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We investigate two empirical Bayes methods and a hierarchical Bayes method for adapting the scale of a Gaussian process prior in a nonparametric regression model. We show that all methods lead to a posterior contraction rate that adapts to…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-04-30 Suzanne Sniekers , Aad van der Vaart

It is not always clear how to adjust for control data in causal inference, balancing the goals of reducing bias and variance. We show how, in a setting with repeated experiments, Bayesian hierarchical modeling yields an adaptive procedure…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-23 Andrew Gelman , Matthijs Vákár

We consider exact algorithms for Bayesian inference with model selection priors (including spike-and-slab priors) in the sparse normal sequence model. Because the best existing exact algorithm becomes numerically unstable for sample sizes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-16 Tim van Erven , Botond Szabo

Many existing two-phase kernel-based hypothesis transfer learning algorithms employ the same kernel regularization across phases and rely on the known smoothness of functions to obtain optimality. Therefore, they fail to adapt to the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-26 Haotian Lin , Matthew Reimherr

Due to its self-regularizing nature and its ability to quantify uncertainty, the Bayesian approach has achieved excellent recovery performance across a wide range of sparse signal recovery applications. However, most existing methods are…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-09-07 Zonglong Bai , Liming Shi , Jinwei Sun , Mads Græsbøll Christensen

Robust Bayesian inference is the calculation of posterior probability bounds given perturbations in a probabilistic model. This paper focuses on perturbations that can be expressed locally in Bayesian networks through convex sets of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-08 Fabio Gagliardi Cozman

In this work, we aim to establish a Bayesian adaptive learning framework by focusing on estimating latent variables in deep neural network (DNN) models. Latent variables indeed encode both transferable distributional information and…

音频与语音处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-01-26 Hu Hu , Sabato Marco Siniscalchi , Chin-Hui Lee

We study the use of spike and slab priors for consistent estimation of the number of change points and their locations. Leveraging recent results in the variable selection literature, we show that an estimator based on spike and slab priors…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-22 Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Julia A. Palacios

We consider nonparametric estimation of a mixed discrete-continuous distribution under anisotropic smoothness conditions and possibly increasing number of support points for the discrete part of the distribution. For these settings, we…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-21 Andriy Norets , Justinas Pelenis

We obtain rates of contraction of posterior distributions in inverse problems defined by scales of smoothness classes. We derive abstract results for general priors, with contraction rates determined by Galerkin approximation. The rate…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-15 Shota Gugushvili , Aad van der Vaart , Dong Yan

Global-local shrinkage hierarchies are an important innovation in Bayesian estimation. We propose the use of log-scale distributions as a novel basis for generating familes of prior distributions for local shrinkage hyperparameters. By…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-31 Daniel F. Schmidt , Enes Makalic

We consider Bayesian nonparametric density estimation using a Pitman-Yor or a normalized inverse-Gaussian process kernel mixture as the prior distribution for a density. The procedure is studied from a frequentist perspective. Using the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-15 Catia Scricciolo

A basis expansion with regularization methods is much appealing to the flexible or robust nonlinear regression models for data with complex structures. When the underlying function has inhomogeneous smoothness, it is well known that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-02 Daeju Kim , Shuichi Kawano , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

We propose Bayesian Univariate-Guided Sparse Regression (BUGS), a novel global-local shrinkage framework that incorporates marginal association information directly into the prior through a continuous modulation of shrinkage. Unlike…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-27 Priyam Das

Sup-norm curve estimation is a fundamental statistical problem and, in principle, a premise for the construction of confidence bands for infinite-dimensional parameters. In a Bayesian framework, the issue of whether the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-03-22 Catia Scricciolo

We estimate on a compact interval densities with isolated irregularities, such as discontinuities or discontinuities in some derivatives. From independent and identically distributed observations we construct a kernel estimator with…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-16 Céline Duval , Émeline Schmisser

The process of calibrating computer models of natural phenomena is essential for applications in the physical sciences, where plenty of domain knowledge can be embedded into simulations and then calibrated against real observations. Current…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-20 Rafael Oliveira , Dino Sejdinovic , David Howard , Edwin V. Bonilla

We study empirical and hierarchical Bayes approaches to the problem of estimating an infinite-dimensional parameter in mildly ill-posed inverse problems. We consider a class of prior distributions indexed by a hyperparameter that quantifies…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-30 B. T. Knapik , B. T. Szabó , A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

Bayesian optimization has recently emerged as a popular method for the sample-efficient optimization of expensive black-box functions. However, the application to high-dimensional problems with several thousand observations remains…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-26 David Eriksson , Michael Pearce , Jacob R Gardner , Ryan Turner , Matthias Poloczek

We develop a fully intrinsic Bayesian framework for nonparametric regression on the unit sphere based on isotropic Gaussian field priors and the harmonic structure induced by the Laplace-Beltrami operator. Under uniform random design, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-29 Claudio Durastanti
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