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Causal inference concerns not only the average effect of the treatment on the outcome but also the underlying mechanism through an intermediate variable of interest. Principal stratification characterizes such a mechanism by targeting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Zhichao Jiang , Shu Yang , Peng Ding

Standard measures of effect, including the risk ratio, the odds ratio, and the risk difference, are associated with a number of well-described shortcomings, and no consensus exists about the conditions under which investigators should…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-08 Anders Huitfeldt , Andrew Goldstein , Sonja A. Swanson

Randomized experiments are a powerful methodology for data-driven evaluation of decisions or interventions. Yet, their validity may be undermined by network interference. This occurs when the treatment of one unit impacts not only its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-08 Sadegh Shirani , Mohsen Bayati

In situations with non-manipulable exposures, interventions can be targeted to shift the distribution of intermediate variables between exposure groups to define interventional disparity indirect effects. In this work, we present a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-18 Helene C. W. Rytgaard , Amalie Lykkemark Møller , Thomas A. Gerds

Experimental and observational studies often lead to spurious association between the outcome and independent variables describing the intervention, because of confounding to third-party factors. Even in randomized clinical trials,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-04 Orestis Loukas , Ho Ryun Chung

This paper develops methods for uncertainty quantification in causal inference settings with random network interference. We study the large-sample distributional properties of the classical difference-in-means Hajek treatment effect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-11 Matias D. Cattaneo , Yihan He , Ruiqi Rae Yu

In randomized experiments, covariates are often used to reduce variance and improve the precision of treatment effect estimates. However, in many real-world settings, interference between units, where one unit's treatment affects another's…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-10 Xinyi Wang , Shuangning Li

Many causal models of interest in epidemiology involve longitudinal exposures, confounders and mediators. However, repeated measurements are not always available or used in practice, leading analysts to overlook the time-varying nature of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-21 Lola Etievant , Vivian Viallon

The proximal causal inference framework enables the identification and estimation of causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding by leveraging two disjoint sets of observed strong proxies: negative control treatments and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Antonio Olivas-Martinez , Peter B. Gilbert , Andrea Rotnitzky

In a general set-up that allows unmeasured confounding, we show that the conditional average treatment effect on the treated can be identified as one of two possible values. Unlike existing causal inference methods, we do not require an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-29 Zikun Qin , Bikram Karmakar

We propose a set of causal estimands that we call the "mediated probabilities of causation." These estimands quantify the probabilities that an observed negative outcome was induced via a mediating pathway versus a direct pathway in a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-14 Max Rubinstein , Maria Cuellar , Daniel Malinsky

We propose a new method to estimate causal effects from nonexperimental data. Each pair of sample units is first associated with a stochastic 'treatment' - differences in factors between units - and an effect - a resultant outcome…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-08 Andre F. Ribeiro , Frank Neffke , Ricardo Hausmann

Matching and weighting methods for observational studies involve the choice of an estimand, the causal effect with reference to a specific target population. Commonly used estimands include the average treatment effect in the treated (ATT),…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-12 Noah Greifer , Elizabeth A. Stuart

Two-stage randomized experiments are becoming an increasingly popular experimental design for causal inference when the outcome of one unit may be affected by the treatment assignments of other units in the same cluster. In this paper, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-21 Zhichao Jiang , Kosuke Imai , Anup Malani

Instrumental variables are a popular study design for the estimation of treatment effects in the presence of unobserved confounders. In the canonical instrumental variables design, the instrument is a binary variable. In many settings,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-10 Prabrisha Rakshit , Alexander Levis , Luke Keele

This article considers causal inference for treatment contrasts from a randomized experiment using potential outcomes in a finite population setting. Adopting a Neymanian repeated sampling approach that integrates such causal inference with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-17 Rahul Mukerjee , Tirthankar Dasgupta , Donald B. Rubin

Online platforms regularly conduct randomized experiments to understand how changes to the platform causally affect various outcomes of interest. However, experimentation on online platforms has been criticized for having, among other…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-12 Smitha Milli , Luca Belli , Moritz Hardt

Comparing different medications is complicated when adherence to these medications differs. We can overcome the adherence issue by assessing effectiveness under sustained use, as in the usual causal `per-protocol' estimand. However, when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-10 Kerollos Nashat Wanis , Mats Julius Stensrud , Aaron Leor Sarvet

Interference occurs when the treatment (or exposure) of one individual affects the outcomes of others. In some settings it may be reasonable to assume individuals can be partitioned into clusters such that there is no interference between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-21 Lan Liu , Michael G. Hudgens , Bradley Saul , John D. Clemens , Mohammad Ali , Michael E. Emch

The fundamental problem of causal inference -- that we never observe counterfactuals -- prevents us from identifying how many might be negatively affected by a proposed intervention. If, in an A/B test, half of users click (or buy, or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-22 Nathan Kallus
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