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Supply Chain operation is an integrated business process starting from primary supplier to end user and the process produce products, services and information. A successful chain will explore technology, lean operations, and quality…

其他计算机科学 · 计算机科学 2011-11-04 Bidyut Biman Sarkar , Sugata Sanyal , Nabendu Chaki

The progressive amplification of fluctuations in demand as the demand travels upstream the supply chains is known as the bullwhip effect. We first analytically characterize the bullwhip effect in general supply chain networks in two cases:…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-08-10 Jin-Zhu Yü , Chencheng Cai , Jianxi Gao

Supply chain management and inventory control provide most exciting examples of control systems with delays. Here, Smith predictors, model-free control and new time series forecasting techniques are mixed in order to derive an efficient…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2021-01-07 Koussaila Hamiche , Michel Fliess , Cédric Join , Hassane Abouaïssa

Amplification and phase shift in ordering signals, commonly referred to as bullwhip, are responsible for both excessive strain on real world inventory management systems, stock outs, and unnecessary capital reservation though safety stock…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-28 James Paine

In this article we quantify the bullwhip effect (the variance amplification in replenishment orders) when demands and lead times are predicted in a simple two-stage supply chain with one supplier and one retailer. In recent research the…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-30 Zbigniew Michna , Peter Nielsen

In an era of increasing computational capabilities and growing environmental consciousness, organizations face a critical challenge in balancing the accuracy of forecasting models with computational efficiency and sustainability. Global…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-01-15 Marco Zanotti

In this article we want to review the research state on the bullwhip effect in supply chains with stochastic lead times and give a contribution to quantifying the bullwhip effect. We analyze the models quantifying the bullwhip effect in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-03-23 Zbigniew Michna , Peter Nielsen , Izabela Ewa Nielsen

Capacity management is critical for software organizations to allocate resources effectively and meet operational demands. An important step in capacity management is predicting future resource needs often relies on data-driven analytics…

In the seminal paper Information Distortion in a Supply Chain: The Bullwhip Effect (Lee, et al. 1997, hereafter referred to as LPW), order batching is regarded as one of the four sources of the bullwhip effect. LPW proved that, in all cases…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-02 Hau Mike Ma , Jiazhen Huo

We quantify the bullwhip effect (which measures how the variance in replenishment orders is amplified as the orders move up the supply chain) when random demands and random lead times are estimated using the industrially popular moving…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-02-07 Zbigniew Michna , Stephen M. Disney , Peter Nielsen

Due to delays in the adaptation of production or delivery rates, supply chains can be dynamically unstable with respect to perturbations in the consumption rate, which is known as "bull-whip effect". Here, we study several conceivable…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Takashi Nagatani , Dirk Helbing

Motivated by how forecast errors exacerbate order fluctuations in supply chains, we leverage robust feedback controller synthesis to characterize, compute, and minimize the worst-case order fluctuation experienced by an individual supply…

新兴技术 · 计算机科学 2024-09-16 Sarah H. Q. Li , Florian Dörfler

Physical concepts developed to describe instabilities in traffic flows can be generalized in a way that allows one to understand the well-known instability of supply chains (the so-called ``bullwhip effect''). That is, small variations in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Dirk Helbing

Physical concepts developed to describe instabilities in traffic flows can be generalized in a way that allows one to understand the well-known instability of supply chains (the so-called ``bullwhip effect''). That is, small variations in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Dirk Helbing

The wastage of perishable items has led to significant health and economic crises, increasing business uncertainty and fluctuating customer demand. This issue is worsened by online food delivery services, where frequent and unpredictable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Tisha Ghosh

Supply chain management faces significant challenges, including demand fluctuations, inventory imbalances, and amplified upstream order variability due to the bullwhip effect. Traditional methods, such as simple moving averages, struggle to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-11-17 Chunan Tong

A significant challenge in maintaining real-world machine learning models is responding to the continuous and unpredictable evolution of data. Most practitioners are faced with the difficult question: when should I retrain or update my…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-22 Regol Florence , Schwinn Leo , Sprague Kyle , Coates Mark , Markovich Thomas

I study the role of industries' position in supply chains in shaping the transmission of final demand shocks. First, I use a novel shift-share design leveraging destination-specific final demand shocks and a new measure of destination…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-08 Alessandro Ferrari

The measure of the bullwhip effect, a phenomenon in which demand variability increases as one moves up the supply chain, is a major issue in Supply Chain Management. Although it is simply defined (it is the ratio of the unconditional…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-10-20 Marlene Silva Marchena

In many supply chains, the current efforts at digitalization have led to improved information exchanges between manufacturers and their customers. Specifically, demand forecasts are often provided by the customers and regularly updated as…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-27 Wolfgang Seiringer , Klaus Altendorfer , Thomas Felberbauer , Balwin Bokor , Fabian Brockmann
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