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Computer experiments are becoming increasingly important in scientific investigations. In the presence of uncertainty, analysts employ probabilistic sensitivity methods to identify the key-drivers of change in the quantities of interest.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-02 Isadora Antoniano-Villalobos , Emanuele Borgonovo , Xuefei Lu

A Neural Process (NP) estimates a stochastic process implicitly defined with neural networks given a stream of data, rather than pre-specifying priors already known, such as Gaussian processes. An ideal NP would learn everything from data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-20 Hyungi Lee , Eunggu Yun , Giung Nam , Edwin Fong , Juho Lee

The Bayesian Cram\'er-Rao bound (BCRB) is a crucial tool in signal processing for assessing the fundamental limitations of any estimation problem as well as benchmarking within a Bayesian frameworks. However, the BCRB cannot be computed…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-02-11 Hai Victor Habi , Hagit Messer , Yoram Bresler

Discrete Bayesian nonparametric models whose expectation is a convex linear combination of a point mass at some point of the support and a diffuse probability distribution allow to incorporate strong prior information, while still being…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-22 Antonio Canale , Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti , Igor Prünster

We study high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression with a general beta prime distribution for the scale parameter. Under the assumption of sparsity, we show that appropriate selection of the hyperparameters in the beta prime prior leads…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-19 Ray Bai , Malay Ghosh

When model uncertainty is handled by Bayesian model averaging (BMA) or Bayesian model selection (BMS), the posterior distribution possesses a desirable "oracle property" for parametric inference, if for large enough data it is nearly as…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-02-05 Wenxin Jiang , Cheng Li

The count-min sketch (CMS) is a randomized data structure that provides estimates of tokens' frequencies in a large data stream using a compressed representation of the data by random hashing. In this paper, we rely on a recent Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-12 Emanuele Dolera , Stefano Favaro , Stefano Peluchetti

Models for which the likelihood function can be evaluated only up to a parameter-dependent unknown normalising constant, such as Markov random field models, are used widely in computer science, statistical physics, spatial statistics, and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-02-12 Richard G. Everitt , Adam M. Johansen , Ellen Rowing , Melina Evdemon-Hogan

Bayesian nonparametric hierarchical priors are highly effective in providing flexible models for latent data structures exhibiting sharing of information within and across groups. In this work, we focus on latent feature allocation models,…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-05 Lancelot Fitzgerald James , Juho Lee , Abhinav Pandey

We study full Bayesian procedures for high-dimensional linear regression under sparsity constraints. The prior is a mixture of point masses at zero and continuous distributions. Under compatibility conditions on the design matrix, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-15 Ismaël Castillo , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber , Aad van der Vaart

Gaussian process regression is used throughout statistics and machine learning for prediction and uncertainty quantification. A Gaussian process is specified by its mean and covariance functions. Many covariance functions, including…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Toni Karvonen , François Bachoc

Undirected graphical models are applied in genomics, protein structure prediction, and neuroscience to identify sparse interactions that underlie discrete data. Although Bayesian methods for inference would be favorable in these contexts,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-15 John Ingraham , Debora Marks

We consider finite-horizon Markov Decision Processes where parameters, such as transition probabilities, are unknown and estimated from data. The popular distributionally robust approach to addressing the parameter uncertainty can sometimes…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-10-07 Yifan Lin , Yuxuan Ren , Enlu Zhou

Variable selection and classification are common objectives in the analysis of high-dimensional data. Most such methods make distributional assumptions that may not be compatible with the diverse families of distributions data can take. A…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-28 Weichang Yu , Lamiae Azizi , John T. Ormerod

The formulation of Bayesian inverse problems involves choosing prior distributions; choices that seem equally reasonable may lead to significantly different conclusions. We develop a computational approach to better understand the impact of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-08 John E. Darges , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre A. Gremaud

We study the consistency of sample mean-variance portfolios of arbitrarily high dimension that are based on Bayesian or shrinkage estimation of the input parameters as well as weighted sampling. In an asymptotic setting where the number of…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2015-05-30 Francisco Rubio , Xavier Mestre , Daniel P. Palomar

Multilevel network meta-regression (ML-NMR) enables population-adjusted indirect treatment comparisons by combining individual patient data (IPD) with aggregate data. When individual-level covariates are unavailable, ML-NMR marginalizes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-12 Harlan Campbell , Charles C. Margossian , Jeroen P. Jansen , Paul Gustafson

We introduce a new approach to prediction in graphical models with latent-shift adaptation, i.e., where source and target environments differ in the distribution of an unobserved confounding latent variable. Previous work has shown that as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-26 William I. Walker , Arthur Gretton , Maneesh Sahani

We apply nonparametric Bayesian methods to study the problem of estimating the intensity function of an inhomogeneous Poisson process. We exhibit a prior on intensities which both leads to a computationally feasible method and enjoys…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-28 Eduard Belitser , Paulo Serra , Harry van Zanten

In the setting of nonparametric multivariate regression with unknown error variance, we study asymptotic properties of a Bayesian method for estimating a regression function f and its mixed partial derivatives. We use a random series of…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-04-13 William Weimin Yoo , Subhashis Ghosal