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Predictions for physical systems often rely upon knowledge acquired from ensembles of entities, e.g., ensembles of cells in biological sciences. For qualitative and quantitative analysis, these ensembles are simulated with parametric…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-28 Timothy Rumbell , Jaimit Parikh , James Kozloski , Viatcheslav Gurev

We consider exact algorithms for Bayesian inference with model selection priors (including spike-and-slab priors) in the sparse normal sequence model. Because the best existing exact algorithm becomes numerically unstable for sample sizes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-16 Tim van Erven , Botond Szabo

In many practical parameter estimation problems, prescreening and parameter selection are performed prior to estimation. In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating a preselected unknown deterministic parameter chosen from a…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-09-21 Tirza Routtenberg , Lang Tong

This paper proposes a new methodology for performing Bayesian inference in imaging inverse problems where the prior knowledge is available in the form of training data. Following the manifold hypothesis and adopting a generative modelling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-19 Matthew Holden , Marcelo Pereyra , Konstantinos C. Zygalakis

In many real-world problems, there is a limited set of training data, but an abundance of unlabeled data. We propose a new method, Generative Posterior Networks (GPNs), that uses unlabeled data to estimate epistemic uncertainty in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-01 Melrose Roderick , Felix Berkenkamp , Fatemeh Sheikholeslami , Zico Kolter

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide a promising framework for modeling predictive uncertainty and enhancing out-of-distribution robustness (OOD) by estimating the posterior distribution of network parameters. Stochastic Gradient Markov…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Hyunsu Kim , Giung Nam , Chulhee Yun , Hongseok Yang , Juho Lee

Fast development in science and technology has driven the need for proper statistical tools to capture special data features such as abrupt changes or sharp contrast. Many inverse problems in data science require spatiotemporal solutions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-21 Shiwei Lan , Mirjeta Pasha , Shuyi Li , Weining Shen

In this paper, the use of the Generalized Beta Mixture (GBM) and Horseshoe distributions as priors in the Bayesian Compressive Sensing framework is proposed. The distributions are considered in a two-layer hierarchical model, making the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2014-11-11 Zahra Sabetsarvestani , Hamidreza Amindavar

This paper addresses the problem of identifying a lower dimensional space where observed data can be sparsely represented. This under-complete dictionary learning task can be formulated as a blind separation problem of sparse sources…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-08-30 Nicolas Dobigeon , Jean-Yves Tourneret

Conformal prediction provides distribution-free prediction intervals with finite-sample coverage guarantees, and recent work by Snell \& Griffiths reframes it as Bayesian Quadrature (BQ-CP), yielding powerful data-conditional guarantees via…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-09 Xiayin Lou , Peng Luo

This article tackles the old problem of prediction via a nonparametric transformation model (NTM) in a new Bayesian way. Estimation of NTMs is known challenging due to model unidentifiability though appealing because of its robust…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-08 Chong Zhong , Jin Yang , Junshan Shen , Catherine Liu , Zhaohai Li

Sequential algorithms such as sequential importance sampling (SIS) and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) have proven fundamental in Bayesian inference for models not admitting a readily available likelihood function. For approximate Bayesian…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-11-08 Umberto Picchini , Massimiliano Tamborrino

We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

Many applications involve estimating the mean of multiple binomial outcomes as a common problem -- assessing intergenerational mobility of census tracts, estimating prevalence of infectious diseases across countries, and measuring…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-01 Yan Chen , Lihua Lei

Invariant prediction [Peters et al., 2016] analyzes feature/outcome data from multiple environments to identify invariant features - those with a stable predictive relationship to the outcome. Such features support generalization to new…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-10 Luhuan Wu , Mingzhang Yin , Yixin Wang , John P. Cunningham , David M. Blei

Spatial transcriptomics has revolutionized tissue analysis by simultaneously mapping gene expression, spatial topography, and histological context across consecutive tissue sections, enabling systematic investigation of spatial…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-24 Meng Zhou , Shuangge Ma , Mengyun Wu

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric model based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for unveiling the structure of the invariant global stable manifold from observed time-series data. The underlying unknown dynamical process is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-01-08 Spyridon J. Hatjispyros , Konstantinos Kaloudis

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a Bayesian nonparametric method for regression and interpolation, offering a principled way of quantifying the uncertainties of predicted function values. For the quantified uncertainties to be…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-22 Masha Naslidnyk , Motonobu Kanagawa , Toni Karvonen , Maren Mahsereci

Conformal Prediction (CP) provides a statistical framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets with coverage guarantees. While CP yields uncontrolled prediction set sizes, Backward Conformal Prediction (BCP)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Junxian Liu , Hao Zeng , Hongxin Wei

We propose a new statistical approach to obtain differential gene expression of non-detects in quantitative real-time PCR (qPCR) experiments through Bayesian hierarchical modeling. We propose to treat non-detects as non-random missing data,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-10-31 Valeriia Sherina , Matthew N. McCall , Tanzy M. T. Love