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In many clinical trials, individuals in different subgroups have experience differential treatment effects. This leads to individualized differences in treatment benefit. In this article, we introduce the general concept of predictive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-11 Debashis Ghosh , Youngjoo Cho

It is known that reinforcement learning (RL) is data-hungry. To improve sample-efficiency of RL, it has been proposed that the learning algorithm utilize data from 'approximately similar' processes. However, since the process models are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-24 Vinay Kanakeri , Shivam Bajaj , Ashwin Verma , Vijay Gupta , Aritra Mitra

This study investigates the problem of individualizing treatment allocations using stated preferences for treatments. If individuals know in advance how the assignment will be individualized based on their stated preferences, they may state…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-16 Daido Kido

We consider the problem of learning how to optimally allocate treatments whose cost is uncertain and can vary with pre-treatment covariates. This setting may arise in medicine if we need to prioritize access to a scarce resource that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-14 Hao Sun , Evan Munro , Georgy Kalashnov , Shuyang Du , Stefan Wager

We propose a prognostic stratum matching framework that addresses the deficiencies of Randomized trial data subgroup analysis and transforms ObservAtional Data to be used as if they were randomized, thus paving the road for precision…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-11-06 Dimitris Bertsimas , Angelos G. Koulouras , Georgios Antonios Margonis

Evidence from observational studies has become increasingly important for supporting healthcare policy making via cost-effectiveness (CE) analyses. Similar as in comparative effectiveness studies, health economic evaluations that consider…

Data-driven individualized decision making has recently received increasing research interests. Most existing methods rely on the assumption of no unmeasured confounding, which unfortunately cannot be ensured in practice especially in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-26 Zhengling Qi , Rui Miao , Xiaoke Zhang

Modern high-dimensional methods often adopt the "bet on sparsity" principle, while in supervised multivariate learning statisticians may face "dense" problems with a large number of nonzero coefficients. This paper proposes a novel…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-02-10 Yiyuan She , Jiahui Shen , Chao Zhang

Randomized controlled trials typically analyze the effectiveness of treatments with the goal of making treatment recommendations for patient subgroups. With the advance of electronic health records, a great variety of data has been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-31 Zhiliang Wu , Yinchong Yang , Yunpu Ma , Yushan Liu , Rui Zhao , Michael Moor , Volker Tresp

Constrained Stochastic Shortest Path Problems (CSSPs) model problems with probabilistic effects, where a primary cost is minimised subject to constraints over secondary costs, e.g., minimise time subject to monetary budget. Current…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-08-26 Johannes Schmalz , Felipe Trevizan

Randomized trials are considered the gold standard for making informed decisions in medicine, yet they often lack generalizability to the patient populations in clinical practice. Observational studies, on the other hand, cover a broader…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Piersilvio De Bartolomeis , Javier Abad , Konstantin Donhauser , Fanny Yang

Precision medicine involves developing individualized treatment regimes (ITRs) which allow for treatment decisions to be tailored to patient characteristics. Naturally, the identification of the optimal regime, that is, the rule which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-30 Misha Dolmatov , Erica E. M. Moodie , David A. Stephens , Dipankar Bandyopadhyay

This paper extends my research applying statistical decision theory to treatment choice with sample data, using maximum regret to evaluate the performance of treatment rules. The specific new contribution is to study as-if optimization…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-10-05 Charles F. Manski

Multistate process data are common in studies of chronic diseases such as cancer. These data are ideal for precision medicine purposes as they can be leveraged to improve more refined health outcomes, compared to standard survival outcomes,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-28 Giorgos Bakoyannis

Statistical learning with a large number of rare binary features is commonly encountered in analyzing electronic health records (EHR) data, especially in the modeling of disease onset with prior medical diagnoses and procedures. Dealing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-28 Jianmin Chen , Robert H. Aseltine , Fei Wang , Kun Chen

Understanding treatment heterogeneity is essential to the development of precision medicine, which seeks to tailor medical treatments to subgroups of patients with similar characteristics. One of the challenges to achieve this goal is that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-21 Shujie Ma , Jian Huang , Zhiwei Zhang , Mingming Liu

Randomized experimentation (also known as A/B testing or bucket testing) is widely used in the internet industry to measure the metric impact obtained by different treatment variants. A/B tests identify the treatment variant showing the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-23 Ye Tu , Kinjal Basu , Cyrus DiCiccio , Romil Bansal , Preetam Nandy , Padmini Jaikumar , Shaunak Chatterjee

A treatment regime formalizes personalized medicine as a function from individual patient characteristics to a recommended treatment. A high-quality treatment regime can improve patient outcomes while reducing cost, resource consumption,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-04-30 Yichi Zhang , Eric B. Laber , Anastasios Tsiatis , Marie Davidian

An individualized treatment rule (ITR) is a decision rule that aims to improve individual patients health outcomes by recommending optimal treatments according to patients specific information. In observational studies, collected data may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-03 Zeyu Bian , Erica EM Moodie , Susan M Shortreed , Sylvie D Lambert , Sahir Bhatnagar

Precision medicine is an emerging field that takes into account individual heterogeneity to inform better clinical practice. In clinical trials, the evaluation of treatment effect heterogeneity is an important component, and recently, many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-24 Yuejia Xu , Angela M. Wood , Brian D. M. Tom