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In this paper, we study the classical problem of estimating the proportion of a finite population. First, we consider a fixed sample size method and derive an explicit sample size formula which ensures a mixed criterion of absolute and…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-02-03 Xinjia Chen

Parameters of sub-populations can be more relevant than super-population ones. For example, a healthcare provider may be interested in the effect of a treatment plan for a specific subset of their patients; policymakers may be concerned…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-22 Ying Jin , Dominik Rothenhäusler

Bootstrap methods are increasingly accepted as one of the common approaches in constructing confidence intervals in bibliometric studies. Typical bootstrap methods assume that the statistical population is infinite. When the statistical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-04-17 Tina Nane , Kasper Kooijman

There are over 55 different ways to construct a confidence respectively credible interval (CI) for the binomial proportion. Methods to compare them are necessary to decide which should be used in practice. The interval score has been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-08 Lisa J. Hofer , Leonhard Held

We compute bias, variance, and approximate confidence intervals for the efficiency of a random selection process under various special conditions that occur in practical data analysis. We consider the following cases: a) the number of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-11-30 Hans Dembinski , Michael Schmelling

We develop a new approach for quantifying uncertainty in finite populations, by using design distributions to calibrate sensitivity parameters in finite population identified sets. This yields uncertainty intervals that can be interpreted…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-12 Brendan Kline , Matthew A. Masten

The standard confidence interval for a population proportion covered in the overwhelming majority of introductory and intermediate statistics textbooks surprisingly remains the Wald confidence interval despite having a poor coverage…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-15 Nabil Kahouadji

We consider Gini's mean difference statistic as an alternative to the empirical variance in the settings of finite populations where simple random samples are drawn without replacement. In particular, we discuss specific (in the finite…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-06-10 Andrius Čiginas , Dalius Pumputis

Frequentists' inference often delivers point estimators associated with confidence intervals or sets for parameters of interest. Constructing the confidence intervals or sets requires understanding the sampling distributions of the point…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-18 Xinran Li , Peng Ding

We consider the estimation of rare-event probabilities using sample proportions output by naive Monte Carlo or collected data. Unlike using variance reduction techniques, this naive estimator does not have a priori relative efficiency…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-19 Yuanlu Bai , Henry Lam

We investigate Bayesian predictive inference for finite population quantities when there are unequal probabilities of selection. Only limited information about the sample design is available; i.e., only the first-order selection…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-10 Junheng Ma , Joe Sedransk , Balgobin Nandram , Lu Chen

Epidemiologic screening programs often make use of tests with small, but non-zero probabilities of misdiagnosis. In this article, we assume the target population is finite with a fixed number of true cases, and that we apply an imperfect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-22 Lin Ge , Yuzi Zhang , Lance A. Waller , Robert H. Lyles

Reliability is probability of success in a success-failure experiment. Confidence in reliability estimate improves with increasing number of samples. Assurance sets confidence level same as reliability to create one number for easier…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-07 Sanjay M. Joshi

In finite population causal inference exact randomization tests can be constructed for sharp null hypotheses, i.e. hypotheses which fully impute the missing potential outcomes. Oftentimes inference is instead desired for the weak null that…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-03 Peter L. Cohen , Colin B. Fogarty

We investigate a Poisson sampling design in the presence of unknown selection probabilities when applied to a population of unknown size for multiple sampling occasions. The fixed-population model is adopted and extended upon for inference.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-30 Kyle Vincent , Saman Muthukumarana

This paper revisits the classical problem of interval estimation of a binomial proportion under Huber contamination. Our main result derives the rate of optimal interval length when the contamination proportion is unknown under a local…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-13 Minjun Cho , Yuetian Luo , Chao Gao

This paper develops a finite population framework for analyzing causal effects in settings with imperfect compliance where multiple treatments affect the outcome of interest. Two prominent examples are factorial designs and panel…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-26 Pedro Picchetti

In a completely randomized experiment, the variances of treatment effect estimators in the finite population are usually not identifiable and hence not estimable. Although some estimable bounds of the variances have been established in the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-20 Ruoyu Wang , Qihua Wang , Wang Miao , Xiaohua Zhou

We study the problem of estimating finite sample confidence intervals of the mean of a normal population under the constraint of differential privacy. We consider both the known and unknown variance cases and construct differentially…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2017-11-13 Vishesh Karwa , Salil Vadhan

As alternatives to the time-to-first-event analysis of composite endpoints, the {\it net benefit} (NB) and the {\it win ratio} (WR) -- which assess treatment effects using prioritized component outcomes based on clinical importance -- have…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-24 Roland A. Matsouaka , Adrian Coles
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