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We discuss a general approach to handling "multiple hypotheses" testing in the case when a particular hypothesis states that the vector of parameters identifying the distribution of observations belongs to a convex compact set associated…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-02-24 A. Goldenshluger , A. Juditski , A. Nemirovski

Composite likelihood inference has gained much popularity thanks to its computational manageability and its theoretical properties. Unfortunately, performing composite likelihood ratio tests is inconvenient because of their awkward…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-08-01 Manuela Cattelan , Nicola Sartori

We introduce a joint posterior $p$-value, an extension of the posterior predictive $p$-value for multiple test statistics, designed to address limitations of existing Bayesian $p$-values in the setting of continuous model expansion. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-13 Collin Cademartori

Let $\mathbf{X}_n=(x_{ij})$ be a $k \times n$ data matrix with complex-valued, independent and standardized entries satisfying a Lindeberg-type moment condition. We consider simultaneously $R$ sample covariance matrices…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-23 Weiming Li , Zeng Li , Jianfeng Yao

The conditional average treatment effect (CATE) is the best measure of individual causal effects given baseline covariates. However, the CATE only captures the (conditional) average, and can overlook risks and tail events, which are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-05 Nathan Kallus , Miruna Oprescu

We develop a central limit theorem (CLT) for a non-parametric estimator of the transition matrices in controlled Markov chains (CMCs) with finite state-action spaces. Our results establish precise conditions on the logging policy under…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-26 Ziwei Su , Imon Banerjee , Diego Klabjan

In this paper, we obtain a new characterization result for symmetric distributions based on the entropy measure. Using the characterization, we propose a nonparametric test to test the symmetry of a distribution. We also develop the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-14 Ganesh Vishnu Avhad , Ananya Lahiri , Sudheesh K. Kattumannil

We study breakdown of $CPT$ symmetry which can occur in the decay process $B \bar B \to l^\pm X^\mp f$ with $f$ being a CP eigenstate. In this process, the standard model expectations for time ordered semi-leptonic and hadronic events, i.e.…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 K. R. S. Balaji , Wilfried Horn , E. A. Paschos

P-value functions are modern statistical tools that unify effect estimation and hypothesis testing and can provide alternative point and interval estimates compared to standard meta-analysis methods, using any of the many $p$-value…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-24 Leonhard Held , Felix Hofmann , Samuel Pawel

We study the fluctuations of the eigenvalues of real valued large centrosymmetric random matrices via its linear eigenvalue statistic. This is essentially a central limit theorem (CLT) for sums of dependent random variables. The dependence…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-01 Indrajit Jana , Sunita Rani

Although prospective logistic regression is the standard method of analysis for case-control data, it has been recently noted that in genetic epidemiologic studies one can use the ``retrospective'' likelihood to gain major power by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-10-25 Nilanjan Chatterjee , Yi-Hau Chen , Sheng Luo , Raymond J. Carroll

In genetic association studies, rare variants with extremely small allele frequency play a crucial role in complex traits, and the set-based testing methods that jointly assess the effects of groups of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-13 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Hisashi Noma

Under a multinormal distribution with an arbitrary unknown covariance matrix, the main purpose of this paper is to propose a framework to achieve the goal of reconciliation of Bayesian, frequentist, and Fisher's reporting $p$-values,…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-10 Ming-Tien Tsai

This paper proposes an adaptive sparse polynomial chaos expansion(PCE)-based method to quantify the impacts of uncertainties on critical clearing time (CCT) that is an important index in transient stability analysis. The proposed method can…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-06-10 Jingyu Liu , Xiaoting Wang , Xiaozhe Wang

Modeling uncertainty in heavy-tailed time series remains a critical challenge for deep probabilistic forecasting models, which often struggle to capture abrupt, extreme events. While L\'evy stable distributions offer a natural framework for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Yang Yang , Du Yin , Hao Xue , Flora Salim

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a powerful framework for constructing prediction sets with guaranteed coverage. However, recent studies have shown that integrating confidence calibration with CP can lead to a degradation in efficiency. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-25 Rui Luo , Nicolo Colombo

We consider a statistical test whose p-value can only be approximated using Monte Carlo simulations. We are interested in deciding whether the p-value for an observed data set lies above or below a given threshold such as 5%. We want to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-10 Dong Ding , Axel Gandy , Georg Hahn

The tail behavior of aggregates of heavy-tailed random vectors is known to be determined by the so-called principle of "one large jump'', be it for finite sums, random sums, or, L\'evy processes. We establish that, in fact, a more general…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-26 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

Statistical models of unobserved heterogeneity are typically formalized as mixtures of simple parametric models and interest naturally focuses on testing for homogeneity versus general mixture alternatives. Many tests of this type can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-03-22 Jiaying Gu , Roger Koenker , Stanislav Volgushev

Testing for white noise is a classical yet important problem in statistics, especially for diagnostic checks in time series modeling and linear regression. For high-dimensional time series in the sense that the dimension $p$ is large in…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-11-26 Zeng Li , Clifford Lam , Jianfeng Yao , Qiwei Yao
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