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We study causal inference for time-to-event outcomes under right censoring in the presence of unmeasured confounding. Focusing on structural accelerated failure time models, we develop an identification and inference framework that exploits…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Qiushi Bu , Wen Su , Xinyu Zhang , Xingqiu Zhao , Zhonghua Liu

Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential in survival prediction, particularly in clinical settings where erroneous decisions carry high risk. Conformal prediction has attracted substantial attention as it offers a model-agnostic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-04 Jaeyoung Shin , Chi Hyun Lee , Sangwook Kang

Time series classification (TSC) aims to predict the class label of a given time series, which is critical to a rich set of application areas such as economics and medicine. State-of-the-art TSC methods have mostly focused on classification…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-01 Nestor Cabello , Elham Naghizade , Jianzhong Qi , Lars Kulik

Visualization is a key aspect of communicating the results of any study aiming to estimate causal effects. In studies with time-to-event outcomes, the most popular visualization approach is depicting survival curves stratified by the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-07 Robin Denz , Nina Timmesfeld

In clinical or epidemiological follow-up studies, methods based on time scale indicators such as the restricted mean survival time (RMST) have been developed to some extent. Compared with traditional hazard rate indicator system methods,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-26 Chengfeng Zhang , Hongji Wu , Baoyi Huang , Hao Yuan , Yawen Hou , Zheng Chen

Conventional survival analysis approaches estimate risk scores or individualized time-to-event distributions conditioned on covariates. In practice, there is often great population-level phenotypic heterogeneity, resulting from (unknown)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-03 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Chunyuan Li , Nikhil Mehta , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

Functional survival models are key tools for analyzing time-to-event data with complex predictors, such as functional or high-dimensional inputs. Despite their predictive strength, these models often lack interpretability, which limits…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-28 Giuseppe Loffredo , Elvira Romano , Fabrizio MAturo

We propose a novel tree-based ensemble method named Selective Cascade of Residual ExtraTrees (SCORE). SCORE draws inspiration from representation learning, incorporates regularized regression with variable selection features, and utilizes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-30 Qimin Liu , Fang Liu

In this paper, we propose the use of causal inference techniques for survival function estimation and prediction for subgroups of the data, upto individual units. Tree ensemble methods, specifically random forests were modified for this…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-03-23 Vikas Ramachandra

The Hazard Ratio (HR) is often reported as the main causal effect when studying survival data. Despite its popularity, the HR suffers from an unclear causal interpretation. As already pointed out in the literature, there is a built-in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-08 Rachel Axelrod , Daniel Nevo

This paper provides a comprehensive review of the design and implementation of automatically generated assessment reports (AutoRs) for formative use in K-12 Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics (STEM) classrooms. With the…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2025-01-03 Ehsan Latif , Ying Chen , Xiaoming Zhai , Yue Yin

In recent years, the growing availability of biomedical datasets featuring numerous longitudinal covariates has motivated the development of several multi-step methods for the dynamic prediction of survival outcomes. These methods employ…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-14 Mirko Signorelli , Sophie Retif

Predicting crash events is crucial for understanding crash distributions and their contributing factors, thereby enabling the design of proactive traffic safety policy interventions. However, existing methods struggle to interpret the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-05-22 Yang Zhao , Pu Wang , Yibo Zhao , Hongru Du , Hao Frank Yang

Estimating risks or survival probabilities conditional on individual characteristics based on censored time-to-event data is a commonly faced task. This may be for the purpose of developing a prediction model or may be part of a wider…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-20 Ruth H. Keogh , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Nan van Geloven , Jon Michael Gran , Kamaryn T. Tanner

Synthetic data is becoming an increasingly promising technology, and successful applications can improve privacy, fairness, and data democratization. While there are many methods for generating synthetic tabular data, the task remains…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-27 Alexander Norcliffe , Bogdan Cebere , Fergus Imrie , Pietro Lio , Mihaela van der Schaar

A Verbal Autopsy is the record of an interview about the circumstances of an uncertified death. In developing countries, if a death occurs away from health facilities, a field-worker interviews a relative of the deceased about the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2014-02-19 Samuel Danso , Eric Atwell , Owen Johnson

Wildfires present intricate challenges for prediction, necessitating the use of sophisticated machine learning techniques for effective modeling\cite{jain2020review}. In our research, we conducted a thorough assessment of various machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-03 Di Fan , Ayan Biswas , James Paul Ahrens

Artificial intelligence (AI) systems increasingly match or surpass human experts in biomedical signal interpretation. However, their effective integration into clinical practice requires more than high predictive accuracy. Clinicians must…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-27 Stefan Kraft , Andreas Theissler , Vera Wienhausen-Wilke , Gjergji Kasneci , Hendrik Lensch

Recent progress in autonomous code generation has fueled excitement around AI agents capable of accelerating scientific discovery by running experiments. However, there is currently no benchmark that evaluates whether such agents can…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-06-25 Gyeongwon James Kim , Alex Wilf , Louis-Philippe Morency , Daniel Fried

For right censored survival data, it is well known that the mean survival time can be consistently estimated when the support of the censoring time contains the support of the survival time. In practice, however, this condition can be…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-08-01 Ying Ding , Bin Nan