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Covariate balance is a conventional key diagnostic for methods used estimating causal effects from observational studies. Recently, there is an emerging interest in directly incorporating covariate balance in the estimation. We study a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-14 Qingyuan Zhao , Daniel Percival

This work proposes a novel theoretical framework of robust limit analysis i.e. the computation of limit loads of structures in presence of uncertainties using limit analysis and robust optimization theories. We first derive generic robust…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-03-23 Jeremy Bleyer , Vincent Leclère

The presence of outlying observations may adversely affect statistical testing procedures that result in unstable test statistics and unreliable inferences depending on the distortion in parameter estimates. In spite of the fact that the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-19 Beste Hamiye Beyaztas , Soutir Bandyopadhyay , Abhijit Mandal

In heterogeneous cohorts and those where censoring by non-primary risks is informative many conventional survival analysis methods are not applicable; the proportional hazards assumption is usually violated at population level and the…

We present an extension of the so-called cumulant crossing method which is used for determination of critical point in Monte Carlo simulations.The new method uses linear combination of several different order-parameter moments and almost…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 M. Itakura

The parameters of the log-logistic distribution are generally estimated based on classical methods such as maximum likelihood estimation, whereas these methods usually result in severe biased estimates when the data contain outliers. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-16 Zhuanzhuan Ma , Min Wang , Chanseok Park

In safety-critical applications, machine learning models should generalize well under worst-case distribution shifts, that is, have a small robust risk. Invariance-based algorithms can provably take advantage of structural assumptions on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-06 Julia Kostin , Nicola Gnecco , Fanny Yang

We propose a method to quantify uncertainty around individual survival distribution estimates using right-censored data, compatible with any survival model. Unlike classical confidence intervals, the survival bands produced by this method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-18 Matteo Sesia , Vladimir Svetnik

Although the Kruskal-Wallis (KW) test is widely used, it should not be recommended: it is not robust to arbitrary alternatives, it is only a global test without confidence intervals for the marginal hypotheses, it is inherently defined for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-14 Ludwig A. Hothorn

We present supremum Lagrange Multiplier tests to compare a linear ARMA specification against its threshold ARMA extension. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the test statistics both under the null hypothesis and contiguous local…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-19 Greta Goracci , Simone Giannerini , Kung-Sik Chan , Howell Tong

In this paper, we have developed new multistage tests which guarantee prescribed level of power and are more efficient than previous tests in terms of average sampling number and the number of sampling operations. Without truncation, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-06-14 Xinjia Chen

We introduce a new, reliable, and agnostic uncertainty measure for classification tasks called logit uncertainty. It is based on logit outputs of neural networks. We in particular show that this new uncertainty measure yields a superior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-08 Huiyu Wu , Diego Klabjan

Accurate diagnostic tests are essential for effective screening and treatment. However, individual biomarkers often fail to provide sufficient diagnostic accuracy, as they typically capture only one aspect of the complex disease process.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-08 Ainesh Sewak , Sandra Siegfried , Torsten Hothorn

Credit risk assessment is a crucial aspect of financial decision-making, enabling institutions to predict the likelihood of default and make informed lending decisions. Two prominent methodologies in credit risk modeling are logistic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-30 Cheng Lee , Hsi Lee

The Kaplan-Meier estimator (KM) is widely used in medical research to estimate the survival function from lifetime data. KM is a powerful tool to evaluate clinical trials due to simple computational requirements, a logrank hypothesis test,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-08 Utkarsh Chauhan , Kaiqiong Zhao , John Walker , John R. Mackey

Covariate balance is crucial in obtaining unbiased estimates of treatment effects in observational studies. Methods based on inverse probability weights have been widely used to estimate treatment effects with observational data. Machine…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-08 Michele Santacatterina

We employ a general Monte Carlo method to test composite hypotheses of goodness-of-fit for several popular multivariate models that can accommodate both asymmetry and heavy tails. Specifically, we consider weighted L2-type tests based on a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-09 Maicon J. Karling , Marc G. Genton , Simos G. Meintanis

We propose a class of locally and asymptotically optimal tests, based on multivariate ranks and signs for the homogeneity of scatter matrices in $m$ elliptical populations. Contrary to the existing parametric procedures, these tests remain…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Marc Hallin , Davy Paindaveine

Many scientific applications involve testing theories that are only partially specified. This task often amounts to testing the goodness-of-fit of a candidate distribution while allowing for reasonable deviations from it. The tolerant…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-28 Lucas Kania , Tudor Manole , Larry Wasserman , Sivaraman Balakrishnan

We study the transformed hazards model with time-dependent covariates observed intermittently for the censored outcome. Existing work assumes the availability of the whole trajectory of the time-dependent covariates, which is unrealistic.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-19 Dayu Sun , Zhuowei Sun , Xingqiu Zhao , Hongyuan Cao