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Consider a haploid population of fixed finite size with a finite number of allele types and having Cannings exchangeable genealogy with neutral mutation. The stationary distribution of the Markov chain of allele counts in each generation is…

概率论 · 数学 2016-12-09 H. L. Gan , Adrian Röllin , Nathan Ross

We propose a general framework for the study of the genealogy of neutral discrete-time populations. We remove the standard assumption of exchangeability of offspring distributions appearing in Cannings' models, and replace it by a less…

概率论 · 数学 2024-04-18 Arno Siri-Jégousse , Alejandro H. Wences

Sweepstakes reproduction may be generated by chance matching of reproduction with favorable environmental conditions. Gene genealogies generated by sweepstakes reproduction are in the domain of attraction of multiple-merger coalescents…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-15 Bjarki Eldon

The results in this paper provide new information on asymptotic properties of classical models: the neutral Kingman coalescent under a general finite-alleles, parent-dependent mutation mechanism, and its generalisation, the ancestral…

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-08 Martina Favero , Henrik Hult

Wright-Fisher diffusions and their dual ancestral graphs occupy a central role in the study of allele frequency change and genealogical structure, and they provide expressions, explicit in some special cases but generally implicit, for the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-25 Martina Favero , Paul A. Jenkins

Using graphical methods based on a `lookdown' and pruned version of the {\em ancestral selection graph}, we obtain a representation of the type distribution of the ancestor in a two-type Wright-Fisher population with mutation and selection,…

概率论 · 数学 2020-03-17 Ellen Baake , Ute Lenz , Anton Wakolbinger

We study the multi-type Cannings population model. Each individual has a type belonging to a given at most countable type space $E$. The population is hence divided into $|E|$ subpopulations. The subpopulation sizes are assumed to be…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-16 Maximilian Flamm , Martin Möhle

We consider the Wright-Fisher model for a population of $N$ individuals, each identified with a sequence of a finite number of sites, and single-crossover recombination between them. We trace back the ancestry of single individuals from the…

概率论 · 数学 2014-04-24 Ellen Baake , Ute von Wangenheim

We consider a stochastic model describing a constant size $N$ population that may be seen as a directed polymer in random medium with $N$ sites in the transverse direction. The population dynamics is governed by a noisy traveling wave…

概率论 · 数学 2016-06-07 Aser Cortines

We study coalescent processes conditional on the population pedigree under the exchangeable diploid bi-parental population model of \citet{BirknerEtAl2018}. While classical coalescent models average over all reproductive histories, thereby…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-22 Frederic Alberti , Matthias Birkner , Wai-Tong Louis Fan , John Wakeley

Reinforced Galton--Watson processes describe the dynamics of a population where reproduction events are reinforced, in the sense that offspring numbers of forebears can be repeated randomly by descendants. More specifically, the evolution…

概率论 · 数学 2025-02-24 Jean Bertoin , Bastien Mallein

Duality plays an important role in population genetics. It can relate results from forwards-in-time models of allele frequency evolution with those of backwards-in-time genealogical models; a well known example is the duality between the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-08-09 Robert C. Griffiths , Paul A. Jenkins , Sabin Lessard

Star-shaped branching patterns of genealogies are common in marine species. High-fecundity marine populations are characterized by low ratios of effective to actual population size, which reflect high variance in reproductive success among…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-02-18 Hiro-Sato Niwa

We study a class of coalescents derived from a sampling procedure out of N i.i.d. Pareto(alpha) random variables, normalized by their sum, including beta-size-biasing on total length effects (beta < alpha). Depending on the range of alpha,…

概率论 · 数学 2013-02-26 Thierry Huillet

Mathematical models of genetic evolution often come in pairs, connected by a so-called duality relation. The most seminal example are the Wright-Fisher diffusion and the Kingman coalescent, where the former describes the stochastic…

概率论 · 数学 2024-02-02 Jere Koskela , Krzysztof Łatuszyński , Dario Spanò

Let $W_1,\ldots,W_N$ be a sample of $\mathrm{Pareto}(\alpha)$ random variables normalized by their sum, such that $\sum_i W_i=1$. The $W_i$ may represent the weights of valleys in a spin glass (if $0<\alpha<1$), or the frequency of…

概率论 · 数学 2022-02-11 Hiro-Sato Niwa

Consider a continuous-time binary branching process conditioned to have population size n at some time t, and with a chance p for recording each extinct individual in the process. Within the family tree of this process, we consider the…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Lea Popovic

We study asymptotic properties of supercritical Galton-Watson (GW) branching processes in the asymptotic where the mean of the offspring distribution approaches 1 from above. We show that the population-size distribution of the GW branching…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-05 Kyoya Uemura , Tomoyuki Obuch , Toshiyuki Tanaka

In a (two-type) Wright-Fisher diffusion with directional selection and two-way mutation, let $x$ denote today's frequency of the beneficial type, and given $x$, let $h(x)$ be the probability that, among all individuals of today's…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-07-10 Ute Lenz , Sandra Kluth , Ellen Baake , Anton Wakolbinger

Recruitment dynamics, or the distribution of the number of offspring among individuals, is central for understanding ecology and evolution. Sweepstakes reproduction (heavy right-tailed offspring number distribution) is central for…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-01-16 Bjarki Eldon
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