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相关论文: Unbiased Estimation of the Hessian for Partially O…

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Seemingly unrelated linear regression models are introduced in which the distribution of the errors is a finite mixture of Gaussian components. Identifiability conditions are provided. The score vector and the Hessian matrix are derived.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-03-18 Giuliano Galimberti , Elena Scardovi , Gabriele Soffritti

The adaptive quasi-likelihood analysis is developed for a degenerate diffusion process. Asymptotic normality and moment convergence are proved for the quasi-maximum likelihood estimators and quasi-Bayesian estimators, in the adaptive…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-10 Arnaud Gloter , Nakahiro Yoshida

We give a new algorithm for learning mixtures of $k$ Gaussians (with identity covariance in $\mathbb{R}^n$) to TV error $\varepsilon$, with quasi-polynomial ($O(n^{\text{poly\,log}\left(\frac{n+k}{\varepsilon}\right)})$) time and sample…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-05 Khashayar Gatmiry , Jonathan Kelner , Holden Lee

This paper deals with the problem of outliers in high frequency observation data from diffusion processes. Robust estimation methods are needed because the inclusion of outliers can lead to incorrect statistical inference even in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-06 Tomoyuki Nakagawa , Yusuke Shimizu

Bayesian inference for nonlinear diffusions, observed at discrete times, is a challenging task that has prompted the development of a number of algorithms, mainly within the computational statistics community. We propose a new direction,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-11 Matthew M. Graham , Alexandre H. Thiery , Alexandros Beskos

In this paper we study the properties of the Lasso estimator of the drift component in the diffusion setting. More specifically, we consider a multivariate parametric diffusion model $X$ observed continuously over the interval $[0,T]$ and…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-29 Gabriela Ciolek , Dmytro Marushkevych , Mark Podolskij

We consider the Bayesian analysis of models in which the unknown distribution of the outcomes is specified up to a set of conditional moment restrictions. The nonparametric exponentially tilted empirical likelihood function is constructed…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-27 Siddhartha Chib , Minchul Shin , Anna Simoni

We consider partially observed multiscale diffusion models that are specified up to an unknown vector parameter. We establish for a very general class of test functions that the filter of the original model converges to a filter of reduced…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-28 Andrew Papanicolaou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We consider nonparametric invariant density and drift estimation for a class of multidimensional degenerate resp. hypoelliptic diffusion processes, so-called stochastic damping Hamiltonian systems or kinetic diffusions, under anisotropic…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-24 Niklas Dexheimer , Claudia Strauch

A variety of researchers have successfully obtained the parameters of low dimensional diffusion models using the data that comes out of atomistic simulations. This naturally raises a variety of questions about efficient estimation,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-11-06 Christopher P. Calderon

We propose a new statistical observation scheme of diffusion processes named convolutional observation, where it is possible to deal with smoother observation than ordinary diffusion processes by considering convolution of diffusion…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-28 Shogo H Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida

We introduce stochastic models for continuous-time evolution of angles and develop their estimation. We focus on studying Langevin diffusions with stationary distributions equal to well-known distributions from directional statistics, since…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-22 Eduardo García-Portugués , Michael Sørensen , Kanti V. Mardia , Thomas Hamelryck

The Hessian method is widely applied in the global analysis of parton distribution functions (PDFs), which uses a set of orthogonal eigenvectors to give predictions of a physical observable. Its uncertainty is estimated based on the…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2025-09-12 Wenxiao Zhan , Siqi Yang , Minghui Liu , Liang Han , Daniel Stump , C. -P. Yuan

Parametric estimation for diffusion processes is considered for high frequency observations over a fixed time interval. The processes solve stochastic differential equations with an unknown parameter in the diffusion coefficient. We find…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-03 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

In this paper the filtering of partially observed diffusions, with discrete-time observations, is considered. It is assumed that only biased approximations of the diffusion can be obtained, for choice of an accuracy parameter indexed by…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-10-19 Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani , Kody J. H. Law , Yan Zhou

We study the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameters of a stochastic differential equation, with both drift and diffusion coefficients constant on the positive and negative axis, yet discontinuous at zero. This threshold…

概率论 · 数学 2019-08-22 Antoine Lejay , Paolo Pigato

In high-dimensional statistical inference in which the number of parameters to be estimated is larger than that of the holding data, regularized linear estimation techniques are widely used. These techniques have, however, some drawbacks.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-06 Takashi Takahashi , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

This article considers the application of particle filtering to continuous-discrete optimal filtering problems, where the system model is a stochastic differential equation, and noisy measurements of the system are obtained at discrete…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-04-29 Simo Särkkä , Tommi Sottinen

We introduce a universal diffusion-based downscaling framework that lifts deterministic low-resolution weather forecasts into probabilistic high-resolution predictions without any model-specific fine-tuning. A single conditional diffusion…

We consider the problem of parameter estimation in the case of observation of the trajectory of diffusion process. We suppose that the drift coefficient has a singularity of cusp-type and the unknown parameter corresponds to the position of…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-19 Yury A. Kutoyants