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Predicting the outcome of sports events is a hard task. We quantify this difficulty with a coefficient that measures the distance between the observed final results of sports leagues and idealized perfectly balanced competitions in terms of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-11-27 Raquel YS Aoki , Renato M Assuncao , Pedro OS Vaz de Melo

Focusing on motion of two interacting players in football games, two velocity vectors for the pair of one player and the nearest opponent player exhibit strong alignment. Especially, we find that there exists a characteristic interpersonal…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-02-20 Takuma Narizuka , Yoshihiro Yamazaki

The film industry is one of the most popular entertainment industries and one of the biggest markets for business. Among the contributing factors to this would be the success of a movie in terms of its popularity as well as its box office…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-02 Manav Agarwal , Shreya Venugopal , Rishab Kashyap , R Bharathi

The strategic orchestration of football matchplays profoundly influences game outcomes, motivating a surge in research aimed at uncovering tactical nuances through social network analysis. In this paper, we delve into the microscopic…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-08-16 Ming-Xia Li , Li-Gong Xu , Wei-Xing Zhou

We present a systematic approach to the prediction of soccer matches. First, we show that the information about chances for goals is by far more informative than about the actual results. Second, we present a multivariate regression…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-07-20 Andreas Heuer , Oliver Rubner

The success of a football team depends on various individual skills and performances of the selected players as well as how cohesively they perform. We propose a two-stage process for selecting optimal playing eleven of a football team from…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-04-14 Soudeep Deb , Shubhabrata Das

In this work, we combine two different ranking methods together with several other predictors in a joint random forest approach for the scores of soccer matches. The first ranking method is based on the bookmaker consensus, the second…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-05 Andreas Groll , Christophe Ley , Gunther Schauberger , Hans Van Eetvelde , Achim Zeileis

In most sports, especially football, most coaches and analysts search for key performance indicators using notational analysis. This method utilizes a statistical summary of events based on video footage and numerical records of goal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-26 Chenyao Li , Stylianos Kampakis , Philip Treleaven

Analyzing defenses in team sports is generally challenging because of the limited event data. Researchers have previously proposed methods to evaluate football team defense by predicting the events of ball gain and being attacked using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-02 Rikuhei Umemoto , Kazushi Tsutsui , Keisuke Fujii

Recent advances in computer vision have made significant progress in tracking and pose estimation of sports players. However, there have been fewer studies on behavior prediction with pose estimation in sports, in particular, the prediction…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-02-16 Jiale Fang , Calvin Yeung , Keisuke Fujii

Technology offers new ways to measure the locations of the players and of the ball in sports. This translates to the trajectories the ball takes on the field as a result of the tactics the team applies. The challenge professionals in soccer…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2015-08-11 Laszlo Gyarmati , Xavier Anguera

Huge amounts of money are invested every year by football clubs on transfers. For both growth and survival, it is crucial for recruiting departments to make smart choices when targeting players. Therefore, it is very important to identify…

In this article, we study the dynamics of marking in football matches. To do this, we surveyed and analyzed a database containing the trajectories of players from both teams on the field of play during three professional games. We describe…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2022-11-09 A. Chacoma , M. N. Kuperman , O. V. Billoni

This study applies complexity sciences to analyze the game of Padel. Data from 18 professional matches were collected, and the probability distributions of the total number of shots and the probability distribution of rallies' duration were…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-08-09 A. Chacoma , O. V. Billoni

With an average football (soccer) match recording over 3,000 on-ball events, effective use of this event data is essential for practitioners at football clubs to obtain meaningful insights. Models can extract more information from this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-11-13 Koen W. van Arem , Jakob Söhl , Mirjam Bruinsma , Geurt Jongbloed

Complex interactions between two opposing agents frequently occur in domains of machine learning, game theory, and other application domains. Quantitatively analyzing the strategies involved can provide an objective basis for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-28 Calvin C. K. Yeung , Keisuke Fujii

This study explores the relationship between the performance of a football team and the topological parameters of temporal passing networks. To achieve this, we propose a method to identify moments of high and low team performance based on…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-06-13 Andres Chacoma

We use machine learning to provide a tractable measure of the amount of predictable variation in the data that a theory captures, which we call its "completeness." We apply this measure to three problems: assigning certain equivalents to…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2019-10-17 Drew Fudenberg , Jon Kleinberg , Annie Liang , Sendhil Mullainathan

Expected goals (xG) models estimate the probability that a shot results in a goal from its context (e.g., location, pressure), but they operate only on observed shots. We propose xG+, a possession-level framework that first estimates the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-01-27 Jonathan Pipping-Gamón , Tianshu Feng , R. Paul Sabin

With the development of measurement technology, data on the movements of actual games in various sports can be obtained and used for planning and evaluating the tactics and strategy. Defense in team sports is generally difficult to be…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-05-10 Kosuke Toda , Masakiyo Teranishi , Keisuke Kushiro , Keisuke Fujii