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The self-exciting Hawkes process is widely used to model events which occur in bursts. However, many real world data sets contain missing events and/or noisily observed event times, which we refer to as data distortion. The presence of such…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-06-03 Isabella Deutsch , Gordon J. Ross

We consider both $\ell _{0}$-penalized and $\ell _{0}$-constrained quantile regression estimators. For the $\ell _{0}$-penalized estimator, we derive an exponential inequality on the tail probability of excess quantile prediction risk and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-30 Le-Yu Chen , Sokbae Lee

Classic estimation methods for Hawkes processes rely on the assumption that observed event times are indeed a realisation of a Hawkes process, without considering any potential perturbation of the model. However, in practice, observations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-21 Anna Bonnet , Felix Cheysson , Miguel Martinez Herrera , Maxime Sangnier

An extension of the Hawkes model where the productivity is variable is considered. In particular, the case is considered where each point may have its own productivity and a simple analytic formula is derived for the maximum likelihood…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-03-20 Frederic Paik Schoenberg

The paper proposes a method for constructing a sparse estimator for the inverse covariance (concentration) matrix in high-dimensional settings. The estimator uses a penalized normal likelihood approach and forces sparsity by using a…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-06-26 Adam J. Rothman , Peter J. Bickel , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

This paper presents a new variable selection approach integrated with Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider a sparse projection of input variables and a general stationary covariance model that depends on the Euclidean distance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-26 Chiwoo Park , David J. Borth , Nicholas S. Wilson , Chad N. Hunter

It is often assumed that events cannot occur simultaneously when modelling data with point processes. This raises a problem as real-world data often contains synchronous observations due to aggregation or rounding, resulting from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-30 Leigh Shlomovich , Edward A. K. Cohen , Niall Adams

The Hawkes model is a past-dependent point process, widely used in various fields for modeling temporal clustering of events. Extending this framework, the multidimensional marked Hawkes process incorporates multiple interacting event types…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Anna Bonnet , Charlotte Dion-Blanc , Maya Sadeler-Perrin

This paper aims to build an estimate of an unknown density of the data with measurement error as a linear combination of functions from a dictionary. Inspired by the penalization approach, we propose the weighted Elastic-net penalized…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-07 Xiaowei Yang , Huiming Zhang , Haoyu Wei , Shouzheng Zhang

This work is concern with testing the low-dimensional parameters of interest with divergent dimensional data and variable selection for the rest under the sparse case. A consistent test via the partial penalized likelihood approach, called…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-20 Shanshan Wang , Hengjian Cui

An extension of the Hawkes process, the Marked Hawkes process distinguishes itself by featuring variable jump size across each event, in contrast to the constant jump size observed in a Hawkes process without marks. While extensive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-08 Sobin Joseph , Shashi Jain

Consider a regression model with fixed design and Gaussian noise where the regression function can potentially be well approximated by a function that admits a sparse representation in a given dictionary. This paper resorts to exponential…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-01-08 Philippe Rigollet , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

This note studies a method for the efficient estimation of a finite number of unknown parameters from linear equations, which are perturbed by Gaussian noise. In case the unknown parameters have only few nonzero entries, the proposed…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2014-05-27 Liang Dai , Kristiaan Pelckmans

The $\ell_1$-penalized method, or the Lasso, has emerged as an important tool for the analysis of large data sets. Many important results have been obtained for the Lasso in linear regression which have led to a deeper understanding of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-12-30 Jian Huang , Cun-Hui Zhang

We consider model selection and estimation for partial spline models and propose a new regularization method in the context of smoothing splines. The regularization method has a simple yet elegant form, consisting of roughness penalty on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-11-25 Guang Cheng , Hao Helen Zhang , Zuofeng Shang

We introduce a new interpretation of sparse variational approximations for Gaussian processes using inducing points, which can lead to more scalable algorithms than previous methods. It is based on decomposing a Gaussian process as a sum of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-27 Jiaxin Shi , Michalis K. Titsias , Andriy Mnih

Linear multivariate Hawkes processes (MHP) are a fundamental class of point processes with self-excitation. When estimating parameters for these processes, a difficulty is that the two main error functionals, the log-likelihood and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-23 Álvaro Cartea , Samuel N. Cohen , Saad Labyad

We consider the nonparametric regression and the classification problems for $\psi$-weakly dependent processes. This weak dependence structure is more general than conditions such as, mixing, association, $\ldots$. A penalized estimation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-03-03 William Kengne , Modou Wade

The Ising model is a useful tool for studying complex interactions within a system. The estimation of such a model, however, is rather challenging, especially in the presence of high-dimensional parameters. In this work, we propose…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-08-20 Lingzhou Xue , Hui Zou , Tianxi Cai

In this article, we discuss the composite likelihood estimation of sparse Gaussian graphical models. When there are symmetry constraints on the concentration matrix or partial correlation matrix, the likelihood estimation can be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-08-22 Xin Gao , Helene Massam