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We consider a patient risk models which has access to patient features such as vital signs, lab values, and prior history but does not have access to a patient's diagnosis. For example, this occurs in a model deployed at intake time for…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-07-03 Alexander Peysakhovich , Rich Caruana , Yin Aphinyanaphongs

The COVID-19 pandemic has strained global public health, necessitating accurate diagnosis and intervention to control disease spread and reduce mortality rates. This paper introduces an interpretable deep survival prediction model designed…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-05-07 Zhusi Zhong , Jie Li , Zhuoqi Ma , Scott Collins , Harrison Bai , Paul Zhang , Terrance Healey , Xinbo Gao , Michael K. Atalay , Zhicheng Jiao

Learning-based methodologies increasingly find applications in safety-critical domains like autonomous driving and medical robotics. Due to the rare nature of dangerous events, real-world testing is prohibitively expensive and unscalable.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-10 Aman Sinha , Matthew O'Kelly , Russ Tedrake , John Duchi

Everyday life is increasingly influenced by artificial intelligence, and there is no question that machine learning algorithms must be designed to be reliable and trustworthy for everyone. Specifically, computer scientists consider an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-29 Sara Narteni , Alberto Carlevaro , Fabrizio Dabbene , Marco Muselli , Maurizio Mongelli

In the field of conditional autonomous driving technology, driver perceived risk prediction plays a crucial role in reducing traffic risks and ensuring passenger safety. This study introduces an innovative perceived risk prediction model…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2025-03-07 Chenhao Yang , Siwei Huang , Chuan Hu

Clinical prediction models estimate an individual's risk of a particular health outcome, conditional on their values of multiple predictors. A developed model is a consequence of the development dataset and the chosen model building…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-15 Richard D Riley , Gary S Collins

The SYNTAX score has become a widely used measure of coronary disease severity, crucial in selecting the optimal mode of the revascularization procedure. This paper introduces a new medical regression and classification problem -…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-05-07 Alexander Ponomarchuk , Ivan Kruzhilov , Galina Zubkova , Artem Shadrin , Ruslan Utegenov , Ivan Bessonov , Pavel Blinov

In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the integration of interpretable machine learning techniques has garnered significant attention, offering transparent and understandable insights crucial for informed clinical decision making. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-10 Jinzhi Shen , Ke Ma

Clinical prediction models (CPMs) are used to predict clinically relevant outcomes or events. Typically, prognostic CPMs are derived to predict the risk of a single future outcome. However, with rising emphasis on the prediction of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-29 Glen P. Martin , Matthew Sperrin , Kym I. E. Snell , Iain Buchan , Richard D. Riley

The assessment of highly-risky situations at road intersections have been recently revealed as an important research topic within the context of the automotive industry. In this paper we shall introduce a novel approach to compute risk…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Alejandro Chinea Manrique De Lara , Michel Parent

Uncertainty estimation has been widely studied in medical image segmentation as a tool to provide reliability, particularly in deep learning approaches. However, previous methods generally lack effective supervision in uncertainty…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-15 Yuzhu Li , An Sui , Fuping Wu , Xiahai Zhuang

Decision curve analysis can be used to determine whether a personalized model for treatment benefit would lead to better clinical decisions. Decision curve analysis methods have been described to estimate treatment benefit using data from a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-01 Konstantina Chalkou , Andrew J. Vickers , Fabio Pellegrini , Andrea Manca , Georgia Salanti

Risk prediction is central to both clinical medicine and public health. While many machine learning models have been developed to predict mortality, they are rarely applied in the clinical literature, where classification tasks typically…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-12-05 Maggie Makar , Marzyeh Ghassemi , David Cutler , Ziad Obermeyer

Existing metrics in competing risks survival analysis such as concordance and accuracy do not evaluate a model's ability to jointly predict the event type and the event time. To address these limitations, we propose a new metric, which we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-20 Kartik Ahuja , Mihaela van der Schaar

Monitoring key elements of disease dynamics (e.g., prevalence, case counts) is of great importance in infectious disease prevention and control, as emphasized during the COVID-19 pandemic. To facilitate this effort, we propose a new…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-10 Lin Ge , Yuzi Zhang , Lance A. Waller , Robert H. Lyles

Evaluation of clinical prediction models across multiple clusters, whether centers or datasets, is becoming increasingly common. A comprehensive evaluation includes an assessment of the agreement between the estimated risks and the observed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-22 Lasai Barreñada , Bavo D. C. Campo , Laure Wynants , Ben Van Calster

Checklists are simple decision aids that are often used to promote safety and reliability in clinical applications. In this paper, we present a method to learn checklists for clinical decision support. We represent predictive checklists as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-19 Haoran Zhang , Quaid Morris , Berk Ustun , Marzyeh Ghassemi

Cardiovascular disease (CVDs) is a rapidly rising global concern due to unhealthy diets, lack of physical activity, and other factors. According to the World Health Organization (WHO), primary risk factors include elevated blood pressure,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-09-25 Shashi Shekhar Kumar , Anurag Harsh , Ritesh Chandra , Sonali Agarwal

Early identification of stroke is crucial for intervention, requiring reliable models. We proposed an efficient retinal image representation together with clinical information to capture a comprehensive overview of cardiovascular health,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-11-11 Yuqing Huang , Bastian Wittmann , Olga Demler , Bjoern Menze , Neda Davoudi

Machine learning classification tasks often benefit from predicting a set of possible labels with confidence scores to capture uncertainty. However, existing methods struggle with the high-dimensional nature of the data and the lack of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-08 Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou