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In unsupervised classification, Hidden Markov Models (HMM) are used to account for a neighborhood structure between observations. The emission distributions are often supposed to belong to some parametric family. In this paper, a…

In many applications of Bayesian clustering, posterior sampling on the discrete state space of cluster allocations is achieved via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques. As it is typically challenging to design transition kernels to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-06-14 Masoud Asgharian , Martin Lysy , Vahid Partovi Nia

This paper is concerned with the computational complexity of learning the Hidden Markov Model (HMM). Although HMMs are some of the most widely used tools in sequential and time series modeling, they are cryptographically hard to learn in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-27 Sham M. Kakade , Akshay Krishnamurthy , Gaurav Mahajan , Cyril Zhang

We present an efficient exact algorithm for estimating state sequences from outputs (or observations) in imprecise hidden Markov models (iHMM), where both the uncertainty linking one state to the next, and that linking a state to its…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-10-08 Jasper De Bock , Gert de Cooman

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are often deemed too computationally intensive to be of any practical use for big data applications, and in particular for inference on datasets containing a large number $n$ of individual data points, also…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-05-13 Rémi Bardenet , Arnaud Doucet , Chris Holmes

Multi-state models are frequently applied for representing processes evolving through a discrete set of state. Important classes of multi-state models arise when transitions between states may depend on the time since entry into the current…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-28 Rosario Barone , Andrea Tancredi

This work presents an efficient approach for accelerating multilevel Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for large-scale problems using low-fidelity machine learning models. While conventional techniques for large-scale Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-21 Sohail Reddy , Hillary Fairbanks

Bayesian inference for Markov processes has become increasingly relevant in recent years. Problems of this type often have intractable likelihoods and prior knowledge about model rate parameters is often poor. Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-10-23 Jamie Owen , Darren J. Wilkinson , Colin S. Gillespie

Increasingly complex applications involve large datasets in combination with non-linear and high dimensional mathematical models. In this context, statistical inference is a challenging issue that calls for pragmatic approaches that take…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-01-31 Andreas Raue , Clemens Kreutz , Fabian Joachim Theis , Jens Timmer

The purpose of this study is to leverage modern technology (such as mobile or web apps in Beckman et al. (2014)) to enrich epidemiology data and infer the transmission of disease. Homogeneity related research on population level has been…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-09-02 Kai Fan , Allison E. Aiello , Katherine A. Heller

Continuous-time multistate models are widely used for analyzing interval-censored data on disease progression over time. Sometimes, diseases manifest differently and what appears to be a coherent collection of symptoms is the expression of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-08 Yidan Shi , Leilei Zeng , Mary E. Thompson , Suzanne L. Tyas

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for prediction- and information extraction tasks with an efficient inference scheme. It models categorical-valued time series that exhibit dynamics from multiple underlying patterns (e.g.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-21 Jan Reubold , Thorsten Strufe , Ulf Brefeld

In large-scale genomic applications vast numbers of molecular features are scanned in order to find a small number of candidates which are linked to a particular disease or phenotype. This is a variable selection problem in the "large p,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-02-13 Manuela Zucknick , Sylvia Richardson

Bayesian reasoning in linear mixed-effects models (LMMs) is challenging and often requires advanced sampling techniques like Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). A common approach is to write the model in a probabilistic programming language…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-25 Jinlin Lai , Justin Domke , Daniel Sheldon

Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo (PMCMC) is a general computational approach to Bayesian inference for general state space models. Our article scales up PMCMC in terms of the number of observations and parameters by generating the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-04 David Gunawan , Chris Carter , Robert Kohn

In this work we propose a Bayesian framework for data fusion of multivariate signals which arises in imaging systems. More specifically, we consider the case where we have observed two images of the same object through two different imaging…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Olivier Feron , Ali Mohammad-Djafari

We consider penalized estimation in hidden Markov models (HMMs) with multivariate Normal observations. In the moderate-to-large dimensional setting, estimation for HMMs remains challenging in practice, due to several concerns arising from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-01-09 Nicolas Städler , Sach Mukherjee

We discuss the notorious problem of order selection in hidden Markov models, i.e. of selecting an adequate number of states, highlighting typical pitfalls and practical challenges arising when analyzing real data. Extensive simulations are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-18 Jennifer Pohle , Roland Langrock , Floris van Beest , Niels Martin Schmidt

We consider Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms for Bayesian high-dimensional regression with continuous shrinkage priors. A common challenge with these algorithms is the choice of the number of iterations to perform. This is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-13 Niloy Biswas , Anirban Bhattacharya , Pierre E. Jacob , James E. Johndrow

We study the computational complexity of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression under sparsity constraints. We first show that a Bayesian approach can achieve variable-selection consistency…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-01 Yun Yang , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan