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Conformal prediction (CP) is a method for constructing a prediction interval around the output of a fitted model, whose validity does not rely on the model being correct--the CP interval offers a coverage guarantee that is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-17 Aabesh Bhattacharyya , Rina Foygel Barber

State space models (SSMs) are a flexible approach to modeling complex time series. However, inference in SSMs is often computationally prohibitive for long time series. Stochastic gradient MCMC (SGMCMC) is a popular method for scalable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-07-11 Christopher Aicher , Yi-An Ma , Nicholas J. Foti , Emily B. Fox

We consider the problem of inference for the states and parameters of a continuous-time multitype branching process from partially observed time series data. Exact inference for this class of models, typically using sequential Monte Carlo,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Angus Lewis , Antonio Parrella , John Maclean , Andrew J. Black

The paper introduces the concept of a cluster structure to define a joint distribution of the sample size and its exchangeable random partitions. The cluster structure allows the probability distribution of the random partitions of a subset…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-08 Mingyuan Zhou

In this paper, we introduce a bivariate tempered space-fractional Poisson process (BTSFPP) by time-changing the bivariate Poisson process with an independent tempered $\alpha$-stable subordinator. We study its distributional properties and…

In this article, we show that the standard vector-valued generalization of a generalized grey Brownian motion (ggBm) has independent components if and only if it is a fractional Brownian motion. In order to extend ggBm with independent…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-18 Wolfgang Bock , Martin Grothaus , Karlo Orge

We link, by means of a semiclassical approach, the fractional statistics of particles obeying the Haldane exclusion principle to the Tsallis statistics and derive a generalized quantum entropy and its associated statistics.

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2015-06-26 G. Kaniadakis , A. Lavagno , P. Quarati

In this paper, we study randomized methods for feedback design of uncertain systems. The first contribution is to derive the sample complexity of various constrained control problems. In particular, we show the key role played by the…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2014-07-22 T. Alamo , R. Tempo , A. Luque , D. R. Ramirez

In this paper we present a study of anomalous diffusion using a Fokker-Planck description with fractional velocity derivatives. The distribution functions are found using numerical means for varying degree of fractionality observing the…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2014-12-18 Johan Anderson , Eun-jin Kim , Sara Moradi

The space-fractional and the time-fractional Poisson processes are two well-known models of fractional evolution. They can be constructed as standard Poisson processes with the time variable replaced by a stable subordinator and its…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-09 Luisa Beghin , Costantino Ricciuti

Distributed Gaussian process (DGP) is a popular approach to scale GP to big data which divides the training data into some subsets, performs local inference for each partition, and aggregates the results to acquire global prediction. To…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-08 Hamed Jalali , Gjergji Kasneci

The generalized grey Brownian motion is a time continuous self-similar with stationary increments stochastic process whose one dimensional distributions are the fundamental solutions of a stretched time fractional differential equation.…

概率论 · 数学 2021-01-01 José Luís da Silva , Mohamed Erraoui

We propose and analyze a generalized splitting method to sample approximately from a distribution conditional on the occurrence of a rare event. This has important applications in a variety of contexts in operations research, engineering,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-10 Zdravko I. Botev , Pierre L'Ecuyer

We consider the change-point problem for the marginal distribution of subordinated Gaussian processes that exhibit long-range dependence. The asymptotic distributions of Kolmogorov-Smirnov- and Cram\'{e}r-von Mises type statistics are…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-03-17 Johannes Tewes

Geostatistics is a branch of statistics concerned with stochastic processes over continuous domains, with Gaussian processes (GPs) providing a flexible and principled modelling framework. However, the high computational cost of simulating…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-20 Flávio B. Gonçalves , Marcos O. Prates , Gareth O. Roberts

In this article, a generalized inverse xgamma distribution (GIXGD) has been introduced as the generalized version of the inverse xgamma distribution. The proposed model exhibits the pattern of non-monotone hazard rate and belongs to family…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-13 Harsh Tripathi , Abhimanyu Singh Yadav , Mahendra Saha , Sumit Kumar

We introduce a new test for conditional independence which is based on what we call the weighted generalised covariance measure (WGCM). It is an extension of the recently introduced generalised covariance measure (GCM). To test the null…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-17 Cyrill Scheidegger , Julia Hörrmann , Peter Bühlmann

Gaussian Process Latent Variable Model (GPLVM) is a flexible framework to handle uncertain inputs in Gaussian Processes (GPs) and incorporate GPs as components of larger graphical models. Nonetheless, the standard GPLVM variational…

Large-scale Gaussian process inference has long faced practical challenges due to time and space complexity that is superlinear in dataset size. While sparse variational Gaussian process models are capable of learning from large-scale data,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-01-23 Ching-An Cheng , Byron Boots

A novel method is proposed for the exact posterior mean and covariance of the random effects given the response in a generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) when the response does not follow normal. The research solves a long-standing problem…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-17 Tonglin Zhang
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