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Wildfire propagation is a highly stochastic process where small changes in environmental conditions (such as wind speed and direction) can lead to large changes in observed behaviour. A traditional approach to quantify uncertainty in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-04 Andrew Bolt , Conrad Sanderson , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) path planning algorithms often assume a knowledge reward function or priority map, indicating the most important areas to visit. In this paper we propose a method to create priority maps for monitoring or…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2019-03-28 Vera L. J. Somers , Ian R. Manchester

When major disaster occurs the questions are raised how to estimate the damage in time to support the decision making process and relief efforts by local authorities or humanitarian teams. In this paper we consider the use of Machine…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-03-02 Alexey Trekin , German Novikov , Georgy Potapov , Vladimir Ignatiev , Evgeny Burnaev

We study the problem of evacuation planning for natural disasters, focusing on wildfire evacuations. By creating pre-planned evacuation routes that can be updated based on real-time data, we provide an easily adjustable approach to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-07-10 Steffen Borgwardt , Nicholas Crawford , Drew Horton , Angela Morrison , Emily Speakman

Prescribed burns are currently the most effective method of reducing the risk of widespread wildfires, but a largely missing component in forest management is knowing which fuels one can safely burn to minimize exposure to toxic smoke. Here…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-09 Lorenzo Tomaselli , Coty Jen , Ann B. Lee

The Burning Index (BI) produced daily by the United States government's National Fire Danger Rating System is commonly used in forecasting the hazard of wildfire activity in the United States. However, recent evaluations have shown the BI…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-08-04 Haiyong Xu , Frederic Paik Schoenberg

Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) have proven instrumental across various computer science domains, enabling advancements in object detection, classification, and anomaly detection. This paper explores the application of CNNs to analyze…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-20 Spiros Maggioros , Nikos Tsalkitzis

California's wildfire season keeps getting worse over the years, overwhelming the emergency response teams. These fires cause massive destruction to both property and human life. Because of these reasons, there's a growing need for accurate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-11 Shashank Bhardwaj

Recent wildfires in Australia have led to considerable economic loss and property destruction, and there is increasing concern that climate change may exacerbate their intensity, duration, and frequency. Hazard quantification for extreme…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-01-12 Daniela Cisneros , Jordan Richards , Ashok Dahal , Luigi Lombardo , Raphaël Huser

This study presents a probabilistic surrogate model for localized wildfire spread based on a conditional flow matching algorithm. The approach models fire progression as a stochastic process by learning the conditional distribution of fire…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-31 Bryan Shaddy , Haitong Qin , Brianna Binder , James Haley , Riya Duddalwar , Kyle Hilburn , Assad Oberai

We are developing a wildland fire model based on semi-empirical relations that estimate the rate of spread of a surface fire and post-frontal heat release, coupled with WRF, the Weather Research and Forecasting atmospheric model. A level…

Global wildfire models play a crucial role in anticipating and responding to changing wildfire regimes. JULES-INFERNO is a global vegetation and fire model simulating wildfire emissions and area burnt on a global scale. However, because of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-04 Sibo Cheng , Hector Chassagnon , Matthew Kasoar , Yike Guo , Rossella Arcucci

Forecasting bushfire spread is an important element in fire prevention and response efforts. Empirical observations of bushfire spread can be used to estimate fire response under certain conditions. These observations form rate-of-spread…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-24 Andrew Bolt , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

Firefighting is a dynamic activity, in which numerous operations occur simultaneously. Maintaining situational awareness (i.e., knowledge of current conditions and activities at the scene) is critical to the accurate decision-making…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-07-23 Manish Bhattarai , Aura Rose Jensen-Curtis , Manel MartíNez-Ramón

Given the increasing prevalence of wildland fires in the Western US, there is a critical need to develop tools to understand and accurately predict burn severity. We develop a machine learning model to predict post-fire burn severity using…

Wildfires pose a severe challenge to ecosystems and human settlements, exacerbated by climate change and environmental factors. Traditional wildfire modeling, while useful, often fails to adapt to the rapid dynamics of such events. This…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-07-04 Abdelrahman Ramadan

In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

As the impact of wildfires has become increasingly more severe over the last decades, there is continued pressure for improvements in our ability to predict wildland fire behavior over a wide range of conditions. One approach towards this…

Wildfire forecasting has been one of the most critical tasks that humanities want to thrive. It plays a vital role in protecting human life. Wildfire prediction, on the other hand, is difficult because of its stochastic and chaotic…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-12-01 Thai-Nam Hoang , Sang Truong , Chris Schmidt

In the past decade, summer wildfires have become the norm in California, and the United States of America. These wildfires are caused due to variety of reasons. The state collects wildfire funds to help the impacted customers. However, the…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-22 Ramandeep Kaur Bagri , Yihsu Chen