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As a special infinite-order vector autoregressive (VAR) model, the vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) model can capture much richer temporal patterns than the widely used finite-order VAR model. However, its practicality has long…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-27 Yao Zheng

That physiological oscillations of various frequencies are present in fMRI signals is the rule, not the exception. Herein, we propose a novel theoretical framework, spatio-temporal Granger causality, which allows us to more reliably and…

New biological assays like Perturb-seq link highly parallel CRISPR interventions to a high-dimensional transcriptomic readout, providing insight into gene regulatory networks. Causal gene regulatory networks can be represented by directed…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-22 Albert Xue , Jingyou Rao , Sriram Sankararaman , Harold Pimentel

Granger-causality in the frequency domain is an emerging tool to analyze the causal relationship between two time series. We propose a bootstrap test on unconditional and conditional Granger-causality spectra, as well as on their…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-04-07 Matteo Farné , Angela Montanari

The problem of estimating high-dimensional network models arises naturally in the analysis of many physical, biological and socio-economic systems. Examples include stock price fluctuations in financial markets and gene regulatory networks…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-09 Sumanta Basu , Ali Shojaie , George Michailidis

In this paper, we propose a new Granger causality measure which is robust against the confounding influence of latent common inputs. This measure is inspired by partial Granger causality in the literature, and its variant. Using numerical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-13 Takashi Arai

In the field of statistical learning and data analysis, estimating precision matrices (i.e., the inverse of covariance matrices) is a critical task, particularly for understanding dependency structures among variables. However, traditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-15 Zhongfeng Qin , Hao Xu , Wenhao Cui , Wan Tian

Which joint interactions in the human gait cycle can be used as biometric characteristics? Most current methods on gait recognition suffer from the lack of interpretability. We propose an interpretable feature representation of gait…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-12-09 Michal Balazia , Katerina Hlavackova-Schindler , Petr Sojka , Claudia Plant

Temporal causal discovery is a crucial task aimed at uncovering the causal relations within time series data. The latest temporal causal discovery methods usually train deep learning models on prediction tasks to uncover the causality…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-25 Lingbai Kong , Wengen Li , Hanchen Yang , Yichao Zhang , Jihong Guan , Shuigeng Zhou

We propose causal recurrent variational autoencoder (CR-VAE), a novel generative model that is able to learn a Granger causal graph from a multivariate time series x and incorporates the underlying causal mechanism into its data generation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-18 Hongming Li , Shujian Yu , Jose Principe

We consider the problem of learning a set of direct causes of a target variable from an observational joint distribution. Learning directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) that represent the causal structure is a fundamental problem in science.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-24 Juraj Bodik , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

Complex systems, such as brains, markets, and societies, exhibit internal dynamics influenced by external factors. Disentangling delayed external effects from internal dynamics within these systems is often challenging. We propose using a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-02 Lucas C. Parra , Aimar Silvan Ortubay , Maximilian Nentwich , Jens Madsen , Behtash Babadi

Many real-world processes are trajectories that may be regarded as continuous-time "functional data". Examples include patients' biomarker concentrations, environmental pollutant levels, and prices of stocks. Corresponding advances in data…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-30 Jinghao Sun , Forrest W. Crawford

Bayesian inference has many advantages for complex models, but standard Monte Carlo methods for summarizing the posterior can be computationally demanding, and it is attractive to consider optimization-based variational methods. Our work…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-10-09 Aoxiang Chen , David J. Nott , Linda S. L. Tan

Experiments in many fields of science and engineering yield data in the form of time series. The Fourier and wavelet transform-based nonparametric methods are used widely to study the spectral characteristics of these time series data.…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Mukeshwar Dhamala , Govindan Rangarajan , Mingzhou Ding

The vector autoregressive (VAR) model has been used to describe the dependence within and across multiple time series. This is a model for stationary time series which can be extended to allow the presence of a deterministic trend in each…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-14 Xixi Li , Jingsong Yuan

We consider the Granger causal structure learning problem from time series data. Granger causal algorithms predict a 'Granger causal effect' between two variables by testing if prediction error of one decreases significantly in the absence…

High-dimensional vector autoregression with measurement error is frequently encountered in a large variety of scientific and business applications. In this article, we study statistical inference of the transition matrix under this model.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-18 Xiang Lyu , Jian Kang , Lexin Li

In modeling multivariate time series for either forecast or policy analysis, it would be beneficial to have figured out the cause-effect relations within the data. Regression analysis, however, is generally for correlation relation, and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-23 Xingwei Hu

We present a generalized linear structural causal model, coupled with a novel data-adaptive linear regularization, to recover causal directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) from time series. By leveraging a recently developed stochastic monotone…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-31 Song Wei , Yao Xie , Christopher S. Josef , Rishikesan Kamaleswaran