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Objective: In this paper, we develop a personalized real-time risk scoring algorithm that provides timely and granular assessments for the clinical acuity of ward patients based on their (temporal) lab tests and vital signs; the proposed…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-10-28 Ahmed M. Alaa , Jinsung Yoon , Scott Hu , Mihaela van der Schaar

In this study, we present a novel clinical decision support system and discuss its interpretability-related properties. It combines a decision set of rules with a machine learning scheme to offer global and local interpretability. More…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-16 Francisco Valente , Simão Paredes , Jorge Henriques

Objective: Machine learning algorithms are now widely used in predicting acute events for clinical applications. While most of such prediction applications are developed to predict the risk of a particular acute event at one hospital, few…

Many in-hospital mortality risk prediction scores dichotomize predictive variables to simplify the score calculation. However, hard thresholding in these additive stepwise scores of the form "add x points if variable v is above/below…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-04-30 Natalia M. Arzeno , Karla A. Lawson , Sarah V. Duzinski , Haris Vikalo

Machine learning systems show significant promise for forecasting patient adverse events via risk scores. However, these risk scores implicitly encode assumptions about future interventions that the patient is likely to receive, based on…

Classification is a common statistical task in many areas. In order to ameliorate the performance of the existing methods, there are always some new classification procedures proposed. These procedures, especially those raised in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

Patients who suffer an acute coronary syndrome are at elevated risk for adverse cardiovascular events such as myocardial infarction and cardiovascular death. Accurate assessment of this risk is crucial to their course of care. We focus on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-26 Divya Shanmugam , Davis Blalock , John Guttag

Risk scores are simple classification models that let users make quick risk predictions by adding and subtracting a few small numbers. These models are widely used in medicine and criminal justice, but are difficult to learn from data…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-21 Berk Ustun , Cynthia Rudin

Accurate prediction of outcomes is crucial for clinical decision-making and personalized patient care. Supervised machine learning algorithms, which are commonly used for outcome prediction in the medical domain, optimize for predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-09 Nithya Bhasker , Fiona R. Kolbinger , Susu Hu , Gitta Kutyniok , Stefanie Speidel

Many clinical risk scores are deployed as additive rules with nonnegative integer points assigned to relevant binary predictive features. These integer weights not only make the score easier to use in practice but also promote sparsity in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Ying Cui , Albert M Li , Vivek Charu , Yeon-Mi Hwang , Tina Hernandez-Boussard , Lu Tian

Prediction of mortality in intensive care unit (ICU) patients typically relies on black box models (that are unacceptable for use in hospitals) or hand-tuned interpretable models (that might lead to the loss in performance). We aim to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-09 Chloe Qinyu Zhu , Muhang Tian , Lesia Semenova , Jiachang Liu , Jack Xu , Joseph Scarpa , Cynthia Rudin

We report the development and validation of a data-driven real-time risk score that provides timely assessments for the clinical acuity of ward patients based on their temporal lab tests and vital signs, which allows for timely intensive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-05-23 Ahmed M. Alaa , Jinsung Yoon , Scott Hu , Mihaela van der Schaar

Background: Invasive coronary arteriography (ICA) is recognized as the gold standard for diagnosing cardiovascular diseases, including unstable angina (UA). The challenge lies in determining the optimal timing for ICA in UA patients,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-09 Candi Zheng , Kun Liu , Yang Wang , Shiyi Chen , Hongli Li

Science and technology have a growing need for effective mechanisms that ensure reliable, controlled performance from black-box machine learning algorithms. These performance guarantees should ideally hold conditionally on the input-that is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-28 Vincent Blot , Anastasios N Angelopoulos , Michael I Jordan , Nicolas J-B Brunel

Advanced classification algorithms are being increasingly used in safety-critical applications like health-care, engineering, etc. In such applications, miss-classifications made by ML algorithms can result in substantial financial or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-06 Disha Ghandwani , Neeraj Sarna , Yuanyuan Li , Yang Lin

We aim to produce predictive models that are not only accurate, but are also interpretable to human experts. Our models are decision lists, which consist of a series of if...then... statements (e.g., if high blood pressure, then stroke)…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-11-06 Benjamin Letham , Cynthia Rudin , Tyler H. McCormick , David Madigan

Mortality risk is a major concern to patients have just been discharged from the intensive care unit (ICU). Many studies have been directed to construct machine learning models to predict such risk. Although these models are highly…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-01-20 Eugene T. Y. Ang , Milashini Nambiar , Yong Sheng Soh , Vincent Y. F. Tan

Clinical language models (LMs) are increasingly applied to support clinical risk prediction from free-text notes, yet their uncertainty estimates often remain poorly calibrated and clinically unreliable. In this work, we propose Clinical…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-04-27 Sizhe Wang , Ziqi Xu , Claire Najjuuko , Charles Alba , Chenyang Lu

Heart disease continues to pose a critical worldwide health issue, more specifically in areas with insufficient access to healthcare infrastructure and diagnostic systems. Conventional diagnostic approaches often fall short in accurately…

We present a novel methodology for integrating high resolution longitudinal data with the dynamic prediction capabilities of survival models. The aim is two-fold: to improve the predictive power while maintaining interpretability of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-07 Giacomo Lancia , Meri Varkila , Olaf Cremer , Cristian Spitoni
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