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We investigate a multi-household DSGE model in which past aggregate consumption impacts the confidence, and therefore consumption propensity, of individual households. We find that such a minimal setup is extremely rich, and leads to a…

We develop a tractable macroeconomic model that captures dynamic behaviors across multiple timescales, including business cycles. The model is anchored in a dynamic capital demand framework reflecting an interactions-based process whereby…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-09-08 Karl Naumann-Woleske , Michael Benzaquen , Maxim Gusev , Dimitri Kroujiline

Economic growth depends on capital investments and on investments in education and innovation. The model introduced here will specifiy aggregate output as determined by aggregate supply of capital and education investment. After formulating…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-12-10 Ferdinand Verhulst

We explore the nonlinear dynamics of a macroeconomic model with resource constraints. The dynamics is derived from a production function that considers capital and a generalized form of energy as inputs. Energy, the new variable, is…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-08-30 Frank Schweitzer , Giona Casiraghi

Understanding consumption dynamics and its impact on the whole economy and welfare within the present economic crisis is not an easy task. Indeed the level of consumer demand for different goods varies with the prices, consumer incomes and…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2017-05-11 Roberto De Luca , Marco Di Mauro , Angelo Falzarano , Adele Naddeo

This paper develops a new model of business cycles. The model is economical in that it is solved with an aggregate demand-aggregate supply diagram, and the effects of shocks and policies are obtained by comparative statics. The model builds…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2022-03-22 Pascal Michaillat , Emmanuel Saez

A standard growth model is modified in a straightforward way to incorporate what Keynes (1936) suggests in the "essence" of his general theory. The theoretical essence is the idea that exogenous changes in investment cause changes in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-06-13 Mina Mahmoudi , Mark Pingle

The origin of economic crises is a key problem for economics. We present a model of long-run competitive markets to show that the multiplicity of behaviors in an economic system, over a long time scale, emerge as statistical regularities…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2010-10-08 Yong Tao

We propose and analyze numerically a simple dynamical model that describes the firm behaviors under uncertainty of demand forecast. Iterating this simple model and varying some parameters values we observe a wide variety of market dynamics…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2017-11-22 Asaf Levi , Juan Sabuco , Miguel A. F. Sanjuan

Proceeding from the concept of rational expectations, a new dynamic model of supply and demand in a single market with one supplier, one buyer, and one kind of commodity is developed. Unlike the cob-web dynamic theories with adaptive…

综合物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 V. Granik , A. Granik

In this letter we present a stochastic dynamic model which can explain economic cycles. We show that the macroscopic description yields a complex dynamical landscape consisting of multiple stable fixed points, each corresponding to a split…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-06-14 Sören Nagel , Jobst Heitzig , Eckehard Schöll

Functions or 'functionings' enable to give a structure to any activity and their combinations constitute the capabilities which characterize economic assets such as work utility. The basic law of supply and demand naturally emerges from…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-07-29 Emmanuel Chauvet

We propose a continuous-time stock-flow consistent model for inventory dynamics in an economy with firms, banks, and households. On the supply side, firms decide on production based on adaptive expectations for sales demand and a desired…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2016-10-05 Matheus Grasselli , Adrien Nguyen-Huu

The existence of involuntary unemployment advocated by J. M. Keynes is a very important problem of the modern economic theory. Using a three-generations overlapping generations model, we show that the existence of involuntary unemployment…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-12-23 Yasuhito Tanaka

We consider in a market model the cooperative emergence of value due to a positive feedback between perception of needs and demand. Here we consider also a negative feedback from production of the traded products, and find that this…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2009-11-10 R. Donangelo , K. Sneppen

It is commonly believed that financial crises "lead to" lower growth of a country during the two-year recession period, which can be reflected by their post-crisis GDP growth. However, by contrasting a causal model with a standard…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-11-14 Kaiwen Hou , David Hou , Yang Ouyang , Lulu Zhang , Aster Liu

Physical concepts developed to describe instabilities in traffic flows can be generalized in a way that allows one to understand the well-known instability of supply chains (the so-called ``bullwhip effect''). That is, small variations in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Dirk Helbing

In the modern knowledge economy, success demands sustained focus and high cognitive performance. Research suggests that human cognition is linked to a finite resource, and upon its depletion, cognitive functions such as self-control and…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2018-09-11 Nathan O. Hodas , Jacob Hunter , Stephen J. Young , Kristina Lerman

Empirical data reveals that the liquidity flow into the order book (depositions, cancellations andmarket orders) is influenced by past price changes. In particular, we show that liquidity tends todecrease with the amplitude of past…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2020-06-24 Antoine Fosset , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Michael Benzaquen

The dual crises of the sub-prime mortgage crisis and the global financial crisis has prompted a call for explanations of non-equilibrium market dynamics. Recently a promising approach has been the use of agent based models (ABMs) to…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2018-09-06 Michael S. Harré
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