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In a variety of different settings cumulative sum (CUSUM) procedures have been applied for the sequential detection of structural breaks in the parameters of stochastic models. Yet their performance depends strongly on the time of change…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-08-07 Stefan Fremdt

In this work we extend the results developed in 2022 for a sequential change detection algorithm making use of Page's CUSUM statistic, the empirical distribution as an estimate of the pre-change distribution, and a universal code as a tool…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-17 Ashish Bhoopesh Gulaguli , Shashwat Singh , Rakesh Kumar Bansal

We investigate sequential change point estimation and detection in univariate nonparametric settings, where a stream of independent observations from sub-Gaussian distributions with a common variance factor and piecewise-constant but…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-16 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

Most studies in real time change-point detection either focus on the linear model or use the CUSUM method under classical assumptions on model errors. This paper considers the sequential change-point detection in a nonlinear quantile model.…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-05-03 Gabriela Ciuperca

Change point detection in covariance structures is a fundamental and crucial problem for sequential data. Under the high-dimensional setting, most of the existing research has focused on identifying change points in historical data.…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-02 Zhigang Bao , Kha Man Cheong , Yuji Li , Jiaxin Qiu

Since the work of Page in the 1950s, the problem of detecting an abrupt change in the distribution of stochastic processes has received a great deal of attention. In particular, a deep connection has been established between Lorden's…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-23 José E. Figueroa-López , Sveinn Ólafsson

The cumulative sum (CUSUM) process is often used in change point analysis to detect changes in the mean of sequentially observed data. We provide a full description of the asymptotic distribution of $L^p, 1\leq p <\infty$, functionals of…

概率论 · 数学 2020-10-07 Lajos Horváth , Gregory Rice

We investigate the online detection of changepoints in the distribution of a sequence of observations using degenerate U-statistic-type processes. We study weighted versions of: an ordinary, CUSUM-type scheme, a Page-CUSUM-type scheme, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Cooper Boniece , Lajos Horvath , Lorenzo Trapani

Universal compression algorithms have been studied in the past for sequential change detection, where they have been used to estimate the post-change distribution in the modified version of the Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) Test. In this paper, we…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-12-15 Vikrant Malik , R. K. Bansal

In the present paper we address the real-time detection problem of a change-point in the coefficients of a linear model with the possibility that the model errors are asymmetrical and that the explanatory variables number is large. We build…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-31 Gabriela Ciuperca

We study the parametric online changepoint detection problem, where the underlying distribution of the streaming data changes from a known distribution to an alternative that is of a known parametric form but with unknown parameters. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-05-22 Liyan Xie , George V. Moustakides , Yao Xie

In this paper the asymptotic distribution of the stopping time in Page's sequential cumulative sum (CUSUM) procedure is presented. Page as well as ordinary cumulative sums are considered as detectors for changes in the mean of observations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-08-07 Stefan Fremdt

Classical quickest change detection algorithms require modeling pre-change and post-change distributions. Such an approach may not be feasible for various machine learning models because of the complexity of computing the explicit…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-02 Suya Wu , Enmao Diao , Taposh Banerjee , Jie Ding , Vahid Tarokh

Detecting abrupt changes in real-time data streams from scientific simulations presents a challenging task, demanding the deployment of accurate and efficient algorithms. Identifying change points in live data stream involves continuous…

In this work, we aim to provide a new and efficient recursive detection method for temporarily monitored signals. Motivated by the case of the propagation of an event over a field of sensors, we assumed that the change in the statistical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-03-17 V. Watson , F. Septier , P. Armand , C. Duchenne

We propose a computationally and statistically efficient procedure for segmenting univariate data under piecewise linearity. The proposed moving sum (MOSUM) methodology detects multiple change points where the underlying signal undergoes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-25 Joonpyo Kim , Hee-Seok Oh , Haeran Cho

We present a computationally efficient online kernel Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) method for change-point detection that utilizes the maximum over a set of kernel statistics to account for the unknown change-point location. Our approach exhibits…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-07 Song Wei , Yao Xie

Detecting change points sequentially in a streaming setting, especially when both the mean and the variance of the signal can change, is often a challenging task. A key difficulty in this context often involves setting an appropriate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-01 Nauman Ahad , Mark A. Davenport , Yao Xie

A change point detection (CPD) framework assisted by a predictive machine learning model called "Predict and Compare" is introduced and characterised in relation to other state-of-the-art online CPD routines which it outperforms in terms of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-05 Anna-Christina Glock , Florian Sobieczky , Johannes Fürnkranz , Peter Filzmoser , Martin Jech

We present a new CUSUM procedure for sequentially detecting change-point in the self and mutual exciting processes, a.k.a. Hawkes networks using discrete events data. Hawkes networks have become a popular model for statistics and machine…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-08 Haoyun Wang , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Alex Cuozzo , Simon Mak
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