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Network diffusion models are applicable to many socioeconomic interactions, yet network interaction is hard to observe or measure. Whenever the diffusion process is unobserved, the number of possible realizations of the latent matrix that…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-09-06 L. S. Sanna Stephan

Estimating parameters of a diffusion process given continuous-time observations of the process via maximum likelihood approaches or, online, via stochastic gradient descent or Kalman filter formulations constitutes a well-established…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-17 Jan Albrecht , Sebastian Reich

An important challenge in statistical analysis concerns the control of the finite sample bias of estimators. For example, the maximum likelihood estimator has a bias that can result in a significant inferential loss. This problem is…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-04 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

We explore unsupervised speech enhancement using diffusion models as expressive generative priors for clean speech. Existing approaches guide the reverse diffusion process using noisy speech through an approximate, noise-perturbed…

声音 · 计算机科学 2025-07-04 Mostafa Sadeghi , Jean-Eudes Ayilo , Romain Serizel , Xavier Alameda-Pineda

We establish a general semiparametric Bernstein-von Mises theorem for Bayesian nonparametric priors based on continuous observations in a periodic reversible multidimensional diffusion model. We consider a wide range of functionals…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-23 Matteo Giordano , Kolyan Ray

We combine the unbiased estimators in Rhee and Glynn (Operations Research: 63(5), 1026-1043, 2015) and the Heston model with stochastic interest rates. Specifically, we first develop a semi-exact log-Euler scheme for the Heston model with…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-11-14 Chao Zheng , Jiangtao Pan

Several interesting generative learning algorithms involve a complex probability distribution over many random variables, involving intractable normalization constants or latent variable normalization. Some of them may even not have an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-05-13 Yoshua Bengio , Li Yao , Kyunghyun Cho

The debiased estimator is a crucial tool in statistical inference for high-dimensional model parameters. However, constructing such an estimator involves estimating the high-dimensional inverse Hessian matrix, incurring significant…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-18 Jiyuan Tu , Weidong Liu , Xiaojun Mao , Mingyue Xu

Posterior distributions often feature intractable normalizing constants, called marginal likelihoods or evidence, that are useful for model comparison via Bayes factors. This has motivated a number of methods for estimating ratios of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-10-03 Maxime Rischard , Pierre E. Jacob , Natesh Pillai

We consider the problem of inference for nonlinear, multivariate diffusion processes, satisfying It\^o stochastic differential equations (SDEs), using data at discrete times that may be incomplete and subject to measurement error. Our…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-09-27 Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock

We develop and analyze a class of unbiased Monte Carlo estimators for multivariate jump-diffusion processes with state-dependent drift, volatility, jump intensity and jump size. A change of measure argument is used to extend existing…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-05 Guanting Chen , Alex Shkolnik , Kay Giesecke

Causal inference necessarily relies upon untestable assumptions; hence, it is crucial to assess the robustness of obtained results to violations of identification assumptions. However, such sensitivity analysis is only occasionally…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-19 Tobias Freidling , Qingyuan Zhao

Probabilistic regression models the entire predictive distribution of a response variable, offering richer insights than classical point estimates and directly allowing for uncertainty quantification. While diffusion-based generative models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-07 Carlo Kneissl , Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

Stochastic differential equations provide a powerful tool for modelling dynamic phenomena affected by random noise. In case of repeated observations of time series for several experimental units, it is often the case that some of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-06 Fernando Baltazar-Larios , Mogens Bladt , Michael Sørensen

We propose a new semiparametric approach for modelling nonlinear univariate diffusions, where the observed process is a nonparametric transformation of an underlying parametric diffusion (UPD). This modelling strategy yields a general class…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-05-08 Ruijun Bu , Kaddour Hadri , Dennis Kristensen

We will focus on estimating the integrated covariance of two diffusion processes observed in a nonsynchronous manner. The observation data is contaminated by some noise, which is possibly correlated with the returns of the diffusion…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-07 Yuta Koike

We consider a class of time-homogeneous diffusion processes on $\mathbb{R}^{n}$ with common invariant measure but varying volatility matrices. In Euclidean space, we show via stochastic control of the diffusion coefficient that the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-10-31 Bertram Tschiderer

In this paper, we aim to design and analyze distributed Bayesian estimation algorithms for sensor networks. The challenges we address are to (i) derive a distributed provably-correct algorithm in the functional space of probability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-25 Parth Paritosh , Nikolay Atanasov , Sonia Martinez

We provide full theoretical guarantees for the convergence behaviour of diffusion-based generative models under the assumption of strongly log-concave data distributions while our approximating class of functions used for score estimation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Stefano Bruno , Ying Zhang , Dong-Young Lim , Ömer Deniz Akyildiz , Sotirios Sabanis

The LASSO is a widely used statistical methodology for simultaneous estimation and variable selection. In the last years, many authors analyzed this technique from a theoretical and applied point of view. We introduce and study the adaptive…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-02-09 A. De Gregorio , S. M. Iacus