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Random effects are a flexible addition to statistical models to capture structural heterogeneity in the data, such as spatial dependencies, individual differences, temporal dependencies, or non-linear effects. Testing for the presence (or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-21 Fabio Vieira , Hongwei Zhao , Joris Mulder

This paper investigates the high-dimensional linear regression with highly correlated covariates. In this setup, the traditional sparsity assumption on the regression coefficients often fails to hold, and consequently many model selection…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-26 Jianqing Fan , Bai Jiang , Qiang Sun

As a generalization of the classical linear factor model, generalized latent factor models are useful for analyzing multivariate data of different types, including binary choices and counts. This paper proposes an information criterion to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-11 Yunxiao Chen , Xiaoou Li

For several decades, legal and scientific scholars have argued that conclusions from forensic examinations should be supported by statistical data and reported within a probabilistic framework. Multiple models have been proposed to quantify…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-10-14 Cedric Neumann , Madeline A. Ausdemore

This paper develops a Bayesian framework for robust causal inference from longitudinal observational data. Many contemporary methods rely on structural assumptions, such as factor models, to adjust for unobserved confounding, but they can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-20 Angelos Alexopoulos , Nikolaos Demiris

Inferences about hypotheses are ubiquitous in the cognitive sciences. Bayes factors provide one general way to compare different hypotheses by their compatibility with the observed data. Those quantifications can then also be used to choose…

The Bayes factor, the data-based updating factor from prior to posterior odds, is a principled measure of relative evidence for two competing hypotheses. It is naturally suited to sequential data analysis in settings such as clinical trials…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-07 Samuel Pawel , Leonhard Held

Determining an appropriate sample size is a critical element of study design, and the method used to determine it should be consistent with the planned analysis. When the planned analysis involves Bayes factor hypothesis testing, the sample…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-14 Samuel Pawel , Leonhard Held

Bayes factors are an increasingly popular tool for indexing evidence from experiments. For two competing population models, the Bayes factor reflects the relative likelihood of observing some data under one model compared to the other. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-26 Thomas J. Faulkenberry , Keelyn B. Brennan

When the data do not conform to the hypothesis of a known sampling-variance, the fitting of a constant to a set of measured values is a long debated problem. Given the data, fitting would require to find what measurand value is the most…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-07-21 Giovanni Mana , Enrico Massa , Maria Predescu

Bayesian hypothesis testing via Bayes factors offers a principled alternative to classical p-value methods in meta-analysis, particularly suited to its cumulative and sequential nature. Unlike commonly reported p-values for standard null…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-22 Joris Mulder , Robbie C. M. van Aert

\citet{Rosenbaum83ps} introduced the notion of the propensity score and discussed its central role in causal inference with observational studies. Their paper, however, caused a fundamental incoherence with an early paper by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Peng Ding , Tianyu Guo

The Bayes factor is a widely used criterion in model comparison and its logarithm is a difference of out-of-sample predictive scores under the logarithmic scoring rule. However, when some of the candidate models involve vague priors on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-07 Stephane Shao , Pierre E. Jacob , Jie Ding , Vahid Tarokh

Propensity score methods are an important tool to help reduce confounding in non-experimental studies. Most propensity score methods assume that covariates are measured without error. However, covariates are often measured with error, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-06-08 Hwanhee Hong , David A. Aaby , Juned Siddique , Elizabeth A. Stuart

Multivariate categorical data are common in many fields. We are motivated by election polls studies assessing evidence of changes in voters opinions with their candidates preferences in the 2016 United States Presidential primaries or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-10 Massimiliano Russo , Daniele Durante , Bruno Scarpa

In the Bayesian literature on model comparison, Bayes factors play the leading role. In the classical statistical literature, model selection criteria are often devised used cross-validation ideas. Amalgamating the ideas of Bayes factor and…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-12 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We address measurement error bias in propensity score (PS) analysis due to covariates that are latent variables. In the setting where latent covariate $X$ is measured via multiple error-prone items $\mathbf{W}$, PS analysis using several…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-13 Trang Quynh Nguyen , Elizabeth A. Stuart

Factor analysis is often used to assess whether a single univariate latent variable is sufficient to explain most of the covariance among a set of indicators for some underlying construct. When evidence suggests that a single factor is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-18 Tyler J. VanderWeele , Stijn Vansteelandt

Despite major methodological developments, Bayesian inference for Gaussian graphical models remains challenging in high dimension due to the tremendous size of the model space. This article proposes a method to infer the marginal and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-10 Gwenaël G. R. Leday , Sylvia Richardson

We study Bayesian approaches to causal inference via propensity score regression. Much of the Bayesian literature on propensity score methods have relied on approaches that cannot be viewed as fully Bayesian in the context of conventional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-01 David A. Stephens , Widemberg S. Nobre , Erica E. M. Moodie , Alexandra M. Schmidt