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Imprecise continuous-time Markov chains are a robust type of continuous-time Markov chains that allow for partially specified time-dependent parameters. Computing inferences for them requires the solution of a non-linear differential…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-11 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

We consider a simple but important class of metastable discrete time Markov chains, which we call perturbed Markov chains. Basically, we assume that the transition matrices depend on a parameter $\varepsilon$, and converge as $\varepsilon$.…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-23 Volker Betz , Stéphane Le Roux

Stochastic gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (SGMCMC) is considered the gold standard for Bayesian inference in large-scale models, such as Bayesian neural networks. Since practitioners face speed versus accuracy tradeoffs in these models,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-19 Antonios Alexos , Alex Boyd , Stephan Mandt

We obtain a perfect sampling characterization of weak ergodicity for backward products of finite stochastic matrices, and equivalently, simultaneous tail triviality of the corresponding nonhomogeneous Markov chains. Applying these ideas to…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-07 Nick Whiteley , Anthony Lee

This paper studies a Markov network model for unbalanced data, aiming to solve the problems of classification bias and insufficient minority class recognition ability of traditional machine learning models in environments with uneven class…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-06 Junliang Du , Shiyu Dou , Bohuan Yang , Jiacheng Hu , Tai An

We consider symmetric Markov chains on $\Bbb Z^d$ where we do {\bf not} assume that the conductance between two points must be zero if the points are far apart. Under a uniform second moment condition on the conductances, we obtain upper…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Richard F. Bass , Takashi Kumagai

We prove a law of large numbers for empirical approximations of the spectrum of a kernel integral operator by the spectrum of random matrices based on a sample drawn from a Markov chain, which complements the results by V. Koltchinskii and…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-21 Radosław Adamczak , Witold Bednorz

We resolve the fundamental problem of online decoding with general $n^{th}$ order ergodic Markov chain models. Specifically, we provide deterministic and randomized algorithms whose performance is close to that of the optimal offline…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-31 Vikas K. Garg , Tamar Pichkhadze

One of the first steps in applications of statistical network analysis is frequently to produce summary charts of important features of the network. Many of these features take the form of sequences of graph statistics counting the number…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-14 Jonathan R. Stewart

Phase I distribution-free runs- and patterns-type control charts are proposed for monitoring the unknown target value (or location parameter) for both continuous and discrete individual observations. Our approach maintains the nominal…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-11-18 Tung-Lung Wu

This review paper, written for the second edition of the Handbook of Markov Chain Monte Carlo, provides an introduction to the study of convergence analysis for Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), aimed at researchers new to the field. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-24 Qian Qin

Motivated by challenges on studying a new correlation measurement being popularized in evaluating online ranking algorithms' performance, this manuscript explores the validity of uncertainty assessment for weighted U-statistics. Without any…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-03 Fang Han , Tianchen Qian

We introduce a unified operator-theoretic framework for analyzing mixing times of finite-state ergodic Markov chains that applies to both reversible and non-reversible dynamics. The central object in our analysis is the projected transition…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-05 Muhammad Abdullah Naeem

Consider a filtering process associated to a hidden Markov model with densities for which both the state space and the observation space are complete, separable, metric spaces. If the underlying, hidden Markov chain is strongly ergodic and…

概率论 · 数学 2016-06-03 Thomas Kaijser

In this paper, we propose a new spectral-based approach to hypothesis testing for populations of networks. The primary goal is to develop a test to determine whether two given samples of networks come from the same random model or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-26 Li Chen , Nathaniel Josephs , Lizhen Lin , Jie Zhou , Eric D. Kolaczyk

Change-point detection has garnered significant attention due to its broad range of applications, including epidemic disease outbreaks, social network evolution, image analysis, and wireless communications. In an online setting, where new…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-26 Zihan Wang

Although multivariate count data are routinely collected in many application areas, there is surprisingly little work developing flexible models for characterizing their dependence structure. This is particularly true when interest focuses…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-19 Arkaprava Roy , David B Dunson

Stochastic optimization methods such as mirror descent have wide applications due to low computational cost. Those methods have been well studied under assumption of the independent and identical distribution, and usually achieve sublinear…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-27 Yawei Zhao

This paper provides a precise error analysis for the maximum likelihood estimate $\hat{a}_{\text{ML}}(u_1^n)$ of the parameter $a$ given samples $u_1^n = (u_1, \ldots, u_n)'$ drawn from a nonstationary Gauss-Markov process $U_i = a U_{i-1}…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-03-29 Peida Tian , Victoria Kostina

We exhibit an efficient procedure for testing, based on a single long state sequence, whether an unknown Markov chain is identical to or $\varepsilon$-far from a given reference chain. We obtain nearly matching (up to logarithmic factors)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-26 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich