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The variation in the radiative output of the Sun, described in terms of solar irradiance, is important to climatology. A common assumption is that solar irradiance variability is driven by its surface magnetism. Verifying this assumption…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-09-05 K. L. Yeo , S. K. Solanki , C. M. Norris , B. Beeck , Y. C. Unruh , N. A. Krivova

This paper compares different forecasting methods and models to predict average values of solar irradiance with a sampling time of 15 min over a prediction horizon of up to 3 h. The methods considered only require historic solar irradiance…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-07-30 Christian A. Hans , Elin Klages

Luminosity, which is the total amount of radiant energy emitted by an object, is one of the most critical quantities in astrophysics for characterizing stars. Equally important is the temporal evolution of a star's luminosity because of its…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-06-20 L. E. A. Vieira , G. Kopp , T. Dudok de Wit , L. A. da Silva , F. Carlesso , A. Barbosa , A. Muralikrishna , R. Santos

We present a revised and extended total and spectral solar irradiance (SSI) reconstruction, which includes a wavelength-dependent uncertainty estimate, spanning the last three solar cycles using the SATIRE-S model. The SSI reconstruction…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2015-06-22 William T. Ball , Natalie A. Krivova , Yvonne C. Unruh , Joanna D. Haigh , Sami K. Solanki

ALMA observations of the Sun at mm-$\lambda$ offer a unique opportunity to investigate the temperature structure of the solar chromosphere. In this article we expand our previous work on modeling the chromospheric temperature of the quiet…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-08-19 C. E. Alissandrakis , A. Nindos , T. S. Bastian , S. Patsourakos

We study a series of relations between physical parameters in coronal loops of the quiet Sun reconstructed by combining tomographic techniques and modeling of the coronal magnetic field. We use differential emission measure tomography…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-06-22 C. Mac Cormack , M. López Fuentes , C. H. Mandrini , D. G. Lloveras , M. Poisson , A. M. Vásquez

The bulk of solar coronal radiative loss consists of soft X-ray emission from quasi-static loops at the cores of Active Regions. In order to develop diagnostics for determining the heating mechanism of these loops from observations by…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2014-11-18 P. C. H. Martens

The lack of long and reliable time series of solar spectral irradiance (SSI) measurements makes an accurate quantification of solar contributions to recent climate change difficult. Whereas earlier SSI observations and models provided a…

The Sun is the main energy source to Earth, and understanding its variability is of direct relevance to climate studies. Measurements of total solar irradiance exist since 1978, but this is too short compared to climate-relevant time…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-10-17 Theodosios Chatzistergos , Natalie A. Krivova , Kok Leng Yeo

We use microwave imaging observations from the Nobeyama Radioheliograph at 17 GHz for long-term studies of solar activity. In particular, we use the polar and low-latitude brightness temperatures as proxies to the polar magnetic field and…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-08-15 N. Gopalswamy , P. Makela , S. Yashiro , S. Akiyama

The use of the spotless days to predict the future solar activity is here revised based on the new version of the sunspot number index with a 24-month filter. Data from Solar Cycle (SC) 10 are considered because from this solar cycle the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-11-15 V. M. S. Carrasco , J. M. Vaquero , M. C. Gallego

The variable Sun is the most likely candidate for natural forcing of past climate change on time scales of 50 to 1000 years. Evidence for this understanding is that the terrestrial climate correlates positively with solar activity. During…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-27 A. I. Shapiro , W. Schmutz , E. Rozanov , M. Schoell , M. Haberreiter , A. V. Shapiro , S. Nyeki

Solar flares result in an increase of the solar irradiance at all wavelengths. While the distribution of the flare fluence observed in coronal emission has been widely studied and found to scale as f(E) ~ E^{-\alpha}, with \alpha slightly…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-10-08 M. Kretzschmar

The correlation between solar irradiance and the 11-year solar activity cycle is evident in the body of measurements made from space, which extend over the past four decades. Models relating variation in solar irradiance to photospheric…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-07-07 K. L. Yeo , N. A. Krivova , S. K. Solanki

We argue that earth's short-term temperature anomalies and the solar flare intermittency are linked. The analysis is based upon the study of the scaling of both the spreading and the entropy of the diffusion generated by the fluctuations of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Nicola Scafetta , Bruce J. West

Context. Comparison studies of Sun-like stars with the Sun suggest an anomalously low photometric variability of the Sun compared to Sun-like stars with similar magnetic activity. Comprehensive understanding of stellar variability is…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-11-21 V. Witzke , A. I. Shapiro , S. K. Solanki , N. A. Krivova , W. Schmutz

Ahead-of-time forecasting of the output power of power plants is essential for the stability of the electricity grid and ensuring uninterrupted service. However, forecasting renewable energy sources is difficult due to the chaotic behavior…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-10-27 Anas Al-lahham , Obaidah Theeb , Khaled Elalem , Tariq A. Alshawi , Saleh A. Alshebeili

Derivation of the following formulae for solar position as seen from orbiting planet based on a simplified model: sunrise direction formula, solar declination formula, sunrise equation, daylight duration formula, solar altitude formula,…

科普物理 · 物理学 2020-09-16 Ross Ure Anderson

Due to the increasing integration of solar power into the electrical grid, forecasting short-term solar irradiance has become key for many applications, e.g.~operational planning, power purchases, reserve activation, etc. In this context,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-13 Jesus Lago , Karel De Brabandere , Fjo De Ridder , Bart De Schutter

Three types of observations: the daily values of the solar radio flux at 7 frequencies, the daily international sunspot number and the daily Stanford mean solar magnetic field were processed in order to find all the periodicities hidden in…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 S. Zieba , J. Maslowski , A. Michalec , A. Kulak