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In this article, we fill a gap in the literature regarding quantitative functional central limit theorems (qfCLT) for Hawkes processes by providing an upper bound for the convergence of a nearly unstable Hawkes process toward a…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-16 Laure Coutin , Benjamin Massat , Anthony Réveillac

We study the global fluctuations for a class of determinantal point processes coming from large systems of non-colliding processes and non-intersecting paths. Our main assumption is that the point processes are constructed by biorthogonal…

数学物理 · 物理学 2015-12-22 Maurice Duits

We consider the determinantal point processes associated with the spectral projectors of a Schr\"odinger operator on $\mathbb{R}$, with a smooth confining potential. In the semiclassical limit, where the number of particles tends to…

谱理论 · 数学 2023-05-31 Alix Deleporte , Gaultier Lambert

We present some applications of central limit theorems on mesoscopic scales for random matrices. When combined with the recent theory of "homogenization" for Dyson Brownian Motion, this yields the universality of quantities which depend on…

概率论 · 数学 2019-11-28 Benjamin Landon , Philippe Sosoe

Ferromagnetic exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are nonlinear exponential tilts of Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi models, under which the presence of certain subgraphs such as triangles may be emphasized. These models are mixtures of metastable…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-30 Vilas Winstein

This paper studies quasi Bayesian estimation and uncertainty quantification for an unknown function that is identified by a nonparametric conditional moment restriction. We derive contraction rates for a class of Gaussian process priors.…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-08 Sid Kankanala

We give a two-dimensional central limit theorem (CLT) for the second-order quadratic variation of the centered Gaussian processes on $[0,T]$. Though the approach we use is well known in the literature, the conditions under which the CLT…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-09 Kestutis Kubilius

Consider the mean-field spin models where the Gibbs measure of each configuration depends only on its magnetization. Based on the Stein and Laplace methods, we give a new and short proof for the scaling limit theorems with convergence rate…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-18 Van Hao Can , Adrian Röllin

We prove that the scaling limits of spin fluctuations in four-dimensional Ising-type models with nearest-neighbor ferromagnetic interaction at or near the critical point are Gaussian. A similar statement is proven for the $\lambda \phi^4$…

数学物理 · 物理学 2022-01-25 Michael Aizenman , Hugo Duminil-Copin

We investigate an almost sure limit theorem (ASCLT) for sequences of random variables having the form of a ratio of two terms such that the numerator satisfies the ASCLT and the denominator is a positive term which converges almost surely…

概率论 · 数学 2012-09-04 Peggy Cénac , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy

We show how to detect optimal Berry--Esseen bounds in the normal approximation of functionals of Gaussian fields. Our techniques are based on a combination of Malliavin calculus, Stein's method and the method of moments and cumulants, and…

概率论 · 数学 2009-12-09 Ivan Nourdin , Giovanni Peccati

We develop a central limit theorem (CLT) for a non-parametric estimator of the transition matrices in controlled Markov chains (CMCs) with finite state-action spaces. Our results establish precise conditions on the logging policy under…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-26 Ziwei Su , Imon Banerjee , Diego Klabjan

We study the fluctuation and limiting distribution of free energy in mean-field spin glass models with Ising spins under weak external fields. We prove that at high temperature, there are three sub-regimes concerning the strength of…

概率论 · 数学 2023-05-18 Partha S. Dey , Qiang Wu

In 2010, Shiffman and Zelditch proved a central limit theorem (CLT) for smooth statistics of Gaussian random zeros in codimension one over compact K\"ahler manifolds. They raised the question of whether this result admits a two-fold…

复变函数 · 数学 2026-04-15 Bin Guo

We consider Betti numbers of the excursion of a smooth Euclidean Gaussian field restricted to a rectangular window, in the asymptotics where the window grows to R^d . With motivations coming from Topological Data Analysis, we derive a…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-16 Christian Hirsch , Raphaël Lachièze-Rey

High-energy phenomena presenting strong dynamical correlations, long-range interactions and microscopic memory effects are well described by nonextensive versions of the canonical Boltzmann-Gibbs statistical mechanics. After a brief…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2014-05-30 Rafael B. Frigori

In this paper we consider a superprocess being a measure-valued diffusion corresponding to the equation $u_{t}=Lu+\alpha u-\beta u^{2}$, where $L$ is the infinitesimal operator of the \emph{Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process} and…

概率论 · 数学 2012-04-02 Piotr Miłoś

We study estimation and prediction of Gaussian processes with covariance model belonging to the generalized Cauchy (GC) family, under fixed domain asymptotics. Gaussian processes with this kind of covariance function provide separate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-23 Moreno Bevilacqua , Tarik Faouzi

We give a closer look at the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) behavior in quasi-stationary states of the Hamiltonian Mean Field model, a paradigmatic one for long-range-interacting classical many-body systems. We present new calculations which…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-03-17 A. Pluchino , A. Rapisarda , C. Tsallis

We study the problem of detecting a change in the mean of one-dimensional Gaussian process data. This problem is investigated in the setting of increasing domain (customarily employed in time series analysis) and in the setting of fixed…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-04-11 Hossein Keshavarz , Clayton Scott , XuanLong Nguyen