J. Brams , Mehmet S. Ismail , D. Marc Kilgour

In the 2023 Wimbledon Gentlemen's final, Carlos Alcaraz defeated Novak Djokovic. This study aims to predict athletes' performance through five key aspects: first, a mul-ti-classification model based on logistic regression was established,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-07-11 Chuangqi Li

Tennis is one of the world's biggest and most popular sports. Multiple researchers have, with limited success, modeled the outcome of matches using probability modelling or machine learning approaches. The approach presented here predicts…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-06-09 Martin Illum , Hans Christian Bechsøfft Mikkelsen , Emil Hovad

We propose a novel ranking model that combines the Bradley-Terry-Luce probability model with a nonnegative matrix factorization framework to model and uncover the presence of latent variables that influence the performance of top tennis…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-14 Rui Xia , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Louis Filstroff , Cédric Févotte

Pairwise comparison is an important tool in multi-attribute decision making. Pairwise comparison matrices (PCM) have been applied for ranking criteria and for scoring alternatives according to a given criterion. Our paper presents a special…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-06-20 Sándor Bozóki , László Csató , József Temesi

Intransitive player dominance, where player A beats B, B beats C, but C beats A, is common in competitive tennis. Yet, there are few known attempts to incorporate it within forecasting methods. We address this problem with a graph neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-24 Lawrence Clegg , John Cartlidge

Tennis is so popular that coaches and players are curious about factors other than skill, such as momentum. This article will try to define and quantify momentum, providing a basis for real-time analysis of tennis matches. Based on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-25 Ruixin Peng , Ziqing Li

We consider all matches played by professional tennis players between 1968 and 2010, and, on the basis of this data set, construct a directed and weighted network of contacts. The resulting graph shows complex features, typical of many real…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2011-02-14 Filippo Radicchi

Ranking is a ubiquitous phenomenon in the human society. By clicking the web pages of Forbes, you may find all kinds of rankings, such as world's most powerful people, world's richest people, top-paid tennis stars, and so on and so forth.…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-06-03 Weibing Deng , Wei Li , Xu Cai , Alain Bulou , Qiuping A. Wang

Individual sports competitions provide a natural setting for examining the relative importance of talent and luck/chance in achieving success. The belief that success is primarily due to individual abilities and hard work rather than…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-11-14 Chiara Zappalá , Alessio Emanuele Biondo , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda

From the viewpoint of networks, a ranking system for players or teams in sports is equivalent to a centrality measure for sports networks, whereby a directed link represents the result of a single game. Previously proposed network-based…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-12-07 Shun Motegi , Naoki Masuda

In the light of the need to achieve a ranking which is understood by all tennis supporters, the ATP ranking is exposed to constant complaints from players and at the same time exposes new players to be benefited with a good tournament to be…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2017-12-01 Alex Aronson

Who are the most significant players in the history of men tennis? Is the official ATP ranking system fair in evaluating players scores? Which players deserved the most contemplation looking at their match records? Which players have never…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-04-24 Umberto Michieli

The presence of momentum in sports, where the outcome of a previous event affects a following event, is a belief often held by fans, and has been the subject of statistical study for many sports. This paper investigates the presence and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-05 Arjun Goyal , Jeffrey S. Simonoff

Extending the work of Connolly and Rendleman (2008), we document the dominance of Tiger Woods during the 1998-2001 PGA Tour seasons. We show that by playing "average," Woods could have won some tournaments and placed no worse than fourth in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-09-24 Robert A. Connolly , Richard J. Rendleman

In this manuscript, we concentrate on a specific type of covariates, which we call statistically enhanced, for modeling tennis matches for men at Grand slam tournaments. Our goal is to assess whether these enhanced covariates have the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-27 Nourah Buhamra , Andreas Groll

Success in sports is a complex phenomenon that has only garnered limited research attention. In particular, we lack a deep scientific understanding of success in sports like tennis and the factors that contribute to it. Here, we study the…

A commonly held opinion is that left-handed tennis players are overrepresented compared to the percentage of left-handers within the general population. This study provides the domain insights supported by data analysis that could help…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-12-31 Boris Bačić , Ali Ghazala

Tennis is a popular sport worldwide, boasting millions of fans and numerous national and international tournaments. Like many sports, tennis has benefitted from the popularity of rigorous record-keeping of game and player information, as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-09 Zijian Gao , Amanda Kowalczyk
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