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We propose an agent-based opinion formation model characterised by a two-fold novelty. First, we realistically assume that each agent cannot measure the opinion of its neighbours with infinite resolution and accuracy, and hence it can only…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2026-01-08 Carlos Andres Devia , Giulia Giordano

In pedestrian dynamics, the internal drive that propels individuals toward their goals is typically captured by a single, fixed parameter, the desired walking speed. This simplification overlooks that motivation fluctuates in response to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-05-04 Ezel Üsten , Anna Sieben , Mohcine Chraibi , Armin Seyfried

Collective opinions affect civic participation, governance, and societal norms. Due to the influence of opinion dynamics, many models of their formation and evolution have been developed. A commonly used approach for the study of opinion…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-01-06 Claudia Kann , Michelle Feng

The outcomes of democratic elections rest on individuals' decision-making that is driven by their varying preferences and beliefs. Individuals may prefer consensus to gridlock, or gridlock to consensus, and information may be fractured via…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-10-29 Jonathan Engle , Bryce Morsky

Users online tend to join polarized groups of like-minded peers around shared narratives, forming echo chambers. The echo chamber effect and opinion polarization may be driven by several factors including human biases in information…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-05-15 Carlo Michele Valensise , Matteo Cinelli , Walter Quattrociocchi

In this work we study opinion formation on a fully-connected population participating of a public debate with two distinct choices, where the agents may adopt three different attitudes (favorable to either one choice or to the other, or…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-01-28 Nuno Crokidakis , Victor H. Blanco , Celia Anteneodo

We study the critical behavior of a noisy kinetic opinion model subject to resilience to change depending on aging, defined as the time spent on the current opinion state. In this model, the opinion of each agent can take the three discrete…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-08-01 Allan R. Vieira , Jaume Llabrés , Raúl Toral , Celia Anteneodo

Independent voters play an increasingly decisive role in contemporary elections, yet their collective behavior remains poorly understood. This paper investigates how a minority of voters with greater flexibility in their political…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-12-22 Ernő Buzás , Attila Szilva

A voting bloc is defined to be a group of voters who have similar voting preferences. The cleavage of the Irish electorate into voting blocs is of interest. Irish elections employ a ``single transferable vote'' electoral system; under this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-02-26 Isobel Claire Gormley , Thomas Brendan Murphy

Opinion diffusion is a crucial phenomenon in social networks, often underlying the way in which a collective of agents develops a consensus on relevant decisions. The voter model is a well-known theoretical model to study opinion spreading…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2024-03-14 Luca Becchetti , Vincenzo Bonifaci , Emilio Cruciani , Francesco Pasquale

Opinions and beliefs determine the evolution of social systems. This is of particular interest in finance, as the increasing complexity of financial systems is coupled with information overload. Opinion formation, therefore, is not always…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2014-08-05 Marco D'Errico , Gulnur Muradoglu , Silvana Stefani , Giovanni Zambruno

We model voting behaviour in the multi-group setting of a two-tier voting system using sequences of de Finetti measures. Our model is defined by using the de Finetti representation of a probability measure (i.e. as a mixture of…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-14 Gabor Toth

We propose a kinetic model to describe the dynamical evolution of wealth and knowledge in national and global markets, starting from a microscopic description of individual interactions. The model is built upon interaction rules that…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-02-24 Marzia Bisi , Martina Conte , Maria Groppi

Social consensus is important for society. Sometimes the success of society depends on a consensus (e.g. the decision to pay taxes or to commit to the constitution). Examples for continuous opinion dynamics are discussions about tax rates…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-03-06 Jan Lorenz

In modern society people are being exposed to numerous information, with some of them being frequently repeated or more disruptive than others. In this paper we use a model of opinion dynamics to study how this news impact the society. In…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-02-24 Gioia Boschi , Chiara Cammarota , Reimer Kühn

The question of how people vote strategically under uncertainty has attracted much attention in several disciplines. Theoretical decision models have been proposed which vary in their assumptions on the sophistication of the voters and on…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2018-05-22 Roy Fairstein , Adam Lauz , Kobi Gal , Reshef Meir

Previous explanations for the persistence of polarization of opinions have typically included modelling assumptions that predispose the possibility of polarization (i.e., assumptions allowing a pair of agents to drift apart in their opinion…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-10-16 Benedikt V. Meylahn , Janusz M. Meylahn

The Trump phenomenon is argued to depart from current populist rise in Europe. According to a model of opinion dynamics from sociophysics the machinery of Trump's amazing success obeys well-defined counter-intuitive rules. Therefore, his…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-05-24 Serge Galam

Public support and political mobilization are two crucial factors for the adoption of ambitious climate policies in line with the international greenhouse gas reduction targets of the Paris Agreement. Despite their compound importance, they…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-06-21 Simon Montfort

In this work an opinion formation model with heterogeneous agents is proposed. Each agent is supposed to have different power of persuasion, and besides its own level of zealotry, that is, an individual willingness to being convinced by…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2018-03-28 Mayte Pérez-Llanos , Juan Pablo Pinasco , Nicolas Saintier , Analía Silva